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Wednesday, 16 June 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 “While approaching the second half of the year and summer season is just around the corner, COVID vaccination programs are steadily moving forward with N. America and Europe leading the race. In this context, demand for oil products is expected to recover during the next quarters. While more people get vaccinated and travel restrictions are eased by governments, global oil products inventories are estimated to have dropped close to the 5 year average range for this time of year, with the Atlantic driving most of the destocking, thus refineries production will have to gradually increase looking forward.
As per the latest IEA report, in 2020 we saw a record decline in oil demand by 8.5 MB/D, which is now expected to rebound by + 5.4 MB/D in 2021 and to fully recover to pre-pandemic levels by end of 2022 with an additional +3.1 MB/D. Global gasoline demand is most likely to lag other oil products in returning to pre-covid numbers, as the combination of teleworking and the increase of electric cars will play a major role in the next two years. However, last to see a full demand recovery will be jet fuel, as international aviation has a long way to go until most of the population is vaccinated and consumers’ preferences normalize to pre-COVID levels, likely to take place after 2022.
For the time being, with bunker prices hovering at low to mid USD 500 PMT for VLSFO and close to USD 600 PMT for MGO, TCEs for tankers have been suppressed further on top of weak fundamentals. Nevertheless, tanker Owners are hopeful that the market will start recovering, as the market trough we are experiencing will soon be exhausted.
Charterers now working most of the cargoes privately to prevent owners from being bullish and from time to time we are seeing long tonnage lists that further weaken the market.
VLCC rates are still moving close to zero tce’s or even at some cases “moving” at negative numbers, there was some additional movement on the WAF/EAST route but was not enough to push rates, same story with Aframaxes and Suezmaxes east of Suez, rates remained flat with Aframaxes around ws90 @ 80kmt (usd 1,750 p/d) and Suezmaxes at ws54-55 @ 130kmt. In the Mediterranean, Aframaxes tried to work their way and push rates slightly higher but was quite unfortunate, owners still working cross-med cargoes at low ws90 levels @ 80kmt (usd 2,665 p/d), Suezmaxes are being left spot as the scarce availability of cargoes limits the option of picking a cargo without a negative return.
CPP MR east of Suez they are pretty much bottomed out with a lot of Singapore ballasters joining the Fujairah list as they have aggressively been capped by LR1’s that had long tonnage lists trying to kill some time with short voyages, cross AG still stands at below USD 200k levels, (usd170k-180k) and AG/EAFR standing at WS154 @ 35KMT, (tce circa usd 6,500 pdpr) LR’1 & LR2’S freight market continues to soften this week, with TC1(AG/JAPAN) at WS75 and LR1’S dropping below WS90 to Japan. In Med, not much happening on the MRs as mentioned earlier many of the ships are being swept from the market on a private basis without showing the cargoes to the market, cross med cargoes are being fixed at sub ws125 levels and BSEA/MED at WS134-135. Continent still drives the market as the most active in West of Suez, TC stands 37@WS110 (abt 2300 usd/day) with the ARA/WAF at some cases loosing full of its premium points, despite owner’s preference to pick voyages with WAF options as the demurrage improves their returns.”
By Dimitris Kourtesis,
Tanker Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 15 January 21
OVER US$50 BILLION IN GAS POWER PROJECTS AND LNG IMPORT FACILITIES AT RISK OF CANCELLATION IN BANGLADESH, PAKISTAN AND VIETNAM - IEEFA
Pakistan and Bangladesh have already cancelled tenders for LNG imports
Emerging markets such as Vietnam, Pakistan and Bangladesh tha ...
Friday, 15 January 21
VIETNAM'S EXTRAORDINARY ROOFTOP SOLAR SUCCESS DEALS ANOTHER BLOW TO THE REMAINING COAL PIPELINE - IEEFA
9.3 gigawatts peak of solar capacity, equal to 6 coal power plants, installed in less than a year
Vietnam’s solar power indust ...
Friday, 15 January 21
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE EDGES UP - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price rose slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of ...
Thursday, 14 January 21
KOREA MIDLAND POWER INVITED BIDS FOR AUSTRALIAN COAL FOR THREE YEARS SUPPLY
COALspot.com: Korea Midland Power Co. Ltd, issued an International tender for total 1,560,000 MT of Min.5,700 kcal/kg NCV coal of Australian Origin ...
Wednesday, 13 January 21
CHINA THERMAL GENCO PROFITS FACE PRESSURE AMID POWER SHORTAGES - FITHCH WIRE
High coal and gas prices will put near-term pressure on margins for thermal power generators in China, says Fitch Ratings. However, the power short ...
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- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
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