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Tuesday, 24 August 21
TIGHT POWER SUPPLY IN CHINA AMID STRONG DEMAND, HIGH COAL PRICES - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch RatingsChina experienced tight power supply in 1H21 on stronger than expected power demand as economic activity continued to recover, Fitch Ratings says in its latest China Power Watch report.
 
Total power consumption rose by 16.2% yoy in 1H21, or 7.6% based on a two-year CAGR, mainly driven by the industrial sector, which contributed 68% to total power consumption. This, together with higher residential demand on hot days, pushed peak loads to record high levels for many regional grids in 2Q21, when hydropower, the second largest contributor of power generation in China, was weak due to low waterflow. As a result, many places in China saw restrictions on power usage.
 
Tight power supply also reflects weak peak-load flexibility in China. However, China is stepping up efforts to improve the flexibility of its power system. Power generation companies (gencos) are upgrading thermal power plants and increasing peak shaving capacity. They are also investing in power storage projects to ensure stable power supply. The grid company State Grid Corporation of China (SGCC, A+/Stable) is increasing capex on grid infrastructure and we believe this will also enhance grid flexibility.
 
Coal prices also surged in 1H21 as market demand exceeded domestic production, which is further heightened by a 19.7% yoy decrease in import coal volume. High coal prices will squeeze gencos' profit due to lack of pass-through under the current tariff mechanism. Fitch expects this, together with power gencos' higher capex to fund renewable projects, will result in weakened 2021 credit metrics.


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Friday, 22 October 21
CHINA WANTS TO COOL COAL PRICES. SIMILAR MOVES FOR METALS, CRUDE FAILED - REUTERS
China’s latest attempt to lower runaway commodity prices, this time for thermal coal, is likely to follow a familiar pattern of initial succe ...


Friday, 22 October 21
HARD COAL REMAINS AN IMPORTANT FACTOR FOR SECURITY OF SUPPLY - COAL IMPORTERS ASSOCIATION, GERMANY
- Hard coal remains an important factor for security of supply - Increase of around 35% in hard-coal-fired power generation in the first three ...


Wednesday, 20 October 21
CHINA'S COAL SHORTAGE TO EASE IN COMING MONTHS, INDUSTRY BODY SAYS - REUTERS
China’s coal shortage will likely ease in coming months, with domestic production and imports already showing signs of picking up, a coal ind ...


Wednesday, 20 October 21
CHINA'S RAW COAL OUTPUT DROPS IN SEPTEMBER - XINHUA
China’s raw coal output dropped 0.9 percent year on year to 330 million tonnes last month, data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) ...


Wednesday, 20 October 21
OVER-RELIANCE ON COAL IN OUR POWER MIX HURTING INDIA - LIVEMINT
In spite of the renewables push, coal still accounts for about 50% of India’s installed power capacity. That means a simultaneous demand and ...


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