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Wednesday, 29 June 22
LNG MARKET REMAINS TIGHT - INTERMODAL
 LNG market remains tight currently, mainly driven by the US LNG outage from the recent fire in Freeport LNG terminal together with the recent fall of gas flows to Europe from Russia, resulting in whipsaw patterns in gas prices in the EU/US.
The EU/US Taskforce to reduce Europe’s dependence on Russian gas held a meeting on June 14th, planning further US LNG exports to the EU, amidst a flurry of commercial activity due to the recent fire at the Freeport LNG export terminal in Texas, which initiated on the 8th of June. Officials said, during the previous week, that damage from the fire at its Texas plant would keep it fully offline until September with only partial operation through year-end. Following the news of the extended shutdown, natural gas prices slumped in the United States and soared in Europe.
The closure came as pipeline supplies from Europe’s top providers are also capped. For instance, key facilities in Norway have been undergoing annual maintenance, while Russia’s supplies are below capacity after several European buyers were cut off for refusing to meet Moscow’s demands to be ultimately paid in rubles for its pipeline fuel. Russian gas supply to Europe via the Nord Stream 1 pipeline fell further on June 16th, and Moscow said more delays in repairs could lead to suspending all flows, putting a brake on Europe’s race to refill its gas inventories. Russia clearly steps up the use of energy as a weapon, prompting Germany to accuse Kremlin of trying to drive up prices. There is a very real probability that European conventional storage will start the new withdrawal period with low stocks again, indicating tightness in LNG and gas markets lasts well into 2023.
More specifically TTF closed at $84.400MMBtu on June 1st, but following the fire news, it marked at climbed to $91.550MMBtu intraweek. Last week it was traded up to $148.745 MMBtu on June 16th, marking an intamonth high, after the cut in gas flows from Nord Stream 1 pipeline.
Key underlying drivers in bringing LNG prices together are weak demand in North Asia, the world's main consuming region, amidst the latest lockdown in China, as well as strong demand in Europe due to the policy pivot towards LNG and away from dependence on Russian pipeline gas. The wave of new supply additions to the global LNG market seen during 2015-2020 is slowing down considerably and considering minimal growth during 2020 and 2021, supply seems to be outstripped by demand. Supply will most likely remain curbed, while Gazprom’s CEO is warning that there is no solution at the moment for issues with gas turbines, essential for the pipeline’s functioning. That said, refilling of storage tanks for the winter when demand typically peaks is threatened. With European gas supplies being already squeezed and on the back of a dearth of gas supplies for the coming winter, a return to coal now seems the only viable option for EU countries.
While gas demand in China will remain the engine of global LNG growth, disruptions in new LNG production out of the US which was set out to be the key to global balance over 2022, form the main market indicators which are pointing in the same direction and they are, undoubtedly, signaling a supply/demand imbalance that will continue to nibble sentiment in the short term.
By Chara Georgousi,
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 01 December 23
COAL MINERS GROUP EXPECTS INDONESIA’S 2023 COAL OUTPUT TO SURPASS TARGET - REUTERS
The Indonesian Coal Mining Association (ICMA) expects the country’s 2023 coal output to surpass the official target of 695 million metric ton ...
Friday, 24 November 23
COAL IMPORTS TO INDIA IN OCTOBER 2023 REACHED HIGHEST LEVELS IN NEARLY A YEAR AND A HALF - VESSELSVALUE, VESON NAUTICAL
In October, coal imports to India reached 13.8 mt in October 2023, according to Oceanbolt, a Veson Nautical solution, the highest level since May 2 ...
Friday, 24 November 23
COAL SHIPMENTS TO ADVANCED ECONOMIES DOWN 17% SO FAR IN 2023 - BIMCO
In the first ten months of 2023, coal shipments to advanced economies fell by 17% y/y, as demand for electricity declined and the share of electric ...
Friday, 24 November 23
INTELLIGENT COAL MINES CONTRIBUTE TO IMPROVING SAFETY STANDARDS - CHINA DAILY
Mechanization, automation and intelligent upgrades have contributed to improved safety in coal mines, though the level of development of intelligen ...
Friday, 24 November 23
WHY AUSTRALIA'S COAL MINES ARE GETTING BIGGER - IEEFA
Australia’s largest coal mines are getting larger. Mines in New South Wales (NSW) are ramping up production following the state’s recov ...
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- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Australian Coal Association
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- The University of Queensland
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- White Energy Company Limited
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
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