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Tuesday, 17 January 23
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Rumor has it that the New Year has come, to set the pace in, for Russia to continue hostilities against Ukraine. Ten months on the go, into Russia’s latest invasion, the outcome of the war appears to be unclear. The Russian military seems incapable of taking either Kyiv or occupying major territories of the country. Ukrainian forces have gained success and could well continue to make progress in regaining field. The war also could settle into a more protract conflict, with neither side capable of making a decisive breakthrough in the near future.
In the past June, European Union decided to ban both seaborne imports of Russian oil and the provision of specific services derived from Russian oil shipments, in particular insurance and reinsurance industries which EU companies do dominate. The US authorities, which had already banned direct imports of Russian oil, shudder at the ban which would cause oil prices to spike by plunging most Russian exports.
Accordingly, States of great sovereignty, strived towards the tool of capping the price of Russian oil, aimed at pinching Russia’s reserves whilst avoiding a spike in oil prices. However, the mechanism’s high price ceiling and its inability to compel Russia’s affairs with Asia-top tier- customers, undermine its ability to deprive Moscow of substantial revenue and aggravate both political and economic issues against Ukraine.
When the West announced on December 2nd, that they had agreed on a $60 price cap on Russian oil exports, they proclaim it as a valiant achievement in energy stability. But one who thinks this would be a significant tap into Russian oil revenues—and the administration’s ability to fuel its war by bringing to heel Ukraine—was likely to be disappointed. The price cap agreed on by the European Union and quickly endorsed by the United States, G7, and Australia was not bold enough to significantly have an effect on Russian revenues or hamper the conduct of the war. After all, Russian oil has sold at prices in the $60 range for the last several years. Moreover, since Russia’s February invasion of Ukraine, global trades have already limited their offtake of Russian crude to some extent. When countries such as India and China snapped up the surplus, they negotiated steep discounts while the discount for Urals crude, the main Russian benchmark—nearly $40 per barrel compared with Brent oil in the early months of the war—slowly dropped into the low $20 per barrel range, allowing Moscow to continue thriving.
If the price cap starts to influence Russia, it could create political space for further actions by throbbing Russian energy revenues. This cap should not be considered as an off energy policy tool- if Russia continues to wage its war, hence same should be seen instead as an interim measure until the next set of energy restrictions are to be imposed, including a lower price cap level.
By Alexandros Christakoudis
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 01 December 23
COAL MINERS GROUP EXPECTS INDONESIA’S 2023 COAL OUTPUT TO SURPASS TARGET - REUTERS
The Indonesian Coal Mining Association (ICMA) expects the country’s 2023 coal output to surpass the official target of 695 million metric ton ...
Friday, 24 November 23
COAL IMPORTS TO INDIA IN OCTOBER 2023 REACHED HIGHEST LEVELS IN NEARLY A YEAR AND A HALF - VESSELSVALUE, VESON NAUTICAL
In October, coal imports to India reached 13.8 mt in October 2023, according to Oceanbolt, a Veson Nautical solution, the highest level since May 2 ...
Friday, 24 November 23
COAL SHIPMENTS TO ADVANCED ECONOMIES DOWN 17% SO FAR IN 2023 - BIMCO
In the first ten months of 2023, coal shipments to advanced economies fell by 17% y/y, as demand for electricity declined and the share of electric ...
Friday, 24 November 23
INTELLIGENT COAL MINES CONTRIBUTE TO IMPROVING SAFETY STANDARDS - CHINA DAILY
Mechanization, automation and intelligent upgrades have contributed to improved safety in coal mines, though the level of development of intelligen ...
Friday, 24 November 23
WHY AUSTRALIA'S COAL MINES ARE GETTING BIGGER - IEEFA
Australia’s largest coal mines are getting larger. Mines in New South Wales (NSW) are ramping up production following the state’s recov ...
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- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- The University of Queensland
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Planning Commission, India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Australian Coal Association
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
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