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Saturday, 23 July 22
STABILITY OF RUSSIAN GAS FLOWS REMAIN UNCERTAIN, DESPITE THE REOPENING OF NORD STREAM - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Gazprom confirmed today that regular annual maintenance of Nord Stream is officially over and gas flows restarted at 63 million cubic metres per day (mcm/d) – 40% of the pipeline’s overall capacity. The European gas market has reacted, with prices down by 5%; but the stability of Russian gas flows is by no means a given, according to analysts at Wood Mackenzie.
Penny Leake, Research Analyst for Europe Gas and LNG at Wood Mackenzie, said: “Further disruptions are expected as Russia seeks to increase political and economic pressure on Europe as winter approaches.”
“It remains unclear what Russia will do. There is a risk that Nord Stream flows will reduce below the 40% capacity seen before the maintenance,” Leake added.
This way, Russia will continue receiving revenues from gas exports, disincentivising the much-needed early gas rationing recommended across Europe, thus exposing countries across the continent to more pressure this winter.
Wood Mackenzie has defined two scenarios for what may come for Russian gas flows and their impact on Europe in the coming months.
Scenario 1: Nord Stream flows remain at 40% of capacity
If Nord Stream flows remain at 40% of capacity and imports through other routes remain at the levels seen since 17 June (before Nord Stream maintenance), Europe will be able to refill storage to more than 80% by 1 November 2022.
Leake said: “Gas demand is expected to be 12% lower than previous winters, due to high prices and demand mitigation measures, including the re-introduction of old coal plants, and Wood Mackenzie anticipates Europe will be able to get through the heating season with a comfortable level of storage under normal weather conditions.”
A cold winter in both Europe and Asia could however result in up to 20 billion cubic metres (bcm) of additional demand (7% of total) and reduce availability of LNG for Europe. This could bring storage levels down to approximately 10 bcm by the end of March 2023 – the minimum level Wood Mackenzie analysis indicates is required to ensure appropriate functioning of storage facilities.
“As a result, some limited demand curtailment may be required to manage peak demand episodes, unless additional supply is secured,” Leake added.
Scenario 2: Nord Stream flows reduce to zero, but Russian flows through other routes continue
If Nord Stream flows reduce to zero by August this year, Europe will only be able to refill its storage to 70-75% by the start of winter, and could finish the heating season with only approx. 10 bcm of gas in storage, risking some demand curtailments.
However, if winter is unusually cold in Europe and Asia, there is a risk gas in storage could run out by the end of February 2023, according to Wood Mackenzie’s analysis. With Europe risking as much as 20 bcm of demand curtailments – the equivalent of 7% of total gas demand or 30-35% of all industrial demand in winter.
Leake said: “Under these conditions, the only material upside that could limit demand curtailments would be bringing back production at Groningen – which brings with it political challenges.”
In all scenarios, the impact will differ by countries. The ones most dependent on Russian gas, such as Germany, Austria, and Central and Eastern Europe, will be most exposed.
“One thing is clear – volatility and uncertainty will persist, meaning that demand and solidarity measures across Europe are required now so we can avoid leaving European gas balance to chance,” Leake concluded.
Source: Wood Mackenzie
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Friday, 27 October 17
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION FLAT WEEK OVER WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totaled an estimated 14.9 million short tons ...
Thursday, 26 October 17
CYBER COVER FOR E-BILLS - PHILIP STEPHENSON
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Increasingly popular electronic bills of lading are, by their nature, susceptible to the risk of cyber attack. Here, Stan ...
Thursday, 26 October 17
INDO TO CHINA ROUNDS SUPRAS ACHIEVING AROUND HIGH $14000 - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
By mid-week the market has been relatively quiet in the Pacific basin as well, but still some healthy rates being achieved on the differ ...
Thursday, 26 October 17
STRONG SIGNAL FOR AUSTRALIAN COAL DEMAND - GREG EVANS
The International Energy Agency’s Southeast Asia Energy Outlook report, released today, presents a positive outlook for Australian coal produ ...
Wednesday, 25 October 17
COAL MARKETS REMAINED SUBDUED - DANIEL HYNES
Coal markets remained subdued.
Daniel Hynes, Senior Commodity Strategist at ANZ, Coking coal prices were unchanged amid an absence of fresh of ...
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Showing 1901 to 1905 news of total 6871 |
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- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Australian Coal Association
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- PTC India Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- The University of Queensland
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
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