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Thursday, 15 December 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 While observing the ship repair market very close to the end of the year, we are confident that shipyards worldwide are entering a new era. The next year, 2023, is going to come with the pandemic being almost completely out of the picture. The effect of inflation on ship repair costs will start being harmonized and balanced after major corrections are made in all aspects throughout the year passed. The altered shipping routes and consequently the increased demand for ship repair facilities in some areas like Europe will finally find the yards ready for more projects. It is obvious that the mentality toward Green Technology adaption is more mature than ever before. We are expecting more projects and trends implementing environmentally friendly solutions and technology. And finally, the ballast water management system retrofit era is coming to an end, after more than a decade of discussions. But let us elaborate on some of the above to a bigger extent.
Closing this year, we noticed all respective costs related to materials procurement like steel, copper, and energy consuming works like grid and hydro blasting to be highly inflated. As a result, there was a big disruption in many big-scale projects on which basic cost derives from this kind of work and on projects prices of which were agreed a long time before.
Historically, the shipyard’s position during a heavily inflated market was always challenging. Shipyard on the one side has to manage the continuously increasing cost from the supplier’s side and on the other hand to manage the expectation of the Shipping Companies for stable fixed prices with contracts agreed much ahead of vessel’s arrival to the yard.
Moving to the next topic, nowadays, apart from the ongoing environmental regulatory framework, there is an increased tendency shipyards worldwide to adapt more environmentally friendly procedures and methods regarding the disposal of used / hazardous materials and ship repair techniques. Widely known is the complete transformation some yards have penciled from grid-blasting to hydro or slurry blasting for controlling or eliminating the grid dust. The result of the yards implementing green solutions is repair cost and time increment. Unfair competition is obviously a common result between those greener shipyards with those able to maintain old regime methods.
Another environmental trend reviving is the scrubber retrofit. There are already some orders in place for more scrubber retrofits, after a totally slack year on scrubbers. As we have seen in the past, the interest could escalate fast creating a second wave for scrubber retrofits. It only takes a few major shipping companies to declare supporters of such retrofits. On the other hand, shipyards and scrubber makers are now ready to absorb a sudden demand and therefore we do not expect similar to the past shipyard’s clogging.
With regards to shipyards’ workload for the next year to come, we expect all yards in Europe, Med, and the Black Sea to remain ultra-busy. Yards in the area will try to control their costs and profit margin by being selective on the awarded projects. This will be a good opportunity for new entries to try to be established and share a bigger portion of the repair business. Moving toward to the Far East, some first-class shipyards will start getting busy again with specialized projects since offshore business is back in action. China is planning a long time now to fully re-open. We expect that to be materialized soon after CNY.
While observing the ship repair market very close to the end of the year, we are confident that shipyards worldwide are entering a new era. The next year, 2023, is going to come with the pandemic being almost completely out of the picture. The effect of inflation on ship repair costs will start being harmonized and balanced after major corrections are made in all aspects throughout the year passed. The altered shipping routes and consequently the increased demand for ship repair facilities in some areas like Europe will finally find the yards ready for more projects. It is obvious that the mentality toward Green Technology adaption is more mature than ever before. We are expecting more projects and trends implementing environmentally friendly solutions and technology. And finally, the ballast water management system retrofit era is coming to an end, after more than a decade of discussions. But let us elaborate on some of the above to a bigger extent.
Closing this year, we noticed all respective costs related to materials procurement like steel, copper, and energy consuming works like grid and hydro blasting to be highly inflated. As a result, there was a big disruption in many big-scale projects on which basic cost derives from this kind of work and on projects prices of which were agreed a long time before.
Historically, the shipyard’s position during a heavily inflated market was always challenging. Shipyard on the one side has to manage the continuously increasing cost from the supplier’s side and on the other hand to manage the expectation of the Shipping Companies for stable fixed prices with contracts agreed much ahead of vessel’s arrival to the yard.
Moving to the next topic, nowadays, apart from the ongoing environmental regulatory framework, there is an increased tendency shipyards worldwide to adapt more environmentally friendly procedures and methods regarding the disposal of used / hazardous materials and ship repair techniques. Widely known is the complete transformation some yards have penciled from grid-blasting to hydro or slurry blasting for controlling or eliminating the grid dust. The result of the yards implementing green solutions is repair cost and time increment. Unfair competition is obviously a common result between those greener shipyards with those able to maintain old regime methods.
Another environmental trend reviving is the scrubber retrofit. There are already some orders in place for more scrubber retrofits, after a totally slack year on scrubbers. As we have seen in the past, the interest could escalate fast creating a second wave for scrubber retrofits. It only takes a few major shipping companies to declare supporters of such retrofits. On the other hand, shipyards and scrubber makers are now ready to absorb a sudden demand and therefore we do not expect similar to the past shipyard’s clogging.
With regards to shipyards’ workload for the next year to come, we expect all yards in Europe, Med, and the Black Sea to remain ultra-busy. Yards in the area will try to control their costs and profit margin by being selective on the awarded projects. This will be a good opportunity for new entries to try to be established and share a bigger portion of the repair business. Moving toward to the Far East, some first-class shipyards will start getting busy again with specialized projects since offshore business is back in action. China is planning a long time now to fully re-open. We expect that to be materialized soon after CNY.
By Vassilis Vassiliou
Interyards
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 15 November 22
CHINA SEES RISING COAL STORAGE AMID SUPPLY PUSH - XINHUA
Coal stockpiles at China’s power plants have seen considerable increases, ensuring energy supply for the winter, the country’s energy r ...
Tuesday, 15 November 22
SEABORNE THERMAL COAL PRICES START TO EASE, BUT PROCESS IS UNEVEN - REUTERS
Prices for seaborne thermal coal have started to drop as fears of a winter energy crunch ease, but the rate of decline has varied across the differ ...
Thursday, 10 November 22
INDIA: THERMAL PLANTS HAVE ADEQUATE COAL STOCKS AT 25.6 MILLION TONNES, SAYS GOVT - IANS
The coal stock with domestic dry fuel-based power plants, as on October 31, was 25.6 million tonnes, the government said, adding that the availabil ...
Tuesday, 08 November 22
OUTLOOK ON CHINA’S WEAKENED BASIC MATERIALS SECTOR CLOUDED BY POLICY SWINGS - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings expects basic materials demand in China to improve qoq in 4Q22, driven by seasonally higher construction activity, solid infrastructu ...
Friday, 04 November 22
CHINA EXPANDS COAL TERM CONTRACTS TO ALL MINES TO STABILIZE MARKET - REUTERS
China has expanded long-term thermal coal supply contracts for 2023 to all coal mines and asked power utilities to source more of their demand thro ...
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- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Australian Coal Association
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- White Energy Company Limited
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The University of Queensland
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
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