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Wednesday, 13 July 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Taking the previous market insight a step further, market sentiment remains bullish regarding the overall ROI of scrubbers, facing tailwinds from a surprisingly favorable Hi-5 spread. Under a blurred setting regarding the direction and efficiency of alternative fuels and the current geopolitical disruptions, owners tend to adopt a medium-term approach to the evaluation of their investment towards decarbonization, rather than a long-term which might be overturned.
Recent studies have shown that running on HSFO and on a scrubber produces way lower emissions than running on LSMGO, further confirming the viability of a scrubber investment. Currently, owners who will drydock their vessels soon are increasingly considering investing in pollution abatement technology, in return for the benefits from the expected savings in the bunkering costs.
Coming down to the decision-making, the choice of scrubber type is a key factor that shapes the fitting cost but will mostly affect future savings and compliance with changing regulations. While most vessels carry open-loop scrubbers, many vessels fitted now opt for hybrid types, which offer increased flexibility for operation in all areas, regardless of ECA’s constraining rules or seawater alkalinity. Technological investments have a special mechanism of assessment, therefore, payback period, level of risk, tax prospects and expected inflation should be considered. The main criteria regarding the justification of a scrubber investment should be the ROI (including CAPEX & OPEX), the space occupied, and the weight, with horizontal scrubbers weighting less and covering less space compared to vertical ones, thus, minimizing the impact on a vessel’s cargo-carrying capacity and its profitability. Due to the funding difference of the technology implementation, the terms of inflows (fuel savings) and outflows (CAPEX & OPEX) should be identified, while the determining factor will be the maximum payback period.
Currently, owners who have already invested in scrubbers are enjoying a high ROI, while benefiting from more than $500/t Hi-5 spreads. For instance, in Singapore it was assessed at an all-time high of $569.50/t on July 5th, creating, therefore, the perfect scenario for scrubber-equipped ships. In Fujairah, the set-up is pretty much similar with the spread fluctuating close to the $500/t range. While HSFO markets in Asia have been weakening on the back of sanctions on Urals crude in Europe and the US, VLSFO markets are seeing a tight supply as refineries have been utilizing sweeter crude to maximize gasoline production to meet the demand for the peak driving season in the US and due to the expanded regional turnaround and strong gasoline cracks.
At the moment, retrofitting times vary between 30 and 50 days, which is important to consider under the current market conditions. According to our data, retrofits now take place at a slower pace, while during 1H of 2022 only 3.7% of newbuilt vessels are scrubber fitted, compared to 13.9% during 1H of 2021. Since investments in technology are capital intensive, owners tend to keep a more conservative stance and ensure a balance in their fleets, until clarity is given on what will be the most cost-efficient and dominant compliant method.
By Chara Georgousi,
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 09 November 21
ASIA-PACIFIC IS HOME TO SOME OF THE WORLD'S LARGEST CARBON-EMITTERS - 2 CHARTS SHOW ITS RELIANCE ON COAL - CNBC
Asia-Pacific is home to some of the world’s largest carbon emitters — and experts say much of global efforts to fight climate change de ...
Tuesday, 09 November 21
CHINA DAILY COAL OUTPUT HITS MULTI-YEAR PEAK, PRICES EXPECTED TO FALL - REUTERS
China’s daily coal output hit 11.93 million tonnes last week, a multi-year high as more capacity returned to operation, the state planner sai ...
Thursday, 04 November 21
CHINA'S COAL MARKET SEES SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENTS: NDRC - GLOBAL TIMES
China’s top economic planner has declared initial success in its efforts to ensure coal supply and stabilize prices, saying that daily coal o ...
Thursday, 04 November 21
CHINA THERMAL COAL PRICES RISE AFTER FALLING FOR 10 DAYS - REUTERS
China thermal coal futures rebounded on Wednesday after falling for 10 days on an expected jump in fuel demand to meet heating needs amid forecasts ...
Thursday, 04 November 21
FASTER DECARBONISATION: BACK TO BASICS FOR THE MINING INDUSTRY? - WOOD MACKENZIE
To the uninitiated, rugby is a technical and complicated game. As young schoolboys it was all a wee bit confusing and we invariably ended up on the ...
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- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Parliament of New Zealand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
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