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Wednesday, 31 January 24
GAS EXPORTS COST U.S. CONSUMERS MORE THAN $100 BILLION OVER 16-MONTH PERIOD - IEEFA
 Limited Demand Growth Could Dampen the Dry Bulk Market in the Coming Months BIMCOStarting in late 2021—before its invasion of Ukraine—Russia began to manipulate Europe’s energy markets by trimming gas shipments and emptying gas storage facilities on the continent. To fill the supply gaps, Europe ramped up its purchases of liquefied natural gas (LNG). A global bidding war for LNG ensued. Wealthy European nations vied with buyers in Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, China, and developing nations for a limited LNG supply, and prices soared to previously unimaginable highs.
The gas price contagion quickly spread to American shores. U.S. LNG exporters bought all the gas they could handle, hoping to reap big profits by selling U.S. gas to overheated global markets. Surging exports, in turn, shortchanged U.S. supplies; domestic gas stockpiles fell to multi-year lows, and wholesale gas prices rocketed to their highest levels in more than a decade.
Those price spikes were largely passed on to U.S. consumers. According to the Energy Information Administration, total U.S. spending on natural gas soared to $269 billion in 2022, up from $150 billion in 2019, the last “normal” year before COVID-19 and Russia roiled U.S. gas markets.
It’s impossible to know exactly how much U.S. consumers would have spent if Russia hadn’t upended global gas markets. But there’s absolutely no doubt that surging LNG exports helped trigger the surge in U.S. gas prices.
Between 2020 and 2022, total gas production in the U.S. increased by 7 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d), while domestic consumption went up by just 4.6 Bcf/d. With domestic production rising faster than consumption, you might expect prices to stay muted. But exports changed the equation. LNG exports went up by 4 Bcf/d over the same period, and pipeline exports rose by 0.4 Bcf/d. All told, combining growth in bothdomestic consumption and exports, demand for U.S. gas went up about 2 Bcf/d faster than production.
With demand outpacing supply, prices soared. But if exports had grown more slowly, the U.S. gas market would have been in better balance, and prices would have been closer to—or perhaps less than—their long-term average.
In the years before Russia upended the U.S. gas market, the average monthly wholesale price for gas hovered at just over $3 per million metric British thermal units (MMBtu). FromSeptember 2021 through December 2022—the years of Russian-induced gas market chaos—prices nearly doubled their long-term average.
Higher wholesale prices fueled inflation for all U.S. consumers, including families heating their homes, businesses, and industries. It became more expensive to keep the lights on, as well. Gas-dependent electric utilities saw their costs rise, and many passed the increased costs to their customers. Some people saw the price increases directly in their utility bills, but much was hidden in the overall increase in prices for goods and services.
If domestic gas prices had remained at their long-term average, U.S. consumers would have spent roughly $111 billion less on wholesale natural gas purchases from September 2021 through December 2022. Or, said differently, the Russia-induced price spikes cost U.S. households and gas buyers $111 billion, but led to a $111 billion windfall for the gas industry.
The transfer of wealth from gas consumers to gas producers varied by sector. All told, homeowners and renters paid gas companies an additional $14 billion during the market havoc. Office buildings and other commercial users spent an additional $11 billion. U.S. industrial gas users transferred about $33 billion to oil and gas companies. And electric utilities paid a whopping $50 billion more for their fuel.
It’s high time for the consumer effects of LNG exports to receive the attention they deserve. After all, what’s happened before could happen again. When the circumstances are right—a cold snap in Asia, a pipeline explosion in Europe, unrest in the Middle East—overseas buyers will once again ramp up their demand for LNG and compete directly with U.S. consumers for a limited supply of U.S. gas. The more export capacity we have, the more likely it is that a gas supply disruption anywhere in the world will trigger a price spike here at home. It’s a twist on the old adage: When the world sneezes, the U.S. will catch cold.
Source: IEEFA
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Friday, 06 September 24
REBOUND IN OIL DEMAND COULD LIFT MARKET IN LATTER HALF OF 2024 - BIMCO
Supply/demand
Based on a strong second half demand, the supply/balance is forecast to strengthen in 2024 but weaken slightly in 2025 as n ...
Friday, 06 September 24
GLOBAL SEABORNE LNG TRADE HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE LAST YEAR - BANCHERO COSTA
Global seaborne LNG trade has continued to increase last year, helped also by the events in Ukraine which forced Europe to diversify away from Russ ...
Wednesday, 28 August 24
SEABORNE COAL IMPORTS INTO INDIA INCREASED BY +9.9% Y-O-Y TO 146.6 MLN T - BANCHERO COSTA
Global coal trade has really picked up pace over the past year, and is now fully back to pre-Covid levels said Banchero Costa Research in its lates ...
Tuesday, 06 August 24
EXERCISE CAUTION WITH AMMONIA SWITCH - BALTIC EXCHANGE
A new study from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) has thrown a spanner into the plan to transition ships from diesel fuel to ammonia ...
Friday, 02 August 24
ENERGY MARKET DEVELOPMENTS: COAL AND NATURAL GAS PRICES REACH RECORD HIGHS - WORLD BANK
The recent surge in natural gas and coal prices has been so swift that the main benchmarks were roughly three times higher in 2022Q2 compared to a ...
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- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
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- Anglo American - United Kingdom
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- Economic Council, Georgia
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- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
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- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
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- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
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- Eastern Energy - Thailand
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- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
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- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
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- The University of Queensland
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- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
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- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
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- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
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- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
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- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
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- Thai Mozambique Logistica
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- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
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- India Bulls Power Limited - India
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- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
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- McConnell Dowell - Australia
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- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Planning Commission, India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
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- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
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