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Friday, 02 August 24
ENERGY MARKET DEVELOPMENTS: COAL AND NATURAL GAS PRICES REACH RECORD HIGHS - WORLD BANK
 The recent surge in natural gas and coal prices has been so swift that the main benchmarks were roughly three times higher in 2022Q2 compared to a year earlier. European natural gas and South African coal prices reached all-time highs in March and April, while U.S. natural gas prices reached their highest level since 2008. The surge in prices partly reflects the impact of the Russian invasion of Ukraine; in 2020, Russia accounted for one-quarter of global exports of natural gas and just under one-fifth of coal exports. Beyond the impact of the war, demand for natural gas and coal has been robust, rising by about 5 and 6 percent, respectively, in 2021 amid a strong post-pandemic recovery, with both reaching record highs.
The war in Ukraine is disrupting trade in energy. Europe relies heavily on Russia for imports of natural gas and coal. In response to the war, the European Union imposed a ban on imports of Russian coal starting in August 2022 and has pledged to reduce imports of Russian gas by two-thirds by the end of the year. While some of Russia’s coal can be redirected to other countries, this will be costly as coal is bulky and expensive to transport. Redirection of natural gas is even more limited due to a lack of transportation infrastructure — 70% of Russia’s exports to Europe are by pipeline.
EU turns to alternative LNG suppliers. The EU has sharply increased its imports of liquefied natural gas (LNG) to rebuild depleted inventories and diversify its suppliers. Inventories have risen rapidly in the last few months, although they remain slightly below the five-year average. In addition, EU countries are investing in additional infrastructure to facilitate LNG trade, such as new terminals, and the EU has also announced plans to sharply increase renewable energy capacity. Energy policies in Europe, however, have large spillover effects on other countries. For example, the sharp increase in EU imports of LNG has forced other countries that rely on LNG, notably emerging markets in Asia, to turn to coal.
Amid high prices, U.S. exports of LNG soar. The United States exported 11.5 billion cubic meters per day in the first half of 2022, a record high and equal to 12% of its domestic production. U.S exports to the EU and the United Kingdom have more than tripled compared to last year, such that Europe accounted for about three-quarters of U.S. LNG exports in the first half of 2022. The increase in U.S. LNG exports reflects the high spot prices of European natural gas compared to both the U.S. and Asia prices. U.S. LNG exports have recently declined, however, due to an explosion at a major LNG terminal. This disruption to supplies is expected to last until October.
Coal production rises amid high prices and shortages. Although global coal production increased by nearly 6% in 2021, coal shortages in China and India led to policies aimed at increasing domestic production. Because the coal (and natural gas) shortages have persisted, additional policy measures were introduced earlier this year. India, for example, announced plans to reopen 100 coal mines that had previously been considered uneconomic.
Risks to the natural gas and coal outlook. After a projected sharp increase in 2022, natural gas and coal prices are expected to moderately decline in 2023, although they will remain much higher than their five-year average. The duration of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the extent of its disruption to trade in coal and natural gas are the biggest uncertainties facing the outlook for the market. A sharp reduction in Russia’s exports to the EU, for example, could cause prices to spike, particularly if it occurred during the winter period when demand is high. Exports of natural gas from Russia to Europe have already fallen due to maintenance and other technical issues with the Nord Stream 1 pipeline. Prices also remain vulnerable to weather-related conditions and import policies that can affect trade patterns and push up costs. This is particularly the case given the very limited global spare production capacity for natural gas.
By Peter Nagle & Kaltrina Temaj
World Bank
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Friday, 06 September 24
REBOUND IN OIL DEMAND COULD LIFT MARKET IN LATTER HALF OF 2024 - BIMCO
Supply/demand
Based on a strong second half demand, the supply/balance is forecast to strengthen in 2024 but weaken slightly in 2025 as n ...
Friday, 06 September 24
GLOBAL SEABORNE LNG TRADE HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE LAST YEAR - BANCHERO COSTA
Global seaborne LNG trade has continued to increase last year, helped also by the events in Ukraine which forced Europe to diversify away from Russ ...
Wednesday, 28 August 24
SEABORNE COAL IMPORTS INTO INDIA INCREASED BY +9.9% Y-O-Y TO 146.6 MLN T - BANCHERO COSTA
Global coal trade has really picked up pace over the past year, and is now fully back to pre-Covid levels said Banchero Costa Research in its lates ...
Tuesday, 06 August 24
EXERCISE CAUTION WITH AMMONIA SWITCH - BALTIC EXCHANGE
A new study from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) has thrown a spanner into the plan to transition ships from diesel fuel to ammonia ...
Friday, 02 August 24
COAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS: FALLING PRICES AMID RECORD-HIGH OUTPUT - WORLD BANK
Coal prices inched up in May (m/m) following an 8 percent decline in 2024Q1. The Australian and South African benchmarks have plummeted more ...
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- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
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