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Saturday, 23 July 22
STABILITY OF RUSSIAN GAS FLOWS REMAIN UNCERTAIN, DESPITE THE REOPENING OF NORD STREAM - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Gazprom confirmed today that regular annual maintenance of Nord Stream is officially over and gas flows restarted at 63 million cubic metres per day (mcm/d) – 40% of the pipeline’s overall capacity. The European gas market has reacted, with prices down by 5%; but the stability of Russian gas flows is by no means a given, according to analysts at Wood Mackenzie.
Penny Leake, Research Analyst for Europe Gas and LNG at Wood Mackenzie, said: “Further disruptions are expected as Russia seeks to increase political and economic pressure on Europe as winter approaches.”
“It remains unclear what Russia will do. There is a risk that Nord Stream flows will reduce below the 40% capacity seen before the maintenance,” Leake added.
This way, Russia will continue receiving revenues from gas exports, disincentivising the much-needed early gas rationing recommended across Europe, thus exposing countries across the continent to more pressure this winter.
Wood Mackenzie has defined two scenarios for what may come for Russian gas flows and their impact on Europe in the coming months.
Scenario 1: Nord Stream flows remain at 40% of capacity
If Nord Stream flows remain at 40% of capacity and imports through other routes remain at the levels seen since 17 June (before Nord Stream maintenance), Europe will be able to refill storage to more than 80% by 1 November 2022.
Leake said: “Gas demand is expected to be 12% lower than previous winters, due to high prices and demand mitigation measures, including the re-introduction of old coal plants, and Wood Mackenzie anticipates Europe will be able to get through the heating season with a comfortable level of storage under normal weather conditions.”
A cold winter in both Europe and Asia could however result in up to 20 billion cubic metres (bcm) of additional demand (7% of total) and reduce availability of LNG for Europe. This could bring storage levels down to approximately 10 bcm by the end of March 2023 – the minimum level Wood Mackenzie analysis indicates is required to ensure appropriate functioning of storage facilities.
“As a result, some limited demand curtailment may be required to manage peak demand episodes, unless additional supply is secured,” Leake added.
Scenario 2: Nord Stream flows reduce to zero, but Russian flows through other routes continue
If Nord Stream flows reduce to zero by August this year, Europe will only be able to refill its storage to 70-75% by the start of winter, and could finish the heating season with only approx. 10 bcm of gas in storage, risking some demand curtailments.
However, if winter is unusually cold in Europe and Asia, there is a risk gas in storage could run out by the end of February 2023, according to Wood Mackenzie’s analysis. With Europe risking as much as 20 bcm of demand curtailments – the equivalent of 7% of total gas demand or 30-35% of all industrial demand in winter.
Leake said: “Under these conditions, the only material upside that could limit demand curtailments would be bringing back production at Groningen – which brings with it political challenges.”
In all scenarios, the impact will differ by countries. The ones most dependent on Russian gas, such as Germany, Austria, and Central and Eastern Europe, will be most exposed.
“One thing is clear – volatility and uncertainty will persist, meaning that demand and solidarity measures across Europe are required now so we can avoid leaving European gas balance to chance,” Leake concluded.
Source: Wood Mackenzie
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Tuesday, 28 August 18
SUPRAMAX: A COAL TRIP VIA INDONESIA PAID $13,500 ON A 56,000DWT TO WC INDIA - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Singapore holiday mid-week disrupted trading and unsettled the market, with owners losing some resilience. The market took on a la ...
Tuesday, 28 August 18
SHIPPING MARKET UPDATE - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
As we edge close to the start of the Autumn Season, a period within the year that is usually characterized as the pivot point from the final quarte ...
Friday, 24 August 18
KOREAN RESTRICTIONS ON COAL SULPHUR IMPACTING HUNTER EXPORTS - THE HERALD
WARNINGS that Korean restrictions on sulphur levels in coal could hurt the Hunter industry appear to have been accurate, according to a report in t ...
Thursday, 23 August 18
RUSSIA'S MECHEL PRODUCED 9.69 MMT OF RUN-OF-MINE COAL IN 1H'2018
Mechel PAO, one of the leading Russian mining and metals companies, announces 1H2018 operational results.
Mechel PAO’s Chief E ...
Thursday, 23 August 18
SUPRAMAX: SOME FRESH COAL CARGOES APPEARED IN SE ASIA, GIVING A BIT PRESSURE ON RATES FOR END AUGUST SHIPMENTS - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
Slightly softer but generally very healthy for the big ships, with limited supply of early tonnage and positive Brazilian ore export v ...
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Showing 1636 to 1640 news of total 6871 |
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- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PTC India Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- The University of Queensland
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
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