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Wednesday, 01 December 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Essentially, anyone involved in the shipping and commodity markets still struggle with commodity supply issues and skyrocketing prices in the context of a strained global supply chain.
This year, labor constraints, supply disruptions as well as high fertilizers costs led to a tight supply of edible oils, with palm oil particularly seeing its price pushed to record high levels two weeks ago, before softening during the current one amid negative cues from the emergence of the new COVID variant spurring volatility across commodities.
A great shortage of plantation workers who have been unable to re-enter the country due to pandemic related issues in Malaysia has lowered palm oil production estimates for 2021 to 18.3 million tons, down from 19.2 million tons in 2020, while although Indonesia’s palm oil output has been relatively flat y-o-y, its exports are expected to halve this year according to the Indonesia Palm Oil Association, due to heavy export levies.
While the Malaysian government, plans a special approval to bring about 30,000 workers back vs a shortage of 70,000 estimated at the beginning of the year by the Malaysian Palm Oil Association, efforts to bring them back will take a while before they reach plantations and start harvesting. A plan which might now be prolonged in the hearing and speculation around omicron variant, the last prompting buyers to begin stockpiling palm oil again.
Palm oil futures in Busra Malaysia have reached back-to-back record highs during the past year, setting the highest on November 18 at MYR (Malaysian Ringgit) 5,446/mt or $1,292.88 ( DEC 21). Industry analysts expect that from March 2022 onwards, production issues in edible oils will ease and post a steep rise after 2 years of supply disruptions. Naturally, a correction on prices is anticipated, however, it is also believed that we have entered a new era of higher price levels that are here to stay.
As far as the freight market is concerned rates for regional voyages to India and China have been moving sideways during the past weeks. On the other hand, FOSFA tonnage, especially on the westbound MR size TC Trip runs enjoyed a good premium, before correcting during mid Nov when the CPP Markets in the FEAST stagnated.
Representative freight rates loading palms oils from South East Asia to:
E.C. India 12-15,000 mtons at 33.00 usd/pmt
W.C. India/Pakistan 12-15,000 mtons at 35.00-37.00 usd/pmt
Mid China 12-15,000 mtons at 35.00 usd/pmt
Rotterdam 40-42,000 mtons at 49-51 usd/pmt
T/C Del Korea-Re-del Cont. 47-51,000 DWT 15,000/16,000 USD/PD (NON ECO ) +2K FOR ECO
Looking forward, there is no sight of supply and prices easing materially until post Q1 of 2022, while inventories will be scarce for the first half of next year. Finally, freight markets are likely to head north alongside a highly anticipated CPP seasonal market recovery during Q1 2022. Hopefully, this time will be more than seasonal, if at all.
By Stelios Kollintzas,
Tanker Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 01 December 21
SUPPLY OF COAL TO POWER PLANTS IN NOV MORE THAN CONSUMPTION: JOSHI - PTI
The supply of coal to power plants in November is more than the consumption, resulting in rise in stock of dry fuel at power plants, and this trend ...
Tuesday, 30 November 21
CHINA'S TOP ECONOMIC PLANNER SUMMONS COAL PRODUCERS; LONG-TERM PRICING MECHANISM IS ADVISED - GLOBAL TIMES
China’s top economic planner the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) said on Monday that they summoned coal producers for a hea ...
Tuesday, 30 November 21
CHINA'S COAL PRICES PLUNGE AFTER GOVT SIGNALS MORE PRICE REGULATION - REUTERS
China’s thermal coal futures dropped 5.6% on Monday after the state economic planner signaled further regulations for prices of the dirty pow ...
Friday, 26 November 21
AS COAL MARKET STABILIZES, CHINA STEPS UP NATURAL GAS SUPPLY TO MEET WINTER DEMAND - GLOBAL TIMES
The daily supply of natural gas in China has exceeded 1 billion cubic meters (bcm) since November began, up 11 percent year-on-year, data from stat ...
Friday, 26 November 21
CHINA FINDS COMPLIANCE PROBLEMS IN COAL PRICE INDEX PROBE - REUTERS
China’s state planner on Wednesday said it had discovered some “noncompliant” behaviour among coal price index providers as it an ...
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- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Australian Coal Association
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PTC India Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
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