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Friday, 22 July 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Faced with uncertainty regarding the most cost-efficient alternative fuels and the future dominant method to reduce their greenhouse emissions, many owners abstain from the newbuilding realm, especially in the wet and dry sector, while sticking to ageing fleets. During 1H22, fleet grew by 1.4% (est. 2.8% in 2022), which is way below the 10-year average growth of 3.6%. While new orders are not coming in fast enough to halt the trend of an ageing fleet, the introduction of EEXI, CII and EU ETS at the beginning of 2023, has resulted in a record of 61% of newbuild orders being alternative fuelled.
According to our data, tanker fleet renewal remains muted across 1H22. Overall, 31 vessels have been ordered within 2022 in the wet sector (with the orderbook standing at 5% of fleet capacity), of which 1 is methanol & ammonia ready, 1 is methanol fuelled, 2 are battery powered and 2 are LNG fuelled. With risks to the tanker demand still prevailing on the back of macroeconomic factors and high oil prices, the tanker market has witnessed significantly improved conditions in recent months, underpinned by shifts in trade patterns resulting in tonne-mile increase. Low stocks, paired with high refinery margins are expected to further boost trade growth in seaborne volumes and tonne-miles and contribute to the revival of an ageing fleet.
On the dry front, contracting activity hit low levels, partly on the back of uncertainty over decarbonization trends. Current orderbook stands at 7% of the fleet capacity, marking a 30-year low, which suggests a very limited growth capacity. According to our records, 85 bulkers have been ordered during 1H22, of which 5 are LNG fuelled or dual-fuelled, 3 being ammonia-ready/fuelled and 25 meeting EEDI phase 3 standards. Overall, 14 % of the total orderbook are alternative fuel capable, with Capesize segment leading the decarbonization pathway.
On the container front, however, the market sentiment is bullish with an orderbook at 28% of the fleet capacity. Amid disruptions to the world trade caused by the pandemic and a shortage of new vessels, freights have been rallying and therefore, fuelling owners’ appetite for boxhsips, which has prevailed during 1H22. More specifically, out of the total of 295 vessels ordered, 57 are dual-fuelled and LNG fuelled, 32 are methanol and ammonia-ready, while 31 meet EEDI phase 3 standards.
Newbuilding ordering activity has further been supported by the recent spree in LNG contracts. According to our data, contracting activity in the sector hit record highs with a total of 112 new vessels ordered within 2022, boosting the orderbook to 37% of the fleet capacity. Berths for the Qatar LNG project are monopolizing the owners’ interest, providing further support to the market. Out of the total of 112 vessels, 32 are booked for the Qatari project and 6 of them are dual or LNG-fuelled. Further supported by growth in LNG tonne-mile trade on the back of the sanctions on Russian gas from EU/US, and the recently announced plan for expansion of Qatar’s mega-plant and Cheniere’s Corpus Chritsti plant, market sentiment for LNG contracting activity remains firm.
By Chara Georgousi
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 25 November 21
SE ASIA POWER DEMAND TO RISE AS STATE SUPPORT MITIGATES COVID-19 IMPACT - FITCH RATINGS
Electricity demand in south-east Asia is likely to increase in 2021, following slow growth or contraction in 2020, thanks to state support that has ...
Thursday, 25 November 21
FITCH RATINGS INCREASES MOST GLOBAL METALS AND MINING PRICE ASSUMPTIONS - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings has increased most metals and mining price assumptions, particularly those that benefit from increased longer-term demand due to glob ...
Thursday, 25 November 21
CHINA'S COAL PRICE DROPS IN MID-NOVEMBER AMID GOVERNMENT’S SWEEPING MEASURES - GLOBAL TIMES
China’s coal prices have dropped significantly in mid-November compared with the beginning of the month, with the price of coking coal and co ...
Wednesday, 24 November 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Inflation is the word that has dominated the meetings of foreign leaders and finance ministers in recent weeks, as rising energy costs, supply chai ...
Wednesday, 24 November 21
WHY THIS MINING ANALYST IS UPBEAT ON THE IRON ORE PRICE FORECAST - MOTLEY FOOL
In many ways, 2021 can be called the year of the iron ore price. Much of the talk of the ASX town this year has revolved around this key economic m ...
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- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PTC India Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The University of Queensland
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
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