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Wednesday, 29 June 22
LNG MARKET REMAINS TIGHT - INTERMODAL
 LNG market remains tight currently, mainly driven by the US LNG outage from the recent fire in Freeport LNG terminal together with the recent fall of gas flows to Europe from Russia, resulting in whipsaw patterns in gas prices in the EU/US.
The EU/US Taskforce to reduce Europe’s dependence on Russian gas held a meeting on June 14th, planning further US LNG exports to the EU, amidst a flurry of commercial activity due to the recent fire at the Freeport LNG export terminal in Texas, which initiated on the 8th of June. Officials said, during the previous week, that damage from the fire at its Texas plant would keep it fully offline until September with only partial operation through year-end. Following the news of the extended shutdown, natural gas prices slumped in the United States and soared in Europe.
The closure came as pipeline supplies from Europe’s top providers are also capped. For instance, key facilities in Norway have been undergoing annual maintenance, while Russia’s supplies are below capacity after several European buyers were cut off for refusing to meet Moscow’s demands to be ultimately paid in rubles for its pipeline fuel. Russian gas supply to Europe via the Nord Stream 1 pipeline fell further on June 16th, and Moscow said more delays in repairs could lead to suspending all flows, putting a brake on Europe’s race to refill its gas inventories. Russia clearly steps up the use of energy as a weapon, prompting Germany to accuse Kremlin of trying to drive up prices. There is a very real probability that European conventional storage will start the new withdrawal period with low stocks again, indicating tightness in LNG and gas markets lasts well into 2023.
More specifically TTF closed at $84.400MMBtu on June 1st, but following the fire news, it marked at climbed to $91.550MMBtu intraweek. Last week it was traded up to $148.745 MMBtu on June 16th, marking an intamonth high, after the cut in gas flows from Nord Stream 1 pipeline.
Key underlying drivers in bringing LNG prices together are weak demand in North Asia, the world's main consuming region, amidst the latest lockdown in China, as well as strong demand in Europe due to the policy pivot towards LNG and away from dependence on Russian pipeline gas. The wave of new supply additions to the global LNG market seen during 2015-2020 is slowing down considerably and considering minimal growth during 2020 and 2021, supply seems to be outstripped by demand. Supply will most likely remain curbed, while Gazprom’s CEO is warning that there is no solution at the moment for issues with gas turbines, essential for the pipeline’s functioning. That said, refilling of storage tanks for the winter when demand typically peaks is threatened. With European gas supplies being already squeezed and on the back of a dearth of gas supplies for the coming winter, a return to coal now seems the only viable option for EU countries.
While gas demand in China will remain the engine of global LNG growth, disruptions in new LNG production out of the US which was set out to be the key to global balance over 2022, form the main market indicators which are pointing in the same direction and they are, undoubtedly, signaling a supply/demand imbalance that will continue to nibble sentiment in the short term.
By Chara Georgousi,
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 26 July 22
CAP RUSSIA'S OIL PRICE NOW - PROJECT SYNDICATE
Though the price of oil has declined in recent weeks, it is still through the roof, filtering through to gasoline prices, and causing economic and ...
Tuesday, 26 July 22
WILL SOUTH AMERICA’S WINTER DEMAND DRAW LNG CARGOES AWAY FROM EUROPE? - ICIS
South America is now in the middle of its winter demand season. Last year the region increased its share of global LNG imports in winter, with Braz ...
Monday, 25 July 22
GLOBAL 2021 COAL-FIRED ELECTRICITY GENERATION SURGES TO RECORD HIGH - REUTERS
By contrast, mine output was still fractionally below the record set between 2012 and 2014 because older and less efficient coal generators have be ...
Saturday, 23 July 22
THE EU HAS BEEN REDUCING IMPORTS OF RUSSIAN REFINED OIL PRODUCTS SINCE MARCH - BANCHERO COSTA
The European Union could now ban the import and transit of fuel oil from Russia around six months ahead of the planned deadline, an EU official and ...
Saturday, 23 July 22
INDONESIA CONSIDERING SCRAPPING DOMESTIC SALES RULE FOR PALM OIL EXPORTS - REUTERS
Indonesia is considering removing a domestic sales requirement for palm oil exports because high inventories of the vegetable oil have been holding ...
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- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
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