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Wednesday, 13 July 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Taking the previous market insight a step further, market sentiment remains bullish regarding the overall ROI of scrubbers, facing tailwinds from a surprisingly favorable Hi-5 spread. Under a blurred setting regarding the direction and efficiency of alternative fuels and the current geopolitical disruptions, owners tend to adopt a medium-term approach to the evaluation of their investment towards decarbonization, rather than a long-term which might be overturned.
Recent studies have shown that running on HSFO and on a scrubber produces way lower emissions than running on LSMGO, further confirming the viability of a scrubber investment. Currently, owners who will drydock their vessels soon are increasingly considering investing in pollution abatement technology, in return for the benefits from the expected savings in the bunkering costs.
Coming down to the decision-making, the choice of scrubber type is a key factor that shapes the fitting cost but will mostly affect future savings and compliance with changing regulations. While most vessels carry open-loop scrubbers, many vessels fitted now opt for hybrid types, which offer increased flexibility for operation in all areas, regardless of ECA’s constraining rules or seawater alkalinity. Technological investments have a special mechanism of assessment, therefore, payback period, level of risk, tax prospects and expected inflation should be considered. The main criteria regarding the justification of a scrubber investment should be the ROI (including CAPEX & OPEX), the space occupied, and the weight, with horizontal scrubbers weighting less and covering less space compared to vertical ones, thus, minimizing the impact on a vessel’s cargo-carrying capacity and its profitability. Due to the funding difference of the technology implementation, the terms of inflows (fuel savings) and outflows (CAPEX & OPEX) should be identified, while the determining factor will be the maximum payback period.
Currently, owners who have already invested in scrubbers are enjoying a high ROI, while benefiting from more than $500/t Hi-5 spreads. For instance, in Singapore it was assessed at an all-time high of $569.50/t on July 5th, creating, therefore, the perfect scenario for scrubber-equipped ships. In Fujairah, the set-up is pretty much similar with the spread fluctuating close to the $500/t range. While HSFO markets in Asia have been weakening on the back of sanctions on Urals crude in Europe and the US, VLSFO markets are seeing a tight supply as refineries have been utilizing sweeter crude to maximize gasoline production to meet the demand for the peak driving season in the US and due to the expanded regional turnaround and strong gasoline cracks.
At the moment, retrofitting times vary between 30 and 50 days, which is important to consider under the current market conditions. According to our data, retrofits now take place at a slower pace, while during 1H of 2022 only 3.7% of newbuilt vessels are scrubber fitted, compared to 13.9% during 1H of 2021. Since investments in technology are capital intensive, owners tend to keep a more conservative stance and ensure a balance in their fleets, until clarity is given on what will be the most cost-efficient and dominant compliant method.
By Chara Georgousi,
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 05 April 22
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE HITS RECORD ABOVE $288
COALspot.com: Indonesian Coal Price Reference for April in a steep climb from March 2022.
As expected, Russia – Ukraine war dr ...
Thursday, 31 March 22
CHINA STATE PLANNER ASKS COAL INDEX PROVIDERS TO RECTIFY IRREGULARITIES - REUTERS
China’s state planner has asked some major coal price index providers to rectify “severe irregularities” it had identified in the ...
Thursday, 31 March 22
IMPORTED COAL PRICES TO JUMP 55% IN APR-JUN, IMPACT INDIAN FIRMS: ICRA - LIVEMINT
Supply disruption owing to the Russia-Ukraine conflict could push the price of imported coal by 45-55% in Q1FY23 compared to the previous quarter, ...
Thursday, 31 March 22
CHINA'S COAL OUTPUT SET FOR MODERATE GROWTH IN 2022 - INDUSTRY BODY - REUTERS
China is expected to see its coal output to grow further in 2022 after hitting a record last year, an industry body forecast on Wednesday, as the c ...
Tuesday, 29 March 22
MEMR OF INDONESIA HAS FIXED COAL PRICE AT US$ 90 PER TONNE FOR DOMESTIC INDUSTRIES EXCEPT SMELTER INDUSTRIES; FOR PLN USD 70 IS APPLICABLE
Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources (ESDM) Arifin Tasrif has set the selling price of coal for domestic, industrial except metal processing an ...
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- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PTC India Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- VISA Power Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Parliament of New Zealand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
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