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Saturday, 23 July 22
STABILITY OF RUSSIAN GAS FLOWS REMAIN UNCERTAIN, DESPITE THE REOPENING OF NORD STREAM - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Gazprom confirmed today that regular annual maintenance of Nord Stream is officially over and gas flows restarted at 63 million cubic metres per day (mcm/d) – 40% of the pipeline’s overall capacity. The European gas market has reacted, with prices down by 5%; but the stability of Russian gas flows is by no means a given, according to analysts at Wood Mackenzie.
Penny Leake, Research Analyst for Europe Gas and LNG at Wood Mackenzie, said: “Further disruptions are expected as Russia seeks to increase political and economic pressure on Europe as winter approaches.”
“It remains unclear what Russia will do. There is a risk that Nord Stream flows will reduce below the 40% capacity seen before the maintenance,” Leake added.
This way, Russia will continue receiving revenues from gas exports, disincentivising the much-needed early gas rationing recommended across Europe, thus exposing countries across the continent to more pressure this winter.
Wood Mackenzie has defined two scenarios for what may come for Russian gas flows and their impact on Europe in the coming months.
Scenario 1: Nord Stream flows remain at 40% of capacity
If Nord Stream flows remain at 40% of capacity and imports through other routes remain at the levels seen since 17 June (before Nord Stream maintenance), Europe will be able to refill storage to more than 80% by 1 November 2022.
Leake said: “Gas demand is expected to be 12% lower than previous winters, due to high prices and demand mitigation measures, including the re-introduction of old coal plants, and Wood Mackenzie anticipates Europe will be able to get through the heating season with a comfortable level of storage under normal weather conditions.”
A cold winter in both Europe and Asia could however result in up to 20 billion cubic metres (bcm) of additional demand (7% of total) and reduce availability of LNG for Europe. This could bring storage levels down to approximately 10 bcm by the end of March 2023 – the minimum level Wood Mackenzie analysis indicates is required to ensure appropriate functioning of storage facilities.
“As a result, some limited demand curtailment may be required to manage peak demand episodes, unless additional supply is secured,” Leake added.
Scenario 2: Nord Stream flows reduce to zero, but Russian flows through other routes continue
If Nord Stream flows reduce to zero by August this year, Europe will only be able to refill its storage to 70-75% by the start of winter, and could finish the heating season with only approx. 10 bcm of gas in storage, risking some demand curtailments.
However, if winter is unusually cold in Europe and Asia, there is a risk gas in storage could run out by the end of February 2023, according to Wood Mackenzie’s analysis. With Europe risking as much as 20 bcm of demand curtailments – the equivalent of 7% of total gas demand or 30-35% of all industrial demand in winter.
Leake said: “Under these conditions, the only material upside that could limit demand curtailments would be bringing back production at Groningen – which brings with it political challenges.”
In all scenarios, the impact will differ by countries. The ones most dependent on Russian gas, such as Germany, Austria, and Central and Eastern Europe, will be most exposed.
“One thing is clear – volatility and uncertainty will persist, meaning that demand and solidarity measures across Europe are required now so we can avoid leaving European gas balance to chance,” Leake concluded.
Source: Wood Mackenzie
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Wednesday, 20 September 17
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
An undoubtedly interesting market lately is the newbuilding market, in which we are witnessing numerous orders across all sectors and sizes. At the ...
Monday, 18 September 17
COAL PRICES WERE RELATIVELY UNCHANGED WEEK OVER WEEK - ANZ
COALspot.com: Coal prices were relatively unchanged, with most interest remaining in the thermal coal market said Daniel Hynes. However, falling st ...
Monday, 18 September 17
PROSPECTS ARE NOT SO CLEAR CUT FOR COAL - CLARKSONS
Prospects are not so clear-cut for coal. According to Clarksons, coal has been a key energy source since the Industrial Revolution and in 2016, ste ...
Friday, 15 September 17
U.S WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT DROPS FOR THE THIRD WEEK IN A ROW, EIA DATA SHOWS
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 15.7 million short ton ...
Thursday, 14 September 17
THE FIRM COAL TRADE IS SUPPORTING SUPRAS; FIXING AROUND LOW $13000 WITH DELIVERY THAILAND - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
This week has brought Supras firm rates and numerous orders. Scrap orders from Cont to Med still pay $11000 and Fertilizer from Baltic t ...
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Showing 1936 to 1940 news of total 6871 |
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- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Australian Coal Association
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
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