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Tuesday, 13 December 22
STRONG COAL PRICES SUPPORT ROBUST EARNINGS AT INDONESIAN COAL MINERS - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch RatingsFitch Ratings expects cash flow generation at Indonesian coal miners to remain strong in 2023, based on its forecast for coal prices to remain high, even as they moderate from unprecedented levels in 2022. This should keep net leverage at manageable levels for most Fitch-rated entities, supporting adequate rating headroom.
 
We forecast the sector’s median EBITDA-based net leverage to remain low at 0.5x in 2023 (2022: 0.3x), underpinned by strong earnings, with coal prices staying above pre-2022 levels. Cash outlays are likely to be driven by diversification-related investments, with some miners initiating projects to move away from thermal coal amid investors’ heightened ESG concerns and tightening funding access. Nevertheless, most entities have sufficient cash buffers to support these investments. We expect capex requirements at most entities, except at PT ABM Investama Tbk (B+/Stable), to remain low, as none have major growth plans.
 
We also expect entities with a high accumulated cash balance to continue bond buy backs over the next 12 months, taking advantage of price discounts on their bonds to reduce debt and interest expenses. We believe the buy backs will lower refinancing requirements and improve companies’ financial flexibility amid the sector’s evolving funding access due to environmental considerations.
Source: Fitch Ratings


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Recent News

Monday, 06 December 21
CHINA SETS 2022 ANNUAL THERMAL COAL PRICES AT 700 YUAN/T - MEDIA: REUTERS
China’s top economic planner has proposed to set annual thermal coal prices for 2022 at between 550 yuan and 850 yuan ($86-$133) per tonne, a ...


Thursday, 02 December 21
BUMI RECORDED US$ 666.18 MILLION AS REVENUE IN THE 3RD QUARTER, UP 13.31% YOY
PT Bumi Resources Tbk and its subsidiaries have recorded a surge in revenue in the third quarter of 2021. BUMI has recorded US$ 666.18 million as r ...


Thursday, 02 December 21
CHINA'S COAL CRUNCH IS OVER, BUT PRICES ARE STILL TOO HIGH - REUTERS
China’s coal crisis has largely been resolved with gains in both production and stockpiles sufficient to ensure power supplies over winter. ...


Wednesday, 01 December 21
2022 OUTLOOK: INDONESIAN COAL MINING - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings has a neutral outlook on the Indonesian coal sector for 2022.    Earnings generation should slow down as selling pr ...


Wednesday, 01 December 21
SUPPLY OF COAL TO POWER PLANTS IN NOV MORE THAN CONSUMPTION: JOSHI - PTI
The supply of coal to power plants in November is more than the consumption, resulting in rise in stock of dry fuel at power plants, and this trend ...


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