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Wednesday, 16 June 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 “While approaching the second half of the year and summer season is just around the corner, COVID vaccination programs are steadily moving forward with N. America and Europe leading the race. In this context, demand for oil products is expected to recover during the next quarters. While more people get vaccinated and travel restrictions are eased by governments, global oil products inventories are estimated to have dropped close to the 5 year average range for this time of year, with the Atlantic driving most of the destocking, thus refineries production will have to gradually increase looking forward.
As per the latest IEA report, in 2020 we saw a record decline in oil demand by 8.5 MB/D, which is now expected to rebound by + 5.4 MB/D in 2021 and to fully recover to pre-pandemic levels by end of 2022 with an additional +3.1 MB/D. Global gasoline demand is most likely to lag other oil products in returning to pre-covid numbers, as the combination of teleworking and the increase of electric cars will play a major role in the next two years. However, last to see a full demand recovery will be jet fuel, as international aviation has a long way to go until most of the population is vaccinated and consumers’ preferences normalize to pre-COVID levels, likely to take place after 2022.
For the time being, with bunker prices hovering at low to mid USD 500 PMT for VLSFO and close to USD 600 PMT for MGO, TCEs for tankers have been suppressed further on top of weak fundamentals. Nevertheless, tanker Owners are hopeful that the market will start recovering, as the market trough we are experiencing will soon be exhausted.
Charterers now working most of the cargoes privately to prevent owners from being bullish and from time to time we are seeing long tonnage lists that further weaken the market.
VLCC rates are still moving close to zero tce’s or even at some cases “moving” at negative numbers, there was some additional movement on the WAF/EAST route but was not enough to push rates, same story with Aframaxes and Suezmaxes east of Suez, rates remained flat with Aframaxes around ws90 @ 80kmt (usd 1,750 p/d) and Suezmaxes at ws54-55 @ 130kmt. In the Mediterranean, Aframaxes tried to work their way and push rates slightly higher but was quite unfortunate, owners still working cross-med cargoes at low ws90 levels @ 80kmt (usd 2,665 p/d), Suezmaxes are being left spot as the scarce availability of cargoes limits the option of picking a cargo without a negative return.
CPP MR east of Suez they are pretty much bottomed out with a lot of Singapore ballasters joining the Fujairah list as they have aggressively been capped by LR1’s that had long tonnage lists trying to kill some time with short voyages, cross AG still stands at below USD 200k levels, (usd170k-180k) and AG/EAFR standing at WS154 @ 35KMT, (tce circa usd 6,500 pdpr) LR’1 & LR2’S freight market continues to soften this week, with TC1(AG/JAPAN) at WS75 and LR1’S dropping below WS90 to Japan. In Med, not much happening on the MRs as mentioned earlier many of the ships are being swept from the market on a private basis without showing the cargoes to the market, cross med cargoes are being fixed at sub ws125 levels and BSEA/MED at WS134-135. Continent still drives the market as the most active in West of Suez, TC stands 37@WS110 (abt 2300 usd/day) with the ARA/WAF at some cases loosing full of its premium points, despite owner’s preference to pick voyages with WAF options as the demurrage improves their returns.”
By Dimitris Kourtesis,
Tanker Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 08 May 21
THE COAL-TO-RENEWABLES TRANSITION TAKES OFF - IEEFA
Pre-Biden changes underscore coming 10-year wave of coal plant retirements
The traditional S-curve growth exhibited by disruptive te ...
Friday, 07 May 21
CHINA'S TOTAL COAL IMPORTS FOR 2020 REACHED A VOLUME OF 304 MILLION TONS - ASSOCARBONI
Our benchmarks, manufacturing Countries like China, Germany, Japan, India, South Korea and Taiwan will continue to use a mix of coal and nuclear to ...
Friday, 07 May 21
SEABORNE WORLD COAL TRADE CLOSED 2020 IN NEGATIVE - ASSOCARBONI
Coal confirmed its leadership as leading fuel for electricity generation also in 2020, accounting for 38% of overall production. For the first time ...
Friday, 07 May 21
INDONESIA'S THERMAL COAL EXPORTS IN 2020 DECREASED BY 13%; INDIA REMAINED THE TOP DESTINATION FOR INDONESIAN COAL - ASSOCARBONI
An increase in seaborne trade is forecast for 2022, driven by markets in Southeast Asia, where growing demand for coal from Bangladesh, the Philipp ...
Friday, 30 April 21
HIGH-SULPHUR FUEL OIL SALES REBOUND AFTER PRE-IMO 2020 - BIMCO
HSFO sales are up 47.2% from Q1 2020, reaching 3.1m tonnes. This is however still less than a third of high-sulphur fuel sales in Q1 2019, before t ...
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- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Planning Commission, India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- White Energy Company Limited
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
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