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Friday, 22 July 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Faced with uncertainty regarding the most cost-efficient alternative fuels and the future dominant method to reduce their greenhouse emissions, many owners abstain from the newbuilding realm, especially in the wet and dry sector, while sticking to ageing fleets. During 1H22, fleet grew by 1.4% (est. 2.8% in 2022), which is way below the 10-year average growth of 3.6%. While new orders are not coming in fast enough to halt the trend of an ageing fleet, the introduction of EEXI, CII and EU ETS at the beginning of 2023, has resulted in a record of 61% of newbuild orders being alternative fuelled.
According to our data, tanker fleet renewal remains muted across 1H22. Overall, 31 vessels have been ordered within 2022 in the wet sector (with the orderbook standing at 5% of fleet capacity), of which 1 is methanol & ammonia ready, 1 is methanol fuelled, 2 are battery powered and 2 are LNG fuelled. With risks to the tanker demand still prevailing on the back of macroeconomic factors and high oil prices, the tanker market has witnessed significantly improved conditions in recent months, underpinned by shifts in trade patterns resulting in tonne-mile increase. Low stocks, paired with high refinery margins are expected to further boost trade growth in seaborne volumes and tonne-miles and contribute to the revival of an ageing fleet.
On the dry front, contracting activity hit low levels, partly on the back of uncertainty over decarbonization trends. Current orderbook stands at 7% of the fleet capacity, marking a 30-year low, which suggests a very limited growth capacity. According to our records, 85 bulkers have been ordered during 1H22, of which 5 are LNG fuelled or dual-fuelled, 3 being ammonia-ready/fuelled and 25 meeting EEDI phase 3 standards. Overall, 14 % of the total orderbook are alternative fuel capable, with Capesize segment leading the decarbonization pathway.
On the container front, however, the market sentiment is bullish with an orderbook at 28% of the fleet capacity. Amid disruptions to the world trade caused by the pandemic and a shortage of new vessels, freights have been rallying and therefore, fuelling owners’ appetite for boxhsips, which has prevailed during 1H22. More specifically, out of the total of 295 vessels ordered, 57 are dual-fuelled and LNG fuelled, 32 are methanol and ammonia-ready, while 31 meet EEDI phase 3 standards.
Newbuilding ordering activity has further been supported by the recent spree in LNG contracts. According to our data, contracting activity in the sector hit record highs with a total of 112 new vessels ordered within 2022, boosting the orderbook to 37% of the fleet capacity. Berths for the Qatar LNG project are monopolizing the owners’ interest, providing further support to the market. Out of the total of 112 vessels, 32 are booked for the Qatari project and 6 of them are dual or LNG-fuelled. Further supported by growth in LNG tonne-mile trade on the back of the sanctions on Russian gas from EU/US, and the recently announced plan for expansion of Qatar’s mega-plant and Cheniere’s Corpus Chritsti plant, market sentiment for LNG contracting activity remains firm.
By Chara Georgousi
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 26 January 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
While it is logical that most of the S&P reports of the first weeks of the year are linked to very limited activity as reflected in the weekly ...
Wednesday, 26 January 22
INDONESIA: DME PROJECT IS ECONOMICALLY VIABLE AS STUDY DEMONSTRATES
The government is encouraging downstream coal processing or increase in coal added value, for example by turning coal into Dimethyl Ether (DME) to ...
Wednesday, 26 January 22
COMMODITY PRICES COULD SOAR IF THE RUSSIA-UKRAINE CRISIS ESCALATES - ING
It appears that a number of commodity markets are starting to at least price in some geopolitical risk around the growing tension between Russia an ...
Wednesday, 26 January 22
INDONESIA'S COAL BAN SENDS PRICES SOARING, OTHER EXPORTERS FAIL TO STEP UP - REUTERS
Indonesia’s short-lived ban on exporting coal has sent ructions through the seaborne market for the fuel in Asia, with the fallout likely to ...
Friday, 21 January 22
CHINA'S POWER TRADING TARIFFS TO RISE IN 2022 - FITCH RATINGS
Rising trading volume and higher-than-benchmark tariffs in the 2022 bilateral contracts signed between Chinese power generation companies (gencos) ...
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- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Australian Coal Association
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
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