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Tuesday, 17 January 23
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Rumor has it that the New Year has come, to set the pace in, for Russia to continue hostilities against Ukraine. Ten months on the go, into Russia’s latest invasion, the outcome of the war appears to be unclear. The Russian military seems incapable of taking either Kyiv or occupying major territories of the country. Ukrainian forces have gained success and could well continue to make progress in regaining field. The war also could settle into a more protract conflict, with neither side capable of making a decisive breakthrough in the near future.
In the past June, European Union decided to ban both seaborne imports of Russian oil and the provision of specific services derived from Russian oil shipments, in particular insurance and reinsurance industries which EU companies do dominate. The US authorities, which had already banned direct imports of Russian oil, shudder at the ban which would cause oil prices to spike by plunging most Russian exports.
Accordingly, States of great sovereignty, strived towards the tool of capping the price of Russian oil, aimed at pinching Russia’s reserves whilst avoiding a spike in oil prices. However, the mechanism’s high price ceiling and its inability to compel Russia’s affairs with Asia-top tier- customers, undermine its ability to deprive Moscow of substantial revenue and aggravate both political and economic issues against Ukraine.
When the West announced on December 2nd, that they had agreed on a $60 price cap on Russian oil exports, they proclaim it as a valiant achievement in energy stability. But one who thinks this would be a significant tap into Russian oil revenues—and the administration’s ability to fuel its war by bringing to heel Ukraine—was likely to be disappointed. The price cap agreed on by the European Union and quickly endorsed by the United States, G7, and Australia was not bold enough to significantly have an effect on Russian revenues or hamper the conduct of the war. After all, Russian oil has sold at prices in the $60 range for the last several years. Moreover, since Russia’s February invasion of Ukraine, global trades have already limited their offtake of Russian crude to some extent. When countries such as India and China snapped up the surplus, they negotiated steep discounts while the discount for Urals crude, the main Russian benchmark—nearly $40 per barrel compared with Brent oil in the early months of the war—slowly dropped into the low $20 per barrel range, allowing Moscow to continue thriving.
If the price cap starts to influence Russia, it could create political space for further actions by throbbing Russian energy revenues. This cap should not be considered as an off energy policy tool- if Russia continues to wage its war, hence same should be seen instead as an interim measure until the next set of energy restrictions are to be imposed, including a lower price cap level.
By Alexandros Christakoudis
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 13 February 24
WHAT IS THE OUTLOOK FOR THE NATURAL GAS SPOT PRICE IN 2024 AND 2025? EIA
We expect the U.S. benchmark Henry Hub natural gas spot price to average higher in 2024 and 2025 than in 2023, but to remain lower than $3.00 per m ...
Monday, 12 February 24
US THERMAL COAL EXPORTS HIT 5-YEAR HIGHS AND TOP $5 BLN IN 2023 - REUTERS
United States exporters of thermal coal earned more than $5 billion in 2023 as they shipped out more than 32.5 million metric tons of the high-poll ...
Tuesday, 06 February 24
NEW E-FUELS PROJECT TO MAKE INTERNATIONAL SHIPPING CLIMATE-NEUTRAL - RINA
Transport and trade on the ocean blue must be made much greener. This is the goal of the new €17 million European GAMMA project, where compani ...
Tuesday, 06 February 24
INDIA SEES ANNUAL COAL OUTPUT UP 10.9% IN 2024/25 - REUTERS
India expects domestic coal output to increase by 10.9% to 1.13 billion metric tons in the fiscal year ending March 2025, a senior government offic ...
Tuesday, 06 February 24
INDIA'S COAL PRODUCTION INCREASES BY 10.3% TO 99.73 MILLION TONNE IN JANUARY - PTI
The country’s coal output rose 10.3 per cent to 99.73 Million Tonne (MT) in January, over the same month in the previous fiscal.
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- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Planning Commission, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
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