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Friday, 22 July 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Faced with uncertainty regarding the most cost-efficient alternative fuels and the future dominant method to reduce their greenhouse emissions, many owners abstain from the newbuilding realm, especially in the wet and dry sector, while sticking to ageing fleets. During 1H22, fleet grew by 1.4% (est. 2.8% in 2022), which is way below the 10-year average growth of 3.6%. While new orders are not coming in fast enough to halt the trend of an ageing fleet, the introduction of EEXI, CII and EU ETS at the beginning of 2023, has resulted in a record of 61% of newbuild orders being alternative fuelled.
According to our data, tanker fleet renewal remains muted across 1H22. Overall, 31 vessels have been ordered within 2022 in the wet sector (with the orderbook standing at 5% of fleet capacity), of which 1 is methanol & ammonia ready, 1 is methanol fuelled, 2 are battery powered and 2 are LNG fuelled. With risks to the tanker demand still prevailing on the back of macroeconomic factors and high oil prices, the tanker market has witnessed significantly improved conditions in recent months, underpinned by shifts in trade patterns resulting in tonne-mile increase. Low stocks, paired with high refinery margins are expected to further boost trade growth in seaborne volumes and tonne-miles and contribute to the revival of an ageing fleet.
On the dry front, contracting activity hit low levels, partly on the back of uncertainty over decarbonization trends. Current orderbook stands at 7% of the fleet capacity, marking a 30-year low, which suggests a very limited growth capacity. According to our records, 85 bulkers have been ordered during 1H22, of which 5 are LNG fuelled or dual-fuelled, 3 being ammonia-ready/fuelled and 25 meeting EEDI phase 3 standards. Overall, 14 % of the total orderbook are alternative fuel capable, with Capesize segment leading the decarbonization pathway.
On the container front, however, the market sentiment is bullish with an orderbook at 28% of the fleet capacity. Amid disruptions to the world trade caused by the pandemic and a shortage of new vessels, freights have been rallying and therefore, fuelling owners’ appetite for boxhsips, which has prevailed during 1H22. More specifically, out of the total of 295 vessels ordered, 57 are dual-fuelled and LNG fuelled, 32 are methanol and ammonia-ready, while 31 meet EEDI phase 3 standards.
Newbuilding ordering activity has further been supported by the recent spree in LNG contracts. According to our data, contracting activity in the sector hit record highs with a total of 112 new vessels ordered within 2022, boosting the orderbook to 37% of the fleet capacity. Berths for the Qatar LNG project are monopolizing the owners’ interest, providing further support to the market. Out of the total of 112 vessels, 32 are booked for the Qatari project and 6 of them are dual or LNG-fuelled. Further supported by growth in LNG tonne-mile trade on the back of the sanctions on Russian gas from EU/US, and the recently announced plan for expansion of Qatar’s mega-plant and Cheniere’s Corpus Chritsti plant, market sentiment for LNG contracting activity remains firm.
By Chara Georgousi
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 20 August 21
ARE WE LOOKING AT THE NEXT DRY BULK SUPER CYCLE? IS IT EVEN A CYCLE? - BIMCO
Throughout the first half of the year, talk of a new dry bulk super cycle has been on many lips as commodity prices have soared to multi-year highs ...
Friday, 20 August 21
BIMCO'S SHIPPING NUMBER OF THE WEEK: CHINESE IRON ORE IMPORTS FALL TO 14-MONTH LOW IN JULY - PETER SAND
Chinese iron ore imports fell to 88.5 million tonnes in July, the lowest level since May 2020. The fall in July means that accumulated imports are ...
Friday, 20 August 21
SOARING DEMAND FOR THE WORLD’S LEAST-LIKED COMMODITY SEES THERMAL COAL PRICES JUMP 106% THIS YEAR - CNBC
Soaring electricity demand, infrastructure woes and a surge in global gas prices have triggered an extraordinary rally for the world’s least ...
Friday, 20 August 21
CHINA’S IRON ORE IMPORTS CONTRACTED YEAR-ON-YEAR BY 2% IN 2018 AND GREW YEAR-ON-YEAR BY ONLY 1% IN 2019 - COMMODORE RESEARCH
Examining the last ten years of China’s crude steel output and iron ore imports shows that China’s iron ore imports have stayed r ...
Friday, 13 August 21
INDONESIA’S COAL EXPORTS TO JAPAN DECLINED BY -26.3% YOY TO 11.9 MLN TONNES IN THE FIRST 7 MONTHS OF 2021; STILL THE SECOND LARGEST SOURCE FOR JAPAN’S COAL IMPORTS IS INDONESIA - BANCHERO COSTA
2020 proved to be a truly terrible year for global seaborne coal trade. Total global loadings in the 12 months of 2020 were down -12.7% year-on-yea ...
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- Australian Coal Association
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
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