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Tuesday, 27 September 22
14% INCREASE IN EUROPEAN COAL DEMAND TO BE SHORT-TERM TREND - WOOD MACKENZIE
 European seaborne thermal coal demand is projected to increase 14% or 12 million metric tonnes (Mt) this year to 98 Mt as it grapples with the current energy crisis. But this will be a short-lived bump and provide no significant opportunities to expand existing coal infrastructure, as global demand will continue to trend downward, say analysts at Wood Mackenzie, a Verisk business (Nasdaq: VRSK).
Adam Woods, Senior Research Analyst with Wood Mackenzie said: “With many European nations increasing thermal coal use, an additional nine gigawatts (GW) of coal-fired capacity has been made available to meet energy demands and make up for the decline in Russian energy imports. Coal prices are surging, but they are still more affordable than record-high gas prices. While this scenario has made for a slight resurgence, we believe that this will be a relatively short-term event and we do not see companies making major investments to increase infrastructure or long-term production.”
Wood Mackenzie estimates that of the additional 9 GW of coal capacity being made available, only 4.4 GW is in the market, while the rest will be used as an emergency backup in case of an electricity shortage – despite coal-fired power being more economic than natural gas.
The Queensland hard coking coal benchmark remains unnaturally lower than the Newcastle thermal coal price, spurring questions about metallurgical coal crossing over to the thermal market and providing an even cheaper alternative.
“Despite being classified as a coal and being cheaper than thermal coal at this moment, in general, most metallurgical coals do not make great fuels for power plants. Their coal qualities can be a hindrance, and at worst a detriment, to power plant operational efficiency. In our opinion, there will be no wholesale swaps between the two coal types. Though, subject to spot cargo availability, there will be limited options for certain metallurgical coals to crossover to the European import thermal coal market,” said Anthony Knutson, Principal Analyst, Coal.
Long-term, global thermal coal demand will continue to recede. Conversely, this recent bump in coal may speed up the change to renewables in Europe, as this current crisis has highlighted the need for energy security and independence.
Said Woods, “We expect higher European coal-fired generation to last until the middle of this decade. However, imported higher-quality coal generation will still be phased out completely by the end of the decade, although lower-quality domestic lignite generation could extend much further. The higher energy price outlook and supply security concerns make renewables more attractive. We think we will see an additional 35 GW of solar and 15 GW of wind by 2030 in Europe, driven by policy changes such as Germany’s doubling of its 2030 solar target to 205 GW from 100 GW.”
Source: Wood Mackenzie
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Saturday, 18 March 23
HEDGE TO OFFSET LNG VOLATILITY, TRADERS TOLD - BALTIC EXCHANGE
A shift in imports from Asia to Europe led to significant volatility in liquefied natural gas shipping last year, prompting industry experts to urg ...
Friday, 17 March 23
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE UP AROUND 2.17% IN MARCH 2023
COALspot.com: Indonesian Coal Price Reference up around 2.17% in March 2023.
According to the new HBA regulation No. 41.K/MB.0 ...
Saturday, 11 March 23
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Uncertainty over the recovery of Chinese demand, demand destruction in Europe, as well as weather conditions will pivot the LNG market this summer. ...
Wednesday, 08 March 23
INDONESIAN COAL REFERENCE PRICE FORMULA HAS OFFICIALLY CHANGED
Indonesian Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources has officially changed the guideline for determining the benchmark price for the sale of coal c ...
Thursday, 02 March 23
INDIA'S SEABORNE CRUDE OIL IMPORTS IN 2022 INCREASED BY 11.5% YOY - BANCHERO COSTA
2022 has turned out to be a very positive year for crude oil trade, despite the surging oil prices and risks of economic recession, Banchero Costa ...
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- VISA Power Limited - India
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- The University of Queensland
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
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- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Planning Commission, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
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- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
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- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
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- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
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- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
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- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
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- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
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- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Australian Coal Association
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
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