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Monday, 31 October 22
U.S. COAL-FIRED GENERATION DECLINING AFTER BRIEF RISE LAST YEAR - EIA
.jpg) We expect 6% less U.S. coal-fired generation in 2022 than in 2021, according to our latest Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). Although coal-fired generation declined each year between 2014 and 2020, it rose 16% in 2021 as a result of increased electricity demand and higher natural gas prices following the pandemic. Despite natural gas prices remaining high, coal-fired generation has continued its previous trend of decline this year as a result of constrained coal supply.
Coal and natural gas are two of the most prevalent sources of power generation in the United States. Natural gas-fired power plants that use modern combined-cycle technology can compete effectively with coal-fired generation because they operate with 30% to 35% greater efficiency. This difference affects relative fuel costs between coal and natural gas and the substitution between the two fuels.
Between 2020 and 2021, the delivered cost of natural gas for power generators nearly doubled while the delivered cost of coal grew by only 3%. The increase in natural gas prices caused the share of total natural gas-fired generation to fall to 37% in 2021 from 39% in 2020. In contrast, coal-fired generation increased in 2021 for the first time since 2014 and averaged 23% of U.S. generation, up from 20% in 2020.
The cost of delivering fuel to coal-fired and natural gas-fired generators depends on a wide variety of factors. Wholesale power prices are generally set by the price of natural gas, and natural gas prices have been volatile throughout most of 2022. Compared with coal-fired generators, costs for natural gas-fired generators are more dynamic. Natural gas is bought mostly in the daily, monthly, and seasonal markets to align fuel needs with power sales, which can be highly uncertain. Costs for coal-fired generators are more static because delivered coal prices are mostly based on long-term contracts and remain relatively steady for longer periods. So far this year, as reported to EIA, the delivered price of natural gas has increased more in percentage terms than the delivered price of coal, but natural gas prices for generators may decrease substantially in the fourth quarter.
Despite higher natural gas prices in 2022, we expect natural gas-fired generation will increase slightly this year, and its share of annual U.S. generation will increase from 37% to 38%. The electric power sector is not moving away from natural gas as we expected previously because coal-fired power plants, which have historically acted as a substitute for natural gas generation, have not been receiving enough coal to meet demand. We expect coal production to increase by less than 2% during 2022, and we expect much of that gain to be exported. We expect that the share of generation provided by coal will return to 20% in 2022, down from 23% last year.
Most coal is delivered to power plants by railroads in the United States, which have encountered a number of disruptions this year. Although U.S. coal inventories have been declining in recent years as coal-fired generators have retired, the limitations on coal deliveries have further constrained generators’ ability to replenish stocks and increase generation. During the first seven months of 2022, coal inventories at power plants averaged 23% lower than in 2021.
Source: EIA
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Friday, 04 November 22
CHINA EXPANDS COAL TERM CONTRACTS TO ALL MINES TO STABILIZE MARKET - REUTERS
China has expanded long-term thermal coal supply contracts for 2023 to all coal mines and asked power utilities to source more of their demand thro ...
Thursday, 03 November 22
HANDYSIZE VALUES MOVING UP IN OCTOBER, WHILE LNG VALUES SKYROCKET - VESSELSVALUE
Handysize values have increased this month across most ages, following a period of decline. Values for generic 10 year old Handysizes have moved up ...
Thursday, 03 November 22
EUROPEAN GAS SUPPLY SURPLUS, NOVEMBER HBA DOWN TO US$ 308.2 PER TON - ESDM
European gas supply conditions have a major influence in determining fluctuations in the Reference Coal Price (HBA). The November 2022 HBA recorded ...
Wednesday, 02 November 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Only five weeks before western sanctions’ full effect, uncertainty over energy has markets and governments on the edge. What was initially th ...
Tuesday, 01 November 22
CHINA COAL TRADE DISRUPTED BY COVID OUTBREAKS AS WINTER LOOMS - REUTERS
China’s strict COVID-19 policy is constraining coal supplies and pushing up prices, industry officials and traders say, just weeks before the ...
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- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Planning Commission, India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
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