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Monday, 10 October 22
ENERGY TRANSITION BOOSTS GLOBAL LONG-TERM DEMAND FOR METALS - FITCH RATINGS
 The energy transition will significantly increase demand for metals used in manufacturing of electric vehicles (EVs) and renewable power generation facilities, such as copper, nickel, cobalt and lithium, Fitch Ratings says. This will require a vast supply response in the next two decades and investments from miners, although we view the repositioning of their businesses towards a higher share of energy-transition metals in revenue and cash flows as credit positive.
EVs and renewable generation are more metal-intensive than fossil fuel-based alternatives. This will support metals demand as the world transitions towards a carbon-free economy, leading to a six-fold increase in demand for minerals by 2050 compared to current levels, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA). Growth rates for each metal will vary and will depend on technologies chosen for batteries and power generation and environmental policies. We anticipate demand for energy-transition metals to peak by the 2040s, when the bulk of low-emission infrastructure will have been built.
However, rapid demand growth may not necessarily be met with an equivalent supply-side response. We estimate the level of available resources to be sufficient, but mineral resources are often geographically concentrated and their extraction may be subject to challenges. Mining projects have long lead times and require large investments. Lead times from resource discovery to production average 17 years, including 12.5 years from discovery to feasibility and 4.5 years for planning and construction, according to the IEA. Copper, cobalt and nickel projects have the longest lead times. By comparison, lithium deposits have shorter lead times, of about seven years.
CRU estimates that most markets for energy-transition metals will remain balanced over the medium term as committed and probable projects come online. Supply gaps might emerge after 2025, as the pipeline of new projects is not yet synchronised with the expected rise in demand created by the energy transition.
The commissioning of new projects will depend, along with the estimates of demand and return on investments, on the availability of funds for large capex projects, either internally generated or borrowed. The financial discipline of most miners has improved over the past decade, providing sufficient financial headroom for future investments. However, a prolonged period of low commodity prices might result in delayed investment decisions.
We view the exposure to energy-transition metals among Fitch-rated miners as credit positive. Several mining companies’ credit profiles, including that of Anglo American, have benefited from a growing share of these metals.
However, market participants now expect miners to deliver increasing volumes of metals required for the energy transition without compromising ESG standards. The key challenge is to reduce greenhouse gas emissions across the metal value chain. Emissions intensity of cobalt, aluminium and nickel mining and processing is high, so skyrocketing demand may result in rising net carbon footprints.
Electricity generation is the largest source of emissions in metals production, and therefore decarbonisation of power sources through shifting from coal to renewables will help reduce emissions. Changes in production technologies and increased metal recycling will cut carbon intensity further.
Source: Fitch Ratings
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Friday, 16 September 22
DRY BULK MARKET: EU’S BAN ON RUSSIAN COAL LIFTS DEMAND DESPITE ECONOMIC HEADWINDS - BIMCO
Highlights
– The Baltic Exchange Dry Index (BDI) peaked in late May and has since fallen sharply as lower Chinese demand and adverse glob ...
Friday, 16 September 22
BIMCO EMBARKS ON NEW STANDARD FOR “QUIET ENJOYMENT”
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
A newly set-up BIMCO drafting team involving a cross-section of shipowners, charterers, financing and leasing i ...
Friday, 16 September 22
INDIAN COAL PRODUCTION TO RISE 150 PER CENT IN 10 YEARS: CENTRE - EXPRESS NEWS SERVICE
The Union Ministry of Mines is expecting 150 per cent growth in coal production 10 years down the line as a result of coal reforms that had been us ...
Thursday, 15 September 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
While the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies agreed on a 100,000 b/d output cut last week, oil flows are in the spotlight ...
Monday, 12 September 22
COAL PRICE HIKE REMAINS DIFFICULT FOR CIL: CHAIRMAN TELLS ANALYSTS - PTI
Coal India on Thursday informed investors that increasing coal prices remains difficult in the current context when the economy is grappling with h ...
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- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- White Energy Company Limited
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Planning Commission, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
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