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Monday, 31 October 22
U.S. COAL-FIRED GENERATION DECLINING AFTER BRIEF RISE LAST YEAR - EIA
.jpg) We expect 6% less U.S. coal-fired generation in 2022 than in 2021, according to our latest Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). Although coal-fired generation declined each year between 2014 and 2020, it rose 16% in 2021 as a result of increased electricity demand and higher natural gas prices following the pandemic. Despite natural gas prices remaining high, coal-fired generation has continued its previous trend of decline this year as a result of constrained coal supply.
Coal and natural gas are two of the most prevalent sources of power generation in the United States. Natural gas-fired power plants that use modern combined-cycle technology can compete effectively with coal-fired generation because they operate with 30% to 35% greater efficiency. This difference affects relative fuel costs between coal and natural gas and the substitution between the two fuels.
Between 2020 and 2021, the delivered cost of natural gas for power generators nearly doubled while the delivered cost of coal grew by only 3%. The increase in natural gas prices caused the share of total natural gas-fired generation to fall to 37% in 2021 from 39% in 2020. In contrast, coal-fired generation increased in 2021 for the first time since 2014 and averaged 23% of U.S. generation, up from 20% in 2020.
The cost of delivering fuel to coal-fired and natural gas-fired generators depends on a wide variety of factors. Wholesale power prices are generally set by the price of natural gas, and natural gas prices have been volatile throughout most of 2022. Compared with coal-fired generators, costs for natural gas-fired generators are more dynamic. Natural gas is bought mostly in the daily, monthly, and seasonal markets to align fuel needs with power sales, which can be highly uncertain. Costs for coal-fired generators are more static because delivered coal prices are mostly based on long-term contracts and remain relatively steady for longer periods. So far this year, as reported to EIA, the delivered price of natural gas has increased more in percentage terms than the delivered price of coal, but natural gas prices for generators may decrease substantially in the fourth quarter.
Despite higher natural gas prices in 2022, we expect natural gas-fired generation will increase slightly this year, and its share of annual U.S. generation will increase from 37% to 38%. The electric power sector is not moving away from natural gas as we expected previously because coal-fired power plants, which have historically acted as a substitute for natural gas generation, have not been receiving enough coal to meet demand. We expect coal production to increase by less than 2% during 2022, and we expect much of that gain to be exported. We expect that the share of generation provided by coal will return to 20% in 2022, down from 23% last year.
Most coal is delivered to power plants by railroads in the United States, which have encountered a number of disruptions this year. Although U.S. coal inventories have been declining in recent years as coal-fired generators have retired, the limitations on coal deliveries have further constrained generators’ ability to replenish stocks and increase generation. During the first seven months of 2022, coal inventories at power plants averaged 23% lower than in 2021.
Source: EIA
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Friday, 04 November 22
CHINA EXPANDS COAL TERM CONTRACTS TO ALL MINES TO STABILIZE MARKET - REUTERS
China has expanded long-term thermal coal supply contracts for 2023 to all coal mines and asked power utilities to source more of their demand thro ...
Thursday, 03 November 22
HANDYSIZE VALUES MOVING UP IN OCTOBER, WHILE LNG VALUES SKYROCKET - VESSELSVALUE
Handysize values have increased this month across most ages, following a period of decline. Values for generic 10 year old Handysizes have moved up ...
Thursday, 03 November 22
EUROPEAN GAS SUPPLY SURPLUS, NOVEMBER HBA DOWN TO US$ 308.2 PER TON - ESDM
European gas supply conditions have a major influence in determining fluctuations in the Reference Coal Price (HBA). The November 2022 HBA recorded ...
Wednesday, 02 November 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Only five weeks before western sanctions’ full effect, uncertainty over energy has markets and governments on the edge. What was initially th ...
Tuesday, 01 November 22
CHINA COAL TRADE DISRUPTED BY COVID OUTBREAKS AS WINTER LOOMS - REUTERS
China’s strict COVID-19 policy is constraining coal supplies and pushing up prices, industry officials and traders say, just weeks before the ...
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- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PTC India Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- White Energy Company Limited
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
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