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Tuesday, 27 September 22
14% INCREASE IN EUROPEAN COAL DEMAND TO BE SHORT-TERM TREND - WOOD MACKENZIE
 European seaborne thermal coal demand is projected to increase 14% or 12 million metric tonnes (Mt) this year to 98 Mt as it grapples with the current energy crisis. But this will be a short-lived bump and provide no significant opportunities to expand existing coal infrastructure, as global demand will continue to trend downward, say analysts at Wood Mackenzie, a Verisk business (Nasdaq: VRSK).
Adam Woods, Senior Research Analyst with Wood Mackenzie said: “With many European nations increasing thermal coal use, an additional nine gigawatts (GW) of coal-fired capacity has been made available to meet energy demands and make up for the decline in Russian energy imports. Coal prices are surging, but they are still more affordable than record-high gas prices. While this scenario has made for a slight resurgence, we believe that this will be a relatively short-term event and we do not see companies making major investments to increase infrastructure or long-term production.”
Wood Mackenzie estimates that of the additional 9 GW of coal capacity being made available, only 4.4 GW is in the market, while the rest will be used as an emergency backup in case of an electricity shortage – despite coal-fired power being more economic than natural gas.
The Queensland hard coking coal benchmark remains unnaturally lower than the Newcastle thermal coal price, spurring questions about metallurgical coal crossing over to the thermal market and providing an even cheaper alternative.
“Despite being classified as a coal and being cheaper than thermal coal at this moment, in general, most metallurgical coals do not make great fuels for power plants. Their coal qualities can be a hindrance, and at worst a detriment, to power plant operational efficiency. In our opinion, there will be no wholesale swaps between the two coal types. Though, subject to spot cargo availability, there will be limited options for certain metallurgical coals to crossover to the European import thermal coal market,” said Anthony Knutson, Principal Analyst, Coal.
Long-term, global thermal coal demand will continue to recede. Conversely, this recent bump in coal may speed up the change to renewables in Europe, as this current crisis has highlighted the need for energy security and independence.
Said Woods, “We expect higher European coal-fired generation to last until the middle of this decade. However, imported higher-quality coal generation will still be phased out completely by the end of the decade, although lower-quality domestic lignite generation could extend much further. The higher energy price outlook and supply security concerns make renewables more attractive. We think we will see an additional 35 GW of solar and 15 GW of wind by 2030 in Europe, driven by policy changes such as Germany’s doubling of its 2030 solar target to 205 GW from 100 GW.”
Source: Wood Mackenzie
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Thursday, 13 October 22
OPEC DOWNGRADES CRUDE OIL DEMAND, AS WORLD ECONOMY ENTERS SLOWDOWN
Crude Oil Price Movements
The OPEC Reference Basket (ORB) declined m-o-m by $6.58 in September, or 6.5%, to average $95.32/b. Pressure from equ ...
Wednesday, 12 October 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Sale and Purchase activity during the first three quarters of 2022 has been remarkable.
Focusing only on Tankers and Bulkers, such v ...
Monday, 10 October 22
ENERGY TRANSITION BOOSTS GLOBAL LONG-TERM DEMAND FOR METALS - FITCH RATINGS
The energy transition will significantly increase demand for metals used in manufacturing of electric vehicles (EVs) and renewable power generation ...
Monday, 10 October 22
GLOBAL CEOS EXPECT IMPENDING RECESSION TO BE 'SHORT AND SHARP,' POLL SHOWS - CNBC
Global CEOs are anticipating a recession in the next 12 months, according to a new survey by professional services firm KPMG, which said more than ...
Thursday, 06 October 22
AUSTRALIA’S RESOURCES REVENUE TO HIT RECORD AMID UKRAINE CONFLICT - REUTERS
Australian resources and energy export earnings are forecast to jump 7% to a record A$450 billion ($290 billion) this fiscal year, bolstered by soa ...
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- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Australian Coal Association
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
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