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Friday, 22 July 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Faced with uncertainty regarding the most cost-efficient alternative fuels and the future dominant method to reduce their greenhouse emissions, many owners abstain from the newbuilding realm, especially in the wet and dry sector, while sticking to ageing fleets. During 1H22, fleet grew by 1.4% (est. 2.8% in 2022), which is way below the 10-year average growth of 3.6%. While new orders are not coming in fast enough to halt the trend of an ageing fleet, the introduction of EEXI, CII and EU ETS at the beginning of 2023, has resulted in a record of 61% of newbuild orders being alternative fuelled.
According to our data, tanker fleet renewal remains muted across 1H22. Overall, 31 vessels have been ordered within 2022 in the wet sector (with the orderbook standing at 5% of fleet capacity), of which 1 is methanol & ammonia ready, 1 is methanol fuelled, 2 are battery powered and 2 are LNG fuelled. With risks to the tanker demand still prevailing on the back of macroeconomic factors and high oil prices, the tanker market has witnessed significantly improved conditions in recent months, underpinned by shifts in trade patterns resulting in tonne-mile increase. Low stocks, paired with high refinery margins are expected to further boost trade growth in seaborne volumes and tonne-miles and contribute to the revival of an ageing fleet.
On the dry front, contracting activity hit low levels, partly on the back of uncertainty over decarbonization trends. Current orderbook stands at 7% of the fleet capacity, marking a 30-year low, which suggests a very limited growth capacity. According to our records, 85 bulkers have been ordered during 1H22, of which 5 are LNG fuelled or dual-fuelled, 3 being ammonia-ready/fuelled and 25 meeting EEDI phase 3 standards. Overall, 14 % of the total orderbook are alternative fuel capable, with Capesize segment leading the decarbonization pathway.
On the container front, however, the market sentiment is bullish with an orderbook at 28% of the fleet capacity. Amid disruptions to the world trade caused by the pandemic and a shortage of new vessels, freights have been rallying and therefore, fuelling owners’ appetite for boxhsips, which has prevailed during 1H22. More specifically, out of the total of 295 vessels ordered, 57 are dual-fuelled and LNG fuelled, 32 are methanol and ammonia-ready, while 31 meet EEDI phase 3 standards.
Newbuilding ordering activity has further been supported by the recent spree in LNG contracts. According to our data, contracting activity in the sector hit record highs with a total of 112 new vessels ordered within 2022, boosting the orderbook to 37% of the fleet capacity. Berths for the Qatar LNG project are monopolizing the owners’ interest, providing further support to the market. Out of the total of 112 vessels, 32 are booked for the Qatari project and 6 of them are dual or LNG-fuelled. Further supported by growth in LNG tonne-mile trade on the back of the sanctions on Russian gas from EU/US, and the recently announced plan for expansion of Qatar’s mega-plant and Cheniere’s Corpus Chritsti plant, market sentiment for LNG contracting activity remains firm.
By Chara Georgousi
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 08 January 23
ELEVATED COAL PRICE A DRAG ON MARGINS OF DOMESTIC BASE METAL PLAYERS: ICRA
The increased price of coal continue to be a drag on the margin of domestic base metal players with no immediate relief in sight, rating agency ICR ...
Monday, 02 January 23
CHINA’S COAL CONSUMPTION TO PEAK BY 2035: REPORT - REUTERS
China’s primary energy consumption is likely to peak at nearly 6.03 billion tonnes of standard coal between 2030 and 2035, refining giant Chi ...
Thursday, 29 December 22
INDIA'S COAL DEMAND LIKELY TO PEAK BETWEEN 2030-2035: MINISTER - ANI
The demand for coal in India will continue and is likely to peak between 2030-2035, Union Minister of Coal, Mines, and Parliamentary Affairs Pralha ...
Thursday, 29 December 22
RIO TINTO AND PARTNERS COULD RECEIVE AS MUCH AS $450M IN GOVERNMENT COMPENSATION FOR COAL PRICE CAP - THE GUARDIAN
Compensation payments for the Gladstone power plant remain the sticking point in the federal government’s coal price cap compensation negotia ...
Wednesday, 28 December 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) published a Global Trade Update on December 13th highlighting that global trade wou ...
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- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- The University of Queensland
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PTC India Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
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