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Wednesday, 16 December 09
CHINA 2010 COAL TERM PRICES SEEN RISING 8% ON YEAR
Term prices of thermal coal for 2010 in China are expected to rise about 8 percent from this year's levels, as demand for power has been roaring back due to steady economic recovery, analysts and industry officials said.
But higher coal prices may bring a tough year for power plants, in the absence of power tariff hikes or pricing scheme reforms.
Six analysts surveyed by Reuters expect term prices for thermal coal, used in power generation, to rise between 5 and 20 percent from this year's levels, with consensus around 8 percent.
"I think an 8 to 10 percent rise would be reasonable, given the rapid climb in spot prices, as well as strong demand for coal and power," said Martin Wang, an analyst at Guotai Junan Securities in Hong Kong.
"Utilities, however, are facing a tough year. They might still be able to make a profit, after they've phased out the inefficient power generators. But the profit margin would vary from company to company."
Coal miners and power plants were in a stalemate over this year's term prices for months, before some power plants quietly accepted price hikes demanded by coal miners, as power consumption recovered and spot coal prices strengthened.
Spot thermal coal prices in Qinhuangdao, the country's top coal shipping port, rose nearly 30 percent from mid-September, when prices started to steadily climb.
Coal with calorific value of 5,500 kcal/kg (NAR) was quoted in the range of 730 yuan to 750 yuan ($106,9 - $109,9) a tonne, according to the Qinhuangdao Seaborne Coal Market.
The current price is about 37 percent higher than 540 yuan a tonne, the benchmark free-on-board term price offered by Shenhua, China's top coal producer.
Meanwhile, China's power generation in November rose 26,9 percent on the year, the fastest growth in nearly 4 years, as industrial activities continued to accelerate and cold weather spurred heating demand.
TOUGH YEAR AHEAD FOR UTILITIES
Power utilities, which just returned to profit this year due to lower coal prices, are again facing steep rises in production cost and coal miners with increasing negotiating power.
"There is an increasing monopoly in the coal industry, as the consolidation is pushing forward. But the power sector is still segmented," said an executive at a large power generating group.
China's five major power generating groups, including the parents of GD Power Development Co Ltd, China Power International, Datang International Power Generation Co Ltd, Huadian Power and Huaneng Power International, generate nearly half of national output.
"We can't do anything. If coal costs rise, we'll probably see sector-wise losses again," said the executive.
Beijing has cancelled the annual coal price negotiating conference and instead asked suppliers and users to complete deals within a month, while pledging to improve the power tariff pricing scheme and keep coal prices stable.
Source: Reuters / Mining weekly
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Thursday, 13 May 10
CHINA CONCERNS TO TEST RAW MINERALS - THE AUSTRALIAN
The Australian reported that, COMMODITY prices will remain volatile and drop from recent highs as China's appetite for raw materials softens. James ...
Thursday, 13 May 10
ACTIVITY ON WEST COAST INDIA IS SLOWING - FEARNLEYS AS
DRY BULK CHARTERING
Handy
Atlantic markets remain firm but more for end May/beg June dates as there seems to be more enquiries for those dates. ...
Thursday, 13 May 10
DRY BULK SHIP OWNERS CHEERFUL AMID MARKET RALLY
China’s appetite for raw materials like iron ore and coal, as well as a series of added factors are boosting demand for dry bulk carriers, hel ...
Wednesday, 12 May 10
BANPU'S Q1 PROFIT SLIDES 43% TO B2.71BN - BANGKOK POST
The Bangkokpost reported that, Banpu Plc posted a first-quarter net profit of 2.71 billion baht, down by 43% from the same period last year.
The ...
Tuesday, 11 May 10
DALRYMPLE BAY COAL EXPORTS HIGHEST SINCE JULY; NEWCASTLE FALLS - BLOOMBERG
Bloomberg reported that, Coal shipments from Australia’s Dalrymple Bay terminal in Queensland state rose to the highest in nine months in Apri ...
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- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
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- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
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- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
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- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Australian Coal Association
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
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