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Friday, 22 July 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Faced with uncertainty regarding the most cost-efficient alternative fuels and the future dominant method to reduce their greenhouse emissions, many owners abstain from the newbuilding realm, especially in the wet and dry sector, while sticking to ageing fleets. During 1H22, fleet grew by 1.4% (est. 2.8% in 2022), which is way below the 10-year average growth of 3.6%. While new orders are not coming in fast enough to halt the trend of an ageing fleet, the introduction of EEXI, CII and EU ETS at the beginning of 2023, has resulted in a record of 61% of newbuild orders being alternative fuelled.
According to our data, tanker fleet renewal remains muted across 1H22. Overall, 31 vessels have been ordered within 2022 in the wet sector (with the orderbook standing at 5% of fleet capacity), of which 1 is methanol & ammonia ready, 1 is methanol fuelled, 2 are battery powered and 2 are LNG fuelled. With risks to the tanker demand still prevailing on the back of macroeconomic factors and high oil prices, the tanker market has witnessed significantly improved conditions in recent months, underpinned by shifts in trade patterns resulting in tonne-mile increase. Low stocks, paired with high refinery margins are expected to further boost trade growth in seaborne volumes and tonne-miles and contribute to the revival of an ageing fleet.
On the dry front, contracting activity hit low levels, partly on the back of uncertainty over decarbonization trends. Current orderbook stands at 7% of the fleet capacity, marking a 30-year low, which suggests a very limited growth capacity. According to our records, 85 bulkers have been ordered during 1H22, of which 5 are LNG fuelled or dual-fuelled, 3 being ammonia-ready/fuelled and 25 meeting EEDI phase 3 standards. Overall, 14 % of the total orderbook are alternative fuel capable, with Capesize segment leading the decarbonization pathway.
On the container front, however, the market sentiment is bullish with an orderbook at 28% of the fleet capacity. Amid disruptions to the world trade caused by the pandemic and a shortage of new vessels, freights have been rallying and therefore, fuelling owners’ appetite for boxhsips, which has prevailed during 1H22. More specifically, out of the total of 295 vessels ordered, 57 are dual-fuelled and LNG fuelled, 32 are methanol and ammonia-ready, while 31 meet EEDI phase 3 standards.
Newbuilding ordering activity has further been supported by the recent spree in LNG contracts. According to our data, contracting activity in the sector hit record highs with a total of 112 new vessels ordered within 2022, boosting the orderbook to 37% of the fleet capacity. Berths for the Qatar LNG project are monopolizing the owners’ interest, providing further support to the market. Out of the total of 112 vessels, 32 are booked for the Qatari project and 6 of them are dual or LNG-fuelled. Further supported by growth in LNG tonne-mile trade on the back of the sanctions on Russian gas from EU/US, and the recently announced plan for expansion of Qatar’s mega-plant and Cheniere’s Corpus Chritsti plant, market sentiment for LNG contracting activity remains firm.
By Chara Georgousi
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 13 October 22
OPEC DOWNGRADES CRUDE OIL DEMAND, AS WORLD ECONOMY ENTERS SLOWDOWN
Crude Oil Price Movements
The OPEC Reference Basket (ORB) declined m-o-m by $6.58 in September, or 6.5%, to average $95.32/b. Pressure from equ ...
Wednesday, 12 October 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Sale and Purchase activity during the first three quarters of 2022 has been remarkable.
Focusing only on Tankers and Bulkers, such v ...
Monday, 10 October 22
ENERGY TRANSITION BOOSTS GLOBAL LONG-TERM DEMAND FOR METALS - FITCH RATINGS
The energy transition will significantly increase demand for metals used in manufacturing of electric vehicles (EVs) and renewable power generation ...
Monday, 10 October 22
GLOBAL CEOS EXPECT IMPENDING RECESSION TO BE 'SHORT AND SHARP,' POLL SHOWS - CNBC
Global CEOs are anticipating a recession in the next 12 months, according to a new survey by professional services firm KPMG, which said more than ...
Thursday, 06 October 22
AUSTRALIA’S RESOURCES REVENUE TO HIT RECORD AMID UKRAINE CONFLICT - REUTERS
Australian resources and energy export earnings are forecast to jump 7% to a record A$450 billion ($290 billion) this fiscal year, bolstered by soa ...
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- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- The University of Queensland
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Planning Commission, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Parliament of New Zealand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
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