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Wednesday, 28 August 24
SEABORNE COAL IMPORTS INTO INDIA INCREASED BY +9.9% Y-O-Y TO 146.6 MLN T - BANCHERO COSTA
Banchero CostaGlobal coal trade has really picked up pace over the past year, and is now fully back to pre-Covid levels said Banchero Costa Research in its latest report.
 
According to Banchero Costa, In Jan-Jul 2024 the positive trend continued, with global coal loadings increasing by +1.8% y-o-y to 783.0 mln t, from 768.9 mln t in the same period last year, based on vessel tracking data from AXS Marine. In Jan-Jul 2024, exports from Indonesia increased by +8.4% y-o-y to 300.7 mln t, whilst from Australia were up +1.1% y-o-y to 200.0 mln t.
 
Russian coal exports declined by -14.0% y-o-y to 96.9 mln t in Jan-Jul 2024, from the USA increased by +5.5% y-o-y to 51.3 mln t, from South Africa declined -5.0% y-o-y to 33.7 mln t, the report further noted. Shipments from Colombia increased by +9.3% y-o-y to 34.7 mln t in Jan- Jul 2024, from Canada increased by +1.3% y-o-y to 29.0 mln t, and from Mozambique were down by -7.4% y-o-y to 12.5 mln t.
 
Banchero Costa Research's weekly report also says, seaborne coal imports into Mainland China increased by +10.9% y-o-y to 230.2 mln t in Jan-Jul 2024, to India increased by +9.9% y-o-y to 146.6 mln t, to Japan declined by -5.1% y-o-y to 88.2 mln t in Jan-Jul 2024. Shipments to South Korea declined by -6.8% y-o-y to 64.6 mln t, to Vietnam surged by +27.7% y-o-y to 35.7 mln t, to the EU down -39.7% y-o-y to 35.2 mln tonnes, to Taiwan declined by -2.2% y-o-y to 33.6 mln tonnes in Jan-Jul 2024.
 
According to the report, India is the world’s second largest seaborne importer of coal after Mainland China, accounting for 18.7% of the global seaborne coal market so far in 2024. 
 
Import volumes into India were relatively depressed during 2020 and 2021, due to disruption from Covid-19, but bounced back to near all- time records in 2022. Total seaborne coal imports into India in 2022 reached 225.4 mln tonnes, +10.3% y-o-y, according to AXS Marine vessel tracking data. In 2023, India imported 240.8 mln t of coal, up +6.9% y-o-y. 34% of coal volumes delivered into India in 2023 were loaded on Capesize vessels, with 8% on Post-Panamax vessels, 36% on Panamax tonnage, and 22% on Supramaxes. About 60 percent of coal imports into India are delivered to the East coast of the country, primarily to the states of Odisha and Andhra Pradesh. The majority of the rest is discharged in the North-Western state of Gujarat, India’s most industrialized state, which alone accounts for 30 percent of India’s total coal imports, the report says.
 
The main coal import terminals in India are:
 
Mundra in Gujarat (24.6 mln t discharged in Jan-Dec 2023), Paradip (22.7 mln t), Krishnapatnam (21.6 mln t), Dhamra in Odisha (20.6 mln t), Visakhapatnam (20.5 mln t),Gangavaram in Andhra Pradesh (18.9 mln t), Hazira (13.3 mln t), Jaigad (12.4 mln t), Ennore (9.5 mlnt), Kandla (9.3 mln t), Tuticorin (8.1 mln t), Mumbai (7.0 mln t), New Mangalore (6.7 mln t), Dahej (6.6 mln t), Mormugao (5.8 mln t). Trade patterns for Indian imports saw significant shifts due to both commercial and political factors. 
 
Indonesia continues to be the top exporter of coal to India, accounting for 42% of total Indian imports in Jan-Dec 2023. In Jan-Dec 2023, shipments from Indonesia to India declined by -3.3% y-o-y to 100.5 mln tonnes but were still above the 71.6 mln t in 2021. In Jan-Jul 2024 volumes from Indonesia to India rebounded back by +30.9% y-o-y to 65.9 mln t.
 
About 21% of imports, 50.2 mln t in Jan-Dec 2023, were shipped from Australia, down by -7.2% y-o-y from 54.2 mln t in 2022, and well below the 74.2 mln t in 2021. Shipments from Russia surged by a further +34.7% y-o-y in Jan-Dec 2023 to 25.3 mln tonnes, and well above the 7.3 mln t in Jan-Dec 2021, with Russia now accounting for 11% of Indian coal imports. South Africa exported 26.9 mln tonnes of coal to India in Jan-Dec 2023, up +33.9% y-o-y. Imports from the USA also surged by +53.8% y-o-y to 20.8 mln t.


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