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Wednesday, 14 July 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 In its latest Global Economic Prospects report, the world bank recorded the strongest post-recession global growth in 80 years, but emerging and developing countries continue to fall behind due to shortages of anti-crown vaccines. The bank raised its forecast by 1.5 points to 5.6% for global growth in 2021 with China touching 8.5% and the US at 6.8%.
Europe has been lagging the stimulus momentum of the US, but recently they made a decisive step with the European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde advising investors to prepare for a new guidance on monetary support in 10 days and heralded the possibility of new measures for next year to support the eurozone economy after the current bond emergency program expires. Speaking on Bloomberg TV, just days after the ECB raised its inflation target to 2%, Lagarde said there would be some interesting changes.
The West has been a major driver of demand for containers trade so far in 2021. Supply chain bottlenecks have sent shipping costs at record high levels on containers with bulkers following with freight rates reaching more than decade highs. The shortage of raw materials has pushed up prices and importers are raising the cost of goods, fueling fears of an inflationary spiral.
As freight rates have skyrocketed, containers orderbook has increased sharply at approx. 21% of the fleet, the highest level since Q4 2015, while the SnP activity on the sector has increased to the highest level ever recorded for 1H – with more than 300 transactions recorded. Despite the increase in transactions and the 100% to 200% spike in asset values particularly for intermediate TEU units since the beginning of the year, the market consensus is that there is more room to go. Until more vessels’ supply hits the market from 2023 onwards and/ or when current shortages rebalance with demand normalizing, it looks like container owners have an extended runway to take advantage of the upside.
Depending on the trade growth scenario over the next years, fleet additions across shipping sectors are expected to rise accordingly and dictate the pace of asset values evolution amongst other factors.
The BIMCO ICS Seafarer Workforce 2021 report has elaborated on 3 commercial fleet development scenarios, with low, stable and higher growth. In the low growth scenario, there will be an average of 567 ships entering the fleet each year, a significant decrease from the average of 955 ships in the baseline scenario. In a scenario of stable growth, the fleet will grow at a slower pace and is expected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.75%. If world trade is better, the global fleet is expected to exceed 80,000 ships in 2025, with an annual growth rate of 1.75%. BIMCO says the course of the fleet also depends on the course of world trade.
By Zisis Stylianos,
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Saturday, 17 July 21
COAL PRICES TRADE AT DECADE HIGH OF $140 PER TONNE, HERE ARE SOME FACTORS AT PLAY: CNBC-TV18
Coal prices are trading at $140 per tonne. In the last one week, coal has seen more than 8 percent gains; the last one month has seen 24 percent ju ...
Thursday, 15 July 21
U.S. FOSSIL FUEL CONSUMPTION FELL BY 9% IN 2020, THE LOWEST LEVEL IN NEARLY 30 YEARS - EIA
U.S. fossil fuel consumption fell by 9% in 2020, the lowest level in nearly 30 years
In 2020, total consumption of fossil fuels in t ...
Thursday, 15 July 21
IN 2020, U.S. COAL PRODUCTION FELL TO ITS LOWEST LEVEL SINCE 1965 - EIA
U.S. coal production totaled 535 million short tons (MMst) in 2020, a 24% decrease from the 706 MMst mined in 2019 and the lowest level of coal pro ...
Tuesday, 13 July 21
JAPAN STILL SEEKING TO EXPLOIT COAL POWER LOOPHOLES - IEEFA
JBIC wants to continue burdening developing nations with its expensive coal-fired power technology
Japan is continuing to push its expensive c ...
Sunday, 11 July 21
COAL SHOWS ITS STAYING POWER AS ECONOMIES BOUNCE BACK - THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
Coal use is surging in some of the world’s largest economies as electricity demand rebounds from the pandemic, illustrating the challenges to ...
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- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Planning Commission, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Minerals Council of Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
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