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Tuesday, 26 October 21
THERE IS PLENTY OF COAL AND GAS IN THE WORLD BUT A VOLATILE MARKET IS NOBODY'S FRIEND - IEEFA
Gas will be winding its way out of the energy system
Gas prices are continuing to surge around the world. The cost of gas is at unprecedented levels and global markets are buckling under the strain. Many countries are heavily reliant on imports of gas and high spot prices are making supplies unaffordable.
There is plenty of coal and gas in the world but current market volatility is crimping demand.
Gas prices haven’t gone up a little bit – they have multiplied. The increased volatility in gas prices globally is a feature that’s going to stay. There are going to be some extremely high prices and also some extremely low prices. That’s because we’re going through a total energy disruption at the moment, and with that, we’re seeing climate change responses.
Countries such as Japan have said that by 2030, they’re going to more than halve their use of LNG in their power sector. That means they will be putting supply effectively back into the market because they won’t be taking all their contracted gas.
On the other hand, there is enormous supply coming out of Qatar. It is looking to increase its LNG production by 64% by 2027. That’s a massive amount of LNG that will be coming onto the market looking for a home.
In January 2021, an IEEFA report noted that due to what was happening in the U.S., we were likely to see much higher prices this year, with prices forecast to double or even triple. That has come to pass. In the coming years we are likely to see increased volatility in prices as supply and demand struggle to find a balance.
Australia’s major clients are now looking at gas as a fuel exiting the energy system. Over time, we’re going to see them wind their way out of LNG. LNG will still form a niche fuel in terms of the need for it in manufacturing. However, gas will definitely go out of household usage in the short term and will be used less for electricity generation.
Australia has to look forward at energy sources of the future, not look backwards at energy sources of the past. Unfortunately, the country has chosen to look backwards and put all of its eggs in the ‘gas-fired recovery’ at the very time its customers are saying they don’t want the product.
This extract is from an interview IEEFA’s Bruce Robertson did with ABC’s Linda Mottram.
Source: IEEFA
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Wednesday, 22 September 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The unfolding last week of a trilateral defence pact between the United States, Australia, the United Kingdom (AUKUS) envisages a wide range of col ...
Tuesday, 21 September 21
CHINESE COAL IMPORTS FROM AUSTRALIA DROP 98.6% AS RESTRICTIONS BITE - BIMCO
In the first seven months of the year Chinese coal imports from Australia have totalled just 780,000 tonnes as Chinese restrictions on Australian c ...
Tuesday, 21 September 21
CHINA'S COAL OUTPUT RESUMES GROWTH IN AUGUST - XINHUA
China’s raw coal output rose 0.8 percent year on year to 340 million tonnes last month, official data showed.
The growth rate ...
Wednesday, 15 September 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Following the oil price sell off during most of August, partly triggered by oil demand fears amid the delta COVID variant, oil prices have resumed ...
Saturday, 11 September 21
CIL STEPS UP SUPPLY COAL TO POWER SECTOR; PER-DAY AVERAGE 20 PC HIGHER THAN LAST YEAR - PTI
State-owned CIL on Friday said it has stepped up the supply of coal to the power sector in the first eight days of the current month, with an avera ...
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- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
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- SMC Global Power, Philippines
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- White Energy Company Limited
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- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
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- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
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- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- MS Steel International - UAE
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- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
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- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
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- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
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- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
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- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
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