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Friday, 22 July 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Faced with uncertainty regarding the most cost-efficient alternative fuels and the future dominant method to reduce their greenhouse emissions, many owners abstain from the newbuilding realm, especially in the wet and dry sector, while sticking to ageing fleets. During 1H22, fleet grew by 1.4% (est. 2.8% in 2022), which is way below the 10-year average growth of 3.6%. While new orders are not coming in fast enough to halt the trend of an ageing fleet, the introduction of EEXI, CII and EU ETS at the beginning of 2023, has resulted in a record of 61% of newbuild orders being alternative fuelled.
According to our data, tanker fleet renewal remains muted across 1H22. Overall, 31 vessels have been ordered within 2022 in the wet sector (with the orderbook standing at 5% of fleet capacity), of which 1 is methanol & ammonia ready, 1 is methanol fuelled, 2 are battery powered and 2 are LNG fuelled. With risks to the tanker demand still prevailing on the back of macroeconomic factors and high oil prices, the tanker market has witnessed significantly improved conditions in recent months, underpinned by shifts in trade patterns resulting in tonne-mile increase. Low stocks, paired with high refinery margins are expected to further boost trade growth in seaborne volumes and tonne-miles and contribute to the revival of an ageing fleet.
On the dry front, contracting activity hit low levels, partly on the back of uncertainty over decarbonization trends. Current orderbook stands at 7% of the fleet capacity, marking a 30-year low, which suggests a very limited growth capacity. According to our records, 85 bulkers have been ordered during 1H22, of which 5 are LNG fuelled or dual-fuelled, 3 being ammonia-ready/fuelled and 25 meeting EEDI phase 3 standards. Overall, 14 % of the total orderbook are alternative fuel capable, with Capesize segment leading the decarbonization pathway.
On the container front, however, the market sentiment is bullish with an orderbook at 28% of the fleet capacity. Amid disruptions to the world trade caused by the pandemic and a shortage of new vessels, freights have been rallying and therefore, fuelling owners’ appetite for boxhsips, which has prevailed during 1H22. More specifically, out of the total of 295 vessels ordered, 57 are dual-fuelled and LNG fuelled, 32 are methanol and ammonia-ready, while 31 meet EEDI phase 3 standards.
Newbuilding ordering activity has further been supported by the recent spree in LNG contracts. According to our data, contracting activity in the sector hit record highs with a total of 112 new vessels ordered within 2022, boosting the orderbook to 37% of the fleet capacity. Berths for the Qatar LNG project are monopolizing the owners’ interest, providing further support to the market. Out of the total of 112 vessels, 32 are booked for the Qatari project and 6 of them are dual or LNG-fuelled. Further supported by growth in LNG tonne-mile trade on the back of the sanctions on Russian gas from EU/US, and the recently announced plan for expansion of Qatar’s mega-plant and Cheniere’s Corpus Chritsti plant, market sentiment for LNG contracting activity remains firm.
By Chara Georgousi
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 08 May 21
THE COAL-TO-RENEWABLES TRANSITION TAKES OFF - IEEFA
Pre-Biden changes underscore coming 10-year wave of coal plant retirements
The traditional S-curve growth exhibited by disruptive te ...
Friday, 07 May 21
CHINA'S TOTAL COAL IMPORTS FOR 2020 REACHED A VOLUME OF 304 MILLION TONS - ASSOCARBONI
Our benchmarks, manufacturing Countries like China, Germany, Japan, India, South Korea and Taiwan will continue to use a mix of coal and nuclear to ...
Friday, 07 May 21
SEABORNE WORLD COAL TRADE CLOSED 2020 IN NEGATIVE - ASSOCARBONI
Coal confirmed its leadership as leading fuel for electricity generation also in 2020, accounting for 38% of overall production. For the first time ...
Friday, 07 May 21
INDONESIA'S THERMAL COAL EXPORTS IN 2020 DECREASED BY 13%; INDIA REMAINED THE TOP DESTINATION FOR INDONESIAN COAL - ASSOCARBONI
An increase in seaborne trade is forecast for 2022, driven by markets in Southeast Asia, where growing demand for coal from Bangladesh, the Philipp ...
Friday, 30 April 21
HIGH-SULPHUR FUEL OIL SALES REBOUND AFTER PRE-IMO 2020 - BIMCO
HSFO sales are up 47.2% from Q1 2020, reaching 3.1m tonnes. This is however still less than a third of high-sulphur fuel sales in Q1 2019, before t ...
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- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- White Energy Company Limited
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
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