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Thursday, 28 October 21
CANADA BAN ON SHIPPING COAL WOULD EQUAL SCRAPPING AS MANY AS 3 MILLION CARS - IEEFA
Canada ban on shipping coal would equal scrapping as many as 3 million cars
Change in Canadian policy could have major implications for U.S. coal market
The border between the United States and Canada is currently open for vaccinated travelers—but it may soon be closed to trainloads of American coal that pass through Canadian export terminals on their way to overseas markets.
In a late August announcement that drew little attention outside Canada, the governing Liberal Party pledged to ban all thermal coal exports from the country—whether the coal was mined in Canada or not.
The policy would extend the country’s existing efforts to phase out thermal coal: Canada has already halted approvals for new thermal coal mines and pledged to phase out coal-fired power by 2030. The export ban would be a major climate boon.
All told, a coal export ban could lead to roughly 13 million tons of thermal coal taken off the Pacific Rim export market, with the majority from Montana mines. For every ton of thermal coal not exported from Canada, long-term global coal consumption likely drops somewhere between 0.2 and 0.6 million tons due to market effects (less seaborne coal means slightly higher coal prices and slightly lower consumption). Doing the math—a ton of Montana coal releases about 2 tons of carbon dioxide, and cars release 4.6 tons of CO2 annually—Canada’s coal export ban would have the same climate impact as permanently removing between 1 million and 3 million cars from the road.
Despite the outsized benefits, the policy would have relatively modest (though locally concentrated) impacts on Canadian jobs. Thermal coal is primarily exported through just two export facilities: Ridley Terminals, just south of the Alaska border, and Westshore Terminals, about a mile north of the Washington border. Canada has only one export-oriented thermal coal mine, the Vista coal mine at the foot of the Rocky Mountains in Alberta.
For most of the past decade, Ridley Terminals handled between 2 million and 3 million metric tons of thermal coal annually, although thermal exports boomed to 5.2 million tons in 2020, largely due to the opening of Vista.
But Vista has struggled both financially and operationally. The mine temporarily shut down in February due to an engineering error. Its mining waste system had failed and the company couldn’t obtain a permit to expand its tailings ponds. In April, the mine’s parent company, Coalspur, found itself overwhelmed by debts, admitting that it was “insolvent” and that it urgently required bankruptcy protection. Meanwhile, Coalspur and Ridley sparred over shipping costs, and the Vista mine eventually shifted all of its shipments south to Westshore. Amid the turmoil, thermal coal exports through Ridley have collapsed to almost nothing, even as shipments of metallurgical coal and other commodities through the terminal have remained strong.
Despite Vista’s shift to Westshore, the southern terminal has been angling away from thermal coal. Jim Pattison, the car salesman-turned-billionaire who controls Westshore, wants to transition its operations away from thermal coal and into potash “as rapidly as we can,” and the terminal has already signed an export deal with a new potash mine in Saskatchewan. Over the past decade, Westshore has shipped more than twice as much metallurgical coal as thermal coal, and the vast majority of its thermal coal shipments originated from U.S. mines, particularly the Spring Creek and Signal Peak mines in Montana. As a result, Westshore’s shift from U.S. thermal coal to Canadian potash will likely be a net boon for Canada’s mining sector.
There’s reason to believe that ending thermal coal exports would have broad political support. Canada’s New Democratic Party is also on record as being “committed to ensuring that we end the export of thermal coal.” Even in coal-rich Alberta, roughly 90 percent of Canadians have reservations about expanding coal mining. A ban on thermal coal exports through or from Canada is a sign that even as prices for the mineral soar, trainloads of thermal coal are likely to be physically and metaphorically stuck at the station.
Clark Williams Derry (cwilliamsderry@ieefa.org) is an IEEFA energy finance analyst.
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Tuesday, 14 December 21
COAL LOCK-IN IN SOUTHEAST ASIA PRESENTS A CHALLENGE FOR THE ASIAN DEVELOPMENT BANK'S COAL RETIREMENT PLAN - IEEFA
In August, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) announced an ambitious plan to buy high emissions coal-fired power plants in Southeast Asia and retire ...
Saturday, 11 December 21
BUNKER BUYERS LOSE UP TO $5/MT FOR NOT COVERING ENOUGH SUPPLIERS - INTEGR8 FUELS
With the Brent price recently touching the $80 mark and before the Omicron variant concerns pushed it lower, bunker prices reached levels not seen ...
Tuesday, 07 December 21
SUPERCYCLE DEMAND: ARE WE THERE YET? - WOOD MACKENZIE
Taking young children on a long journey is fraught with challenges, not least the inevitable question a few minutes after leaving: are we there yet ...
Tuesday, 07 December 21
COAL WOULD REMAIN ENERGY LEADER FOR AT LEAST 15 YEARS - LIVEMINT
Coal India Ltd (CIL) has been in the eye of the storm after fuel stocks at coal-fuelled power plants depleted in October. Fuel stocks since are bei ...
Tuesday, 07 December 21
GLOBAL SHIPPING OUTLOOK TURNS STABLE FROM POSITIVE ON THE BACK OF PEAKING EARNINGS DURING 2021 - MOODY'S
The outlook for the global shipping industry is changed to stable from positive for the next 12 to 18 months due to demand slightly outstripping su ...
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- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- The University of Queensland
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
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