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Thursday, 15 December 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 While observing the ship repair market very close to the end of the year, we are confident that shipyards worldwide are entering a new era. The next year, 2023, is going to come with the pandemic being almost completely out of the picture. The effect of inflation on ship repair costs will start being harmonized and balanced after major corrections are made in all aspects throughout the year passed. The altered shipping routes and consequently the increased demand for ship repair facilities in some areas like Europe will finally find the yards ready for more projects. It is obvious that the mentality toward Green Technology adaption is more mature than ever before. We are expecting more projects and trends implementing environmentally friendly solutions and technology. And finally, the ballast water management system retrofit era is coming to an end, after more than a decade of discussions. But let us elaborate on some of the above to a bigger extent.
Closing this year, we noticed all respective costs related to materials procurement like steel, copper, and energy consuming works like grid and hydro blasting to be highly inflated. As a result, there was a big disruption in many big-scale projects on which basic cost derives from this kind of work and on projects prices of which were agreed a long time before.
Historically, the shipyard’s position during a heavily inflated market was always challenging. Shipyard on the one side has to manage the continuously increasing cost from the supplier’s side and on the other hand to manage the expectation of the Shipping Companies for stable fixed prices with contracts agreed much ahead of vessel’s arrival to the yard.
Moving to the next topic, nowadays, apart from the ongoing environmental regulatory framework, there is an increased tendency shipyards worldwide to adapt more environmentally friendly procedures and methods regarding the disposal of used / hazardous materials and ship repair techniques. Widely known is the complete transformation some yards have penciled from grid-blasting to hydro or slurry blasting for controlling or eliminating the grid dust. The result of the yards implementing green solutions is repair cost and time increment. Unfair competition is obviously a common result between those greener shipyards with those able to maintain old regime methods.
Another environmental trend reviving is the scrubber retrofit. There are already some orders in place for more scrubber retrofits, after a totally slack year on scrubbers. As we have seen in the past, the interest could escalate fast creating a second wave for scrubber retrofits. It only takes a few major shipping companies to declare supporters of such retrofits. On the other hand, shipyards and scrubber makers are now ready to absorb a sudden demand and therefore we do not expect similar to the past shipyard’s clogging.
With regards to shipyards’ workload for the next year to come, we expect all yards in Europe, Med, and the Black Sea to remain ultra-busy. Yards in the area will try to control their costs and profit margin by being selective on the awarded projects. This will be a good opportunity for new entries to try to be established and share a bigger portion of the repair business. Moving toward to the Far East, some first-class shipyards will start getting busy again with specialized projects since offshore business is back in action. China is planning a long time now to fully re-open. We expect that to be materialized soon after CNY.
While observing the ship repair market very close to the end of the year, we are confident that shipyards worldwide are entering a new era. The next year, 2023, is going to come with the pandemic being almost completely out of the picture. The effect of inflation on ship repair costs will start being harmonized and balanced after major corrections are made in all aspects throughout the year passed. The altered shipping routes and consequently the increased demand for ship repair facilities in some areas like Europe will finally find the yards ready for more projects. It is obvious that the mentality toward Green Technology adaption is more mature than ever before. We are expecting more projects and trends implementing environmentally friendly solutions and technology. And finally, the ballast water management system retrofit era is coming to an end, after more than a decade of discussions. But let us elaborate on some of the above to a bigger extent.
Closing this year, we noticed all respective costs related to materials procurement like steel, copper, and energy consuming works like grid and hydro blasting to be highly inflated. As a result, there was a big disruption in many big-scale projects on which basic cost derives from this kind of work and on projects prices of which were agreed a long time before.
Historically, the shipyard’s position during a heavily inflated market was always challenging. Shipyard on the one side has to manage the continuously increasing cost from the supplier’s side and on the other hand to manage the expectation of the Shipping Companies for stable fixed prices with contracts agreed much ahead of vessel’s arrival to the yard.
Moving to the next topic, nowadays, apart from the ongoing environmental regulatory framework, there is an increased tendency shipyards worldwide to adapt more environmentally friendly procedures and methods regarding the disposal of used / hazardous materials and ship repair techniques. Widely known is the complete transformation some yards have penciled from grid-blasting to hydro or slurry blasting for controlling or eliminating the grid dust. The result of the yards implementing green solutions is repair cost and time increment. Unfair competition is obviously a common result between those greener shipyards with those able to maintain old regime methods.
Another environmental trend reviving is the scrubber retrofit. There are already some orders in place for more scrubber retrofits, after a totally slack year on scrubbers. As we have seen in the past, the interest could escalate fast creating a second wave for scrubber retrofits. It only takes a few major shipping companies to declare supporters of such retrofits. On the other hand, shipyards and scrubber makers are now ready to absorb a sudden demand and therefore we do not expect similar to the past shipyard’s clogging.
With regards to shipyards’ workload for the next year to come, we expect all yards in Europe, Med, and the Black Sea to remain ultra-busy. Yards in the area will try to control their costs and profit margin by being selective on the awarded projects. This will be a good opportunity for new entries to try to be established and share a bigger portion of the repair business. Moving toward to the Far East, some first-class shipyards will start getting busy again with specialized projects since offshore business is back in action. China is planning a long time now to fully re-open. We expect that to be materialized soon after CNY.
By Vassilis Vassiliou
Interyards
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 02 September 22
ABM INVESTAMA BUYS 30% GEMS SHARES FOR US$ 420 MILLION
PT ABM Investama Tbk through its indirect subsidiary, bought a 30% stake in the PT Golden Energy Mines Tbk for US$ 420 million or around Rp 6.2 tri ...
Wednesday, 31 August 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Scorching temperatures and extremely dry conditions during the Northern hemisphere summer have been drying crops. Yield prospects have subsided in ...
Tuesday, 23 August 22
HIGH COAL PRICES COULD BOOST INDONESIA'S ENERGY TRANSITION - IEEFA
Global coal prices have reached an all-time high as countries stop purchasing Russian coal amidst the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Indonesian coal comp ...
Tuesday, 23 August 22
A COMBINED US$6.8-BILLION CASH BALANCE OF INDONESIAN COAL COMPANIES COULD PROVIDE FOR TIMELY INVESTMENTS IN GREEN TRANSITION - IEEFA
A combined US$6.8-billion cash balance of Indonesian coal companies could provide for timely investments in green transition
The opp ...
Tuesday, 23 August 22
SHIPPING INDUSTRY TO REMOVE THE INDIAN OCEAN HIGH RISK AREA - BIMCO
After more than a decade of effective threat-reducing counter-piracy operations the shipping industry has removed the ‘Indian Ocean High Risk ...
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- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- The University of Queensland
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- White Energy Company Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
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