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Wednesday, 09 August 23
COAL TRADE TO RETURN TO 2019 LEVELS - BALTIC EXCHANGE
The International Energy Agency’s mid-year Coal Market Update for 2023 brings both positive and concerning news for the global coal industry. After a tumultuous few years marked by the Covid-19 shock in 2020 and the turmoil caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022, the coal markets have returned to more predictable and stable patterns in 2023. Notably, coal trade is heading back to 2019 volumes, with Chinese imports leading the charge.
One significant factor contributing to the surge in coal imports is the decline in coal prices. Cheaper coal has made imports more attractive, especially for price-sensitive buyers. China, the world’s largest coal consumer and producer, has almost doubled its imports in the first half of 2023. As a result, global coal trade is projected to grow by more than 7%, outpacing overall demand growth and approaching record levels seen in 2019. Seaborne coal trade may even surpass the 2019 record of 1.3 billion tonnes.
Another reason for the upward trajectory in coal supply is the stronger financial position of coal mining companies. Despite no new large-scale projects coming online, the high prices in 2022 have left these companies with more robust balance sheets, allowing them to invest in sustaining and even expanding capital expenditures. Additionally, the end of La Niña, which hampered coal production in Australia, has bolstered the coal supply outlook for 2023, despite the retreat of coal prices from their peak.
Renewed demand
The demand side of the equation is also playing a vital role in the resurgence of coal trade.
Even the European Union, traditionally a coal importer, temporarily turned into an exporter of thermal coal due to ample inventories accumulated during the previous year and reduced coal-fired power generation.
Global coal consumption reached an all-time high in 2022 and is expected to remain near that record level in 2023. Asia, led by China, India, and Southeast Asian countries, is expected to account for a significant portion of coal consumption. China and India together are projected to use almost 75% of the world’s coal in 2023, further solidifying their dominance in the market.
Despite the positive developments in the coal industry, concerns remain regarding the environmental impact of coal usage. Coal remains the largest single source of carbon emissions from the energy sector, and while clean energy has put coal use into structural decline in Europe and the United States, demand remains stubbornly high in Asia.
To address this, the IEA emphasises the need for greater policy efforts, investments, and stronger international cooperation to drive a massive surge in clean energy and energy efficiency to reduce coal demand in rapidly growing economies.
“But demand remains stubbornly high in Asia, even as many of those economies have significantly ramped up renewable energy sources. We need greater policy efforts and investments – backed by stronger international cooperation – to drive a massive surge in clean energy and energy efficiency to reduce coal demand in economies where energy needs are growing fast.”
Forward look
The mid-year Coal Market Update also provides insights into the future of the coal industry. Global coal demand is projected to remain flat in 2024, with declines in the electricity sector offset by small increases in the industrial sector as economic conditions improve. Asia, particularly India and Southeast Asia, is expected to experience growth in coal demand, while the United States and the European Union will see further declines. China and India are set to continue dominating the global coal consumption landscape, accounting for more than half of the world’s coal use.
Source: Baltic Exchange
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Saturday, 25 March 23
ASIAN CRUDE PALM OIL WATCH 1Q23 - FITCH RATINGS
Malaysian benchmark crude palm oil (CPO) spot prices have averaged around USD915 per tonne (t) so far in 1Q23, sharply lower than the average of ar ...
Saturday, 25 March 23
INDONESIA’S COAL EXPORT INCREASED BY 21.0% YOY TO 388.4 MLN T IN 2022 - BANCHERO COSTA
After a slow start in the first quarter, global coal trade has really picked up pace last year, and is now fully back to pre-Covid levels. In the f ...
Saturday, 25 March 23
GLOBAL LNG-ASIA SPOT PRICES SLIP AS WEAK NORTHERN DEMAND REMAINS - REUTERS
Asian spot prices of liquefied natural gas (LNG) declined this week, falling to a 21-month low, as weak demand in the northeast Asia region continu ...
Wednesday, 22 March 23
OIL PRICE FALL SPECULATIVE, TO HIT $140 BY YEAR-END -ANDURAND: REUTERS
The recent fall in oil prices due to banking jitters is speculative and oil will hit $140 a barrel by the end of the year, hedge fund manager Pierr ...
Wednesday, 22 March 23
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The crude tanker market continues to gather momentum as we head towards the end of 1Q2023, against a backdrop of strong U.S. exports paired with a ...
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- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
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- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- White Energy Company Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Planning Commission, India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
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