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Wednesday, 06 July 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Following the 3rd Decarbonizing Shipping Forum, held in Hamburg on June 2022, there has been a meaningful resurgence of discussions within the shipping industry around the topic. In order to meet internationally agreed levels of mitigation, shipping industry must undertake fundamental changes in its emissions pathway, while stakeholders need to implement effective solutions to reduce their emissions in a cost-effective and feasible way. Cost considerations, which typically represent the main part of the decision process, operational and market factors need to be addressed.
Adopting an economic and sustainable fuel solution to substitute fossil fuels is a complex process, facing headwinds from a current absence of targeted policies, such as renewable fuel mandate and carbon taxation. Fuel price is a shaping factor for change in the industry as bunkers, which represent approx. 47% of a vessel’s operating cost, will significantly increase under IMO’s regulations. Therefore, to continue running on cheaper fossil fuels, many vessels are being built or fitted with scrubbers, which equal 4.26% of the world fleet in 2022, according to our data.
This figure equals to 4,845 vessels, according to DNV, with most of them carrying open type scrubbers and 3,296 of them being retrofitted, while only 1,549 of them fitted at newbuilding stage. In terms of ship type most of them are bulkers (1,659), followed by containers (1,121) and chemical/oil tankers (573). In terms of alternative fuels, LNG currently seems the only green fuel that is viable commercially for the deep-sea segment in the short term, with a 0.74% total LNG capable fleet in 2022. In total, there are 817 LNG capable ships in operation, while 743 are currently on order, according to our data. Most of them are oil tankers (39 in operation and 35 on order), containerships (36 in operation and a massive number of 169 on order) and bulkers (13 in operation and 49 on order). However, despite low emissions, it will not be able to meet IMO’s regulations in the long term and will only represent a transitory fuel.
Regarding methanol and ammonia, these are scarcely in use, with only 56 methanol fueled vessels and very few ammonia fueled vessels in operation, of which 6 are tankers. Port infrastructure is currently under development with dominant initiatives from Vopak Terminal in Rotterdam for methanol and port of Gothenburg in Sweden which is establishing a value chain aiming at becoming the primary methanol bunkering hub in Northern Europe and the most recent development of Yara terminal in Oslo, the world’s first ammonia fuel bunker network in Scandinavia.
On the other hand, the use of biofuels still accounts for a small percentage of the world fleet. Owners are still skeptical towards the use of biofuels in the short term, as the additional cost for the fuel transition paired with a 10% premium on bunker cost, amidst a lack of well-established supply chain and infrastructures, will result in higher freights under an unclear framework on how this extra cost will be divided between involved maritime stakeholders. According to our data, there are currently 8 tankers, 9 bulkers and 10 containers in operation using biofuels.
From a technological point of view, fitting vessels with scrubbers or converting engines to run on alternative or biofuels is a costly and time-consuming process. For instance, to run on LNG, vessels require two to three times the volume of fuel oil tanks. Engines burning ammonia or hydrogen are still under testing & development phase and builders will need more time on top of the various safety concerns associated with the use of these fuels.
Regarding the electrification of vessels, batteries are not yet adequately developed and will need to become less heavy and space-consuming, as well as more efficient to support optimal ship operation. In the meantime, there are only 118 cold ironing facilities in operation and 47 more being decided for future operation globally (according to DNV), with most of them in Northern Europe and very few of them in USA/Canada and China for a total number of 466 battery-powered vessels in operation, 50% of them are hybrid type and only 23% of them pure electric, and 188 vessels on order at the moment.
By Chara Georgousi,
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 04 November 22
CHINA EXPANDS COAL TERM CONTRACTS TO ALL MINES TO STABILIZE MARKET - REUTERS
China has expanded long-term thermal coal supply contracts for 2023 to all coal mines and asked power utilities to source more of their demand thro ...
Thursday, 03 November 22
HANDYSIZE VALUES MOVING UP IN OCTOBER, WHILE LNG VALUES SKYROCKET - VESSELSVALUE
Handysize values have increased this month across most ages, following a period of decline. Values for generic 10 year old Handysizes have moved up ...
Thursday, 03 November 22
EUROPEAN GAS SUPPLY SURPLUS, NOVEMBER HBA DOWN TO US$ 308.2 PER TON - ESDM
European gas supply conditions have a major influence in determining fluctuations in the Reference Coal Price (HBA). The November 2022 HBA recorded ...
Wednesday, 02 November 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Only five weeks before western sanctions’ full effect, uncertainty over energy has markets and governments on the edge. What was initially th ...
Tuesday, 01 November 22
CHINA COAL TRADE DISRUPTED BY COVID OUTBREAKS AS WINTER LOOMS - REUTERS
China’s strict COVID-19 policy is constraining coal supplies and pushing up prices, industry officials and traders say, just weeks before the ...
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- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- MS Steel International - UAE
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
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