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Saturday, 23 July 22
STABILITY OF RUSSIAN GAS FLOWS REMAIN UNCERTAIN, DESPITE THE REOPENING OF NORD STREAM - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Gazprom confirmed today that regular annual maintenance of Nord Stream is officially over and gas flows restarted at 63 million cubic metres per day (mcm/d) – 40% of the pipeline’s overall capacity. The European gas market has reacted, with prices down by 5%; but the stability of Russian gas flows is by no means a given, according to analysts at Wood Mackenzie.
Penny Leake, Research Analyst for Europe Gas and LNG at Wood Mackenzie, said: “Further disruptions are expected as Russia seeks to increase political and economic pressure on Europe as winter approaches.”
“It remains unclear what Russia will do. There is a risk that Nord Stream flows will reduce below the 40% capacity seen before the maintenance,” Leake added.
This way, Russia will continue receiving revenues from gas exports, disincentivising the much-needed early gas rationing recommended across Europe, thus exposing countries across the continent to more pressure this winter.
Wood Mackenzie has defined two scenarios for what may come for Russian gas flows and their impact on Europe in the coming months.
Scenario 1: Nord Stream flows remain at 40% of capacity
If Nord Stream flows remain at 40% of capacity and imports through other routes remain at the levels seen since 17 June (before Nord Stream maintenance), Europe will be able to refill storage to more than 80% by 1 November 2022.
Leake said: “Gas demand is expected to be 12% lower than previous winters, due to high prices and demand mitigation measures, including the re-introduction of old coal plants, and Wood Mackenzie anticipates Europe will be able to get through the heating season with a comfortable level of storage under normal weather conditions.”
A cold winter in both Europe and Asia could however result in up to 20 billion cubic metres (bcm) of additional demand (7% of total) and reduce availability of LNG for Europe. This could bring storage levels down to approximately 10 bcm by the end of March 2023 – the minimum level Wood Mackenzie analysis indicates is required to ensure appropriate functioning of storage facilities.
“As a result, some limited demand curtailment may be required to manage peak demand episodes, unless additional supply is secured,” Leake added.
Scenario 2: Nord Stream flows reduce to zero, but Russian flows through other routes continue
If Nord Stream flows reduce to zero by August this year, Europe will only be able to refill its storage to 70-75% by the start of winter, and could finish the heating season with only approx. 10 bcm of gas in storage, risking some demand curtailments.
However, if winter is unusually cold in Europe and Asia, there is a risk gas in storage could run out by the end of February 2023, according to Wood Mackenzie’s analysis. With Europe risking as much as 20 bcm of demand curtailments – the equivalent of 7% of total gas demand or 30-35% of all industrial demand in winter.
Leake said: “Under these conditions, the only material upside that could limit demand curtailments would be bringing back production at Groningen – which brings with it political challenges.”
In all scenarios, the impact will differ by countries. The ones most dependent on Russian gas, such as Germany, Austria, and Central and Eastern Europe, will be most exposed.
“One thing is clear – volatility and uncertainty will persist, meaning that demand and solidarity measures across Europe are required now so we can avoid leaving European gas balance to chance,” Leake concluded.
Source: Wood Mackenzie
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Tuesday, 23 May 23
INDIA: COAL OUTPUT UP 8.9%, SUPPLY RISES 11.7% IN APRIL - FINANCIAL EXPRESS
India’s coal production jumped 8.85% to 73.14 million tonne (MT) in April 2023 and the total coal despatch during the month went up 11.66% to ...
Tuesday, 23 May 23
CHINA COAL OUTPUT UP 4.5 PCT IN APRIL - XINHUA
China’s raw coal output posted stable expansion in April, official data showed.
The country produced 380 million tonnes of raw ...
Saturday, 20 May 23
NON-OPEC OIL SUPPLY DEVELOPMENT - OPEC
In 2022, non-OPEC supply is estimated to have increased by 1.9 mb/d y-o-y. Out of this, US liquids production increased by 1.2 mb/d, mainly on the ...
Saturday, 20 May 23
GLOBAL COAL TRADE HAS REALLY PICKED UP PACE IN RECENT MONTHS, NOW FULLY BACK TO PRE-COVID LEVELS - BANCHERO COSTA
Global coal trade has really picked up pace in recent months, and is now fully back to pre-Covid levels. In Jan-Apr 2023, total global seaborne coa ...
Saturday, 20 May 23
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
India is one of the world's largest coal producers and one of the world's largest importers of coal. The country uses coal mainly for power ...
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Showing 101 to 105 news of total 6871 |
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- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- The University of Queensland
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
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