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Tuesday, 13 December 22
WHY COAL LEADS THE RISE IN COMMODITIES THIS YEAR - MARKETWATCH
This year marked a resurgence for coal, often known — and loathed — by environmentalists as the dirtiest energy source, with prices more than doubling since the end of last year.
Traders are now torn between prospects for a continued rally and a pullback on the heels of global efforts toward net-zero emissions.
Based on the most-active contracts traded on ICE, futures for Newcastle coal NCFF23, -1.61%, the Asian-Pacific region benchmark for thermal coal that’s exported from the Newcastle coal terminal in Australia, was at $408.80 on Dec. 6, up 141% from Dec. 31, 2021, according to FactSet data. Coal’s gain this year leads the overall rise among major commodities.
Tight supply due to wet weather in Australia hampering production; strong demand from India, China, and others; and the European energy crisis” all contributed to strength in coal prices, says Will Rhind, founder and CEO of GraniteShares, which runs the GraniteShares Bloomberg Commodity Broad Strategy No K-1COMB +0.38% exchange-traded fund COMB, +0.52%.
Following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, European countries scrambled to replace Russian energy with alternatives, as Russian natural-gas supplies to Europe were mostly cut off. China has been “extracting record amounts of coal from its own mines as it seeks to insulate itself from the volatility seen in global energy markets,” says Rhind. “Outages from other European energy sources, such as hydro and nuclear plants…exacerbated the situation.”
Overall, “coal remains the largest source of electricity in the world,” he says. It’s the “cheapest to mine, easy to transport, and efficient to burn.”
Coal accounted for about 36.5% of the global power mix in 2021, followed by natural gas with a 22% share, according to Statista. In the U.S., coal accounted for 21.9% of the total 2021 amount of electricity generated at domestic power facilities, while 38.4% was sourced from natural gas, according to the Energy Information Administration.
Global supply of high quality thermal coal has been tight since before the invasion of Ukraine, says Wendy Schallom, coal analyst, analytics, at S&P Global Commodity Insights. The resulting ban on imports of Russian material by the European Union, Japan, and others, and the search for replacement coal, exacerbated the spot coal price rise, she adds.
There has also been a “diversion of coal supply,” originally destined for Asia, moving to Europe to replace the high-quality Russian supplies, says Schallom.
“Fuel switch price signals” had been firmly in favor of hard coal generation since the fourth quarter of 2021, she says, but the recent sharp fall in European gas hub prices means that those price signals reversed in October, with coal-to-gas switching settling in for the first time in more than a year.
If European gas prices recover as expected, fuel switch price signals will reverse again, with gas-to-coal switching likely to soon return, Schallom says. “This will put renewed pressure on German gas and support German hard coal generation.”
Meanwhile, it isn’t surprising that strong use of coal represents a setback in the world’s efforts to meet net-zero emissions by 2050. Developed nations need to entirely eliminate coal plants by 2030, and the rest of the world by 2040, to meet that goal, says GraniteShares’ Rhind. The two largest coal consumers, however —India and China — are investing even more in coal, expanding their power-plant network through the end of the next decade, he says.
Rhind expects global coal demand to remain high, but prices may “moderate” in 2023, especially if there’s a resolution to the Russia-Ukraine war. Supply will remain constrained, but ironically, higher coal prices will almost certainly contribute to increased demand for renewable energy “in order to find cheaper, more environmentally friendly, and independent sources of energy.”
Source: MarketWatch
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Thursday, 30 June 22
WHY ARE LNG SHIPPING STOCKS RESILIENT? - DREWRY
LNG shipping stocks are proving resilient despite uncertainties about growth in global GDP, high inflation and the ongoing geopolitical crisis caus ...
Thursday, 30 June 22
SPOT AUSTRALIAN THERMAL COAL HAS SURGED, BUT CONTRACT PRICE IS KEY - REUTERS
The spot price of Australian thermal coal is higher than that of coking coal, an unprecedented situation that highlights just how the global market ...
Thursday, 30 June 22
SHANXI PROVINCE RAISES ANNUAL COAL OUTPUT TO 1.3 BILLION TONS TO ENSURE CHINA’S ENERGY SUPPLY - GLOBAL TIMES
North China’s Shanxi Province, a major coal-producing region, recently announced a move to increase its annual coal production output by 107 ...
Thursday, 30 June 22
DIVERGENCE BETWEEN HIGH- AND LOW-GRADE THERMAL COAL PRICES IN APAC TO NARROW - FITCH RATINGS
Prices between high- and low-grade thermal coal in Asia-Pacific (APAC) have diverged since late March 2022, but Fitch Ratings expects the gap to na ...
Thursday, 30 June 22
INVESTMENT IN GLOBAL COAL SUPPLY CHAIN TO HIT $115 BN IN 2022, LED BY CHINA AND INDIA - BUSINESS LINE
At over $80 billion, China and India are anticipated to make up the bulk of global coal investment in 2022, says IEA.
The investment ...
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- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- White Energy Company Limited
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Planning Commission, India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
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