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Wednesday, 01 December 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Essentially, anyone involved in the shipping and commodity markets still struggle with commodity supply issues and skyrocketing prices in the context of a strained global supply chain.
This year, labor constraints, supply disruptions as well as high fertilizers costs led to a tight supply of edible oils, with palm oil particularly seeing its price pushed to record high levels two weeks ago, before softening during the current one amid negative cues from the emergence of the new COVID variant spurring volatility across commodities.
A great shortage of plantation workers who have been unable to re-enter the country due to pandemic related issues in Malaysia has lowered palm oil production estimates for 2021 to 18.3 million tons, down from 19.2 million tons in 2020, while although Indonesia’s palm oil output has been relatively flat y-o-y, its exports are expected to halve this year according to the Indonesia Palm Oil Association, due to heavy export levies.
While the Malaysian government, plans a special approval to bring about 30,000 workers back vs a shortage of 70,000 estimated at the beginning of the year by the Malaysian Palm Oil Association, efforts to bring them back will take a while before they reach plantations and start harvesting. A plan which might now be prolonged in the hearing and speculation around omicron variant, the last prompting buyers to begin stockpiling palm oil again.
Palm oil futures in Busra Malaysia have reached back-to-back record highs during the past year, setting the highest on November 18 at MYR (Malaysian Ringgit) 5,446/mt or $1,292.88 ( DEC 21). Industry analysts expect that from March 2022 onwards, production issues in edible oils will ease and post a steep rise after 2 years of supply disruptions. Naturally, a correction on prices is anticipated, however, it is also believed that we have entered a new era of higher price levels that are here to stay.
As far as the freight market is concerned rates for regional voyages to India and China have been moving sideways during the past weeks. On the other hand, FOSFA tonnage, especially on the westbound MR size TC Trip runs enjoyed a good premium, before correcting during mid Nov when the CPP Markets in the FEAST stagnated.
Representative freight rates loading palms oils from South East Asia to:
E.C. India 12-15,000 mtons at 33.00 usd/pmt
W.C. India/Pakistan 12-15,000 mtons at 35.00-37.00 usd/pmt
Mid China 12-15,000 mtons at 35.00 usd/pmt
Rotterdam 40-42,000 mtons at 49-51 usd/pmt
T/C Del Korea-Re-del Cont. 47-51,000 DWT 15,000/16,000 USD/PD (NON ECO ) +2K FOR ECO
Looking forward, there is no sight of supply and prices easing materially until post Q1 of 2022, while inventories will be scarce for the first half of next year. Finally, freight markets are likely to head north alongside a highly anticipated CPP seasonal market recovery during Q1 2022. Hopefully, this time will be more than seasonal, if at all.
By Stelios Kollintzas,
Tanker Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Thursday, 09 November 23
GREEK AND CHINESE COMPANIES OWN 34% OF THE GLOBAL FLEET’S CARGO CAPACITY - BIMCO
“The global fleet of cargo carrying ships consists of around 61,000 ships with a deadweight capacity of about 2,200 million tonnes. The ships ...
Monday, 23 October 23
CHINA SEPT COAL OUTPUT HITS SIX-MONTH HIGH ON RISING POWER DEMAND - REUTERS
China’s September coal output rose 0.4% from August to the highest level since March, official data showed on Wednesday, on rising power dema ...
Monday, 23 October 23
INDIA COAL INVENTORIES DROP AT FASTEST PACE IN TWO YEARS, BOOSTING IMPORTS - REUTERS
Coal inventories at Indian power plants in the first half of October fell at their fastest rate in two years, an analysis of government data showed ...
Tuesday, 19 September 23
LNG SHIPPING STOCKS: THE ASIAN GROWTH UP-INDICES
Last week, the UP World LNG Shipping Index (UPI) gained 3.81 points or 2.51%, closing at 155.85 points. This index tracks the performance of LNG sh ...
Sunday, 10 September 23
GOLDMAN SACHS PREDICTS OIL PRICE TO HIT $100 ON OPEC CUTS - YAHOO FINANCE
Oil supply cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia could lead to Brent crude jumping as high as $107 a barrel in 2024, Goldman Sachs Commodities Research h ...
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- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- The University of Queensland
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
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