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Tuesday, 24 August 21
TIGHT POWER SUPPLY IN CHINA AMID STRONG DEMAND, HIGH COAL PRICES - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch RatingsChina experienced tight power supply in 1H21 on stronger than expected power demand as economic activity continued to recover, Fitch Ratings says in its latest China Power Watch report.
 
Total power consumption rose by 16.2% yoy in 1H21, or 7.6% based on a two-year CAGR, mainly driven by the industrial sector, which contributed 68% to total power consumption. This, together with higher residential demand on hot days, pushed peak loads to record high levels for many regional grids in 2Q21, when hydropower, the second largest contributor of power generation in China, was weak due to low waterflow. As a result, many places in China saw restrictions on power usage.
 
Tight power supply also reflects weak peak-load flexibility in China. However, China is stepping up efforts to improve the flexibility of its power system. Power generation companies (gencos) are upgrading thermal power plants and increasing peak shaving capacity. They are also investing in power storage projects to ensure stable power supply. The grid company State Grid Corporation of China (SGCC, A+/Stable) is increasing capex on grid infrastructure and we believe this will also enhance grid flexibility.
 
Coal prices also surged in 1H21 as market demand exceeded domestic production, which is further heightened by a 19.7% yoy decrease in import coal volume. High coal prices will squeeze gencos' profit due to lack of pass-through under the current tariff mechanism. Fitch expects this, together with power gencos' higher capex to fund renewable projects, will result in weakened 2021 credit metrics.


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Wednesday, 24 November 21
WHY THIS MINING ANALYST IS UPBEAT ON THE IRON ORE PRICE FORECAST - MOTLEY FOOL
In many ways, 2021 can be called the year of the iron ore price. Much of the talk of the ASX town this year has revolved around this key economic m ...


Wednesday, 24 November 21
PRICE OF CHINA’S COAL FUTURE DROPS BY 60% AS NATIONWIDE DAILY OUTPUT REACHES OVER 12 MILLION TONS: NDRC - GLOBAL TIMES
China’s daily coal output has now stabilized after reaching over 12 million tons and the price of coal futures has declined to 800 yuan ($125 ...


Friday, 19 November 21
CHINA: COAL SUPPLIES TO STABILIZE FOR COMING COLD SEASON
China is capable of ensuring stable coal supplies this winter and next spring with the increase in coal production and the rising stockpiles at pow ...


Wednesday, 17 November 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
It has been another declining week for the dry bulk market and evidently, we are seeing asset values gradually losing momentum as well. Following a ...


Tuesday, 16 November 21
EARNINGS RECOVERY IN INDONESIAN COAL TO CONTINUE THROUGH 2021, BUT SLOW IN 2022 - FITCH RATINGS
The recovery in the operating and financial performance of Indonesian coal miners and coal contractors is likely to slow in 2022, but coal prices s ...


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