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Tuesday, 13 December 22
WHY COAL LEADS THE RISE IN COMMODITIES THIS YEAR - MARKETWATCH
This year marked a resurgence for coal, often known — and loathed — by environmentalists as the dirtiest energy source, with prices more than doubling since the end of last year.
Traders are now torn between prospects for a continued rally and a pullback on the heels of global efforts toward net-zero emissions.
Based on the most-active contracts traded on ICE, futures for Newcastle coal NCFF23, -1.61%, the Asian-Pacific region benchmark for thermal coal that’s exported from the Newcastle coal terminal in Australia, was at $408.80 on Dec. 6, up 141% from Dec. 31, 2021, according to FactSet data. Coal’s gain this year leads the overall rise among major commodities.
Tight supply due to wet weather in Australia hampering production; strong demand from India, China, and others; and the European energy crisis” all contributed to strength in coal prices, says Will Rhind, founder and CEO of GraniteShares, which runs the GraniteShares Bloomberg Commodity Broad Strategy No K-1COMB +0.38% exchange-traded fund COMB, +0.52%.
Following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, European countries scrambled to replace Russian energy with alternatives, as Russian natural-gas supplies to Europe were mostly cut off. China has been “extracting record amounts of coal from its own mines as it seeks to insulate itself from the volatility seen in global energy markets,” says Rhind. “Outages from other European energy sources, such as hydro and nuclear plants…exacerbated the situation.”
Overall, “coal remains the largest source of electricity in the world,” he says. It’s the “cheapest to mine, easy to transport, and efficient to burn.”
Coal accounted for about 36.5% of the global power mix in 2021, followed by natural gas with a 22% share, according to Statista. In the U.S., coal accounted for 21.9% of the total 2021 amount of electricity generated at domestic power facilities, while 38.4% was sourced from natural gas, according to the Energy Information Administration.
Global supply of high quality thermal coal has been tight since before the invasion of Ukraine, says Wendy Schallom, coal analyst, analytics, at S&P Global Commodity Insights. The resulting ban on imports of Russian material by the European Union, Japan, and others, and the search for replacement coal, exacerbated the spot coal price rise, she adds.
There has also been a “diversion of coal supply,” originally destined for Asia, moving to Europe to replace the high-quality Russian supplies, says Schallom.
“Fuel switch price signals” had been firmly in favor of hard coal generation since the fourth quarter of 2021, she says, but the recent sharp fall in European gas hub prices means that those price signals reversed in October, with coal-to-gas switching settling in for the first time in more than a year.
If European gas prices recover as expected, fuel switch price signals will reverse again, with gas-to-coal switching likely to soon return, Schallom says. “This will put renewed pressure on German gas and support German hard coal generation.”
Meanwhile, it isn’t surprising that strong use of coal represents a setback in the world’s efforts to meet net-zero emissions by 2050. Developed nations need to entirely eliminate coal plants by 2030, and the rest of the world by 2040, to meet that goal, says GraniteShares’ Rhind. The two largest coal consumers, however —India and China — are investing even more in coal, expanding their power-plant network through the end of the next decade, he says.
Rhind expects global coal demand to remain high, but prices may “moderate” in 2023, especially if there’s a resolution to the Russia-Ukraine war. Supply will remain constrained, but ironically, higher coal prices will almost certainly contribute to increased demand for renewable energy “in order to find cheaper, more environmentally friendly, and independent sources of energy.”
Source: MarketWatch
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Thursday, 14 July 22
INDIA'S COAL IMPORTS HIT RECORD HIGH IN JUNE - REUTERS
India's coal imports hit a record high in June despite high global prices, data from three trade sources and Refinitiv ship tracking showed, as ...
Thursday, 14 July 22
CHINA'S JUNE COAL IMPORTS SLUMP AS TRADERS SHUN EXPENSIVE OVERSEAS CARGOES - REUTERS
China’s coal imports fell 33% in June from a year ago, with traders turning down expensive overseas cargoes in favor of domestic ones with ca ...
Wednesday, 13 July 22
KOWEPO TO IMPORT 2.79 MILLION TONS OF LOW TO MEDIUM COAL
COALspot.com: Korea Western Power Co., Ltd. (KOWEPO) has issued an International tender for Total 1360k MT of Min.4400 kcal/kg NCV coal and Total 1 ...
Wednesday, 13 July 22
HAVE MINERS MISSED THE BOAT TO INVEST AND GET AHEAD OF THE ENERGY TRANSITION? - WOOD MACKENZIE
Miners are in rude health, benefiting from economic stimuli, the post-pandemic recovery and associated supply constraints. Initially the Ukraine wa ...
Wednesday, 13 July 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Taking the previous market insight a step further, market sentiment remains bullish regarding the overall ROI of scrubbers, facing tailwinds from a ...
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- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- The University of Queensland
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
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