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Tuesday, 17 January 23
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Rumor has it that the New Year has come, to set the pace in, for Russia to continue hostilities against Ukraine. Ten months on the go, into Russia’s latest invasion, the outcome of the war appears to be unclear. The Russian military seems incapable of taking either Kyiv or occupying major territories of the country. Ukrainian forces have gained success and could well continue to make progress in regaining field. The war also could settle into a more protract conflict, with neither side capable of making a decisive breakthrough in the near future.
In the past June, European Union decided to ban both seaborne imports of Russian oil and the provision of specific services derived from Russian oil shipments, in particular insurance and reinsurance industries which EU companies do dominate. The US authorities, which had already banned direct imports of Russian oil, shudder at the ban which would cause oil prices to spike by plunging most Russian exports.
Accordingly, States of great sovereignty, strived towards the tool of capping the price of Russian oil, aimed at pinching Russia’s reserves whilst avoiding a spike in oil prices. However, the mechanism’s high price ceiling and its inability to compel Russia’s affairs with Asia-top tier- customers, undermine its ability to deprive Moscow of substantial revenue and aggravate both political and economic issues against Ukraine.
When the West announced on December 2nd, that they had agreed on a $60 price cap on Russian oil exports, they proclaim it as a valiant achievement in energy stability. But one who thinks this would be a significant tap into Russian oil revenues—and the administration’s ability to fuel its war by bringing to heel Ukraine—was likely to be disappointed. The price cap agreed on by the European Union and quickly endorsed by the United States, G7, and Australia was not bold enough to significantly have an effect on Russian revenues or hamper the conduct of the war. After all, Russian oil has sold at prices in the $60 range for the last several years. Moreover, since Russia’s February invasion of Ukraine, global trades have already limited their offtake of Russian crude to some extent. When countries such as India and China snapped up the surplus, they negotiated steep discounts while the discount for Urals crude, the main Russian benchmark—nearly $40 per barrel compared with Brent oil in the early months of the war—slowly dropped into the low $20 per barrel range, allowing Moscow to continue thriving.
If the price cap starts to influence Russia, it could create political space for further actions by throbbing Russian energy revenues. This cap should not be considered as an off energy policy tool- if Russia continues to wage its war, hence same should be seen instead as an interim measure until the next set of energy restrictions are to be imposed, including a lower price cap level.
By Alexandros Christakoudis
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 02 August 24
COAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS: FALLING PRICES AMID RECORD-HIGH OUTPUT - WORLD BANK
Coal prices inched up in May (m/m) following an 8 percent decline in 2024Q1. The Australian and South African benchmarks have plummeted more ...
Friday, 26 July 24
FUELEU MARITME IS COMING. IS YOUR CHARTERPARTY READY? - GARD
With less than six months to implementation of FuelEU Maritime in EU and EEA trades, there has been little published advice regarding how to alloca ...
Thursday, 04 July 24
INDIA'S COAL PRODUCTION RISES 14% IN JUNE - PTI
The country’s coal production rose by 14.49% to 84.63 million tonne (MT) in June. The country’s coal output was 73.92 MT in June last f ...
Tuesday, 02 July 24
NTPC CAPTIVE COAL OUTPUT GROWS 15% IN Q1; DESPATCH RISES 17%
State-owned NTPC on Monday reported a 15 per cent year-on-year increase in the production of coal from captives mines to 9.862 metric million tonne ...
Friday, 28 June 24
KOSPO INVITED BIDS FOR 400,000 MT OF MINIMUM 4000 NCV COAL FOR FIVE YEARS
Korea Southern Power Co., Ltd. (KOSPO), is inviting bids for total 400,000 MT of Low Calorific Value Coal for 5 years starting from July 2024 until ...
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- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Australian Coal Association
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Planning Commission, India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- The University of Queensland
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
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