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Wednesday, 26 May 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Last year crude tankers’ newbuilding contracting activity was devastated by the economic effects of the Covid-19 pandemic and the cloud of uncertainty regarding eco-friendly technology adoption which amplified concerns over the technology and fuelling choices on the newbuilding units. Covid-19 restrictions significantly impacted owners’ appetite for new orders, which coupled with the divided view on the long-term technology implementation caused a severe blow on the shipbuilding industry. At the time of writing, both concerns are still present.
Despite worldwide vaccination, the pandemic remains with lockdown restrictions being imposed around the world. In addition, there is no clear view on which type of fuel will be the next generation one, yet with LNG retrofits gaining a bigger market share week by week. However, today the shipbuilding tanker market activity witness a completely different outlook, with the volume of newbuilding contracts emerging w-o-w being significantly strong and the NB values at levels that we last observed back in 2015. With respect to the latter fact, we could agree that the recent spike in steel prices has supported a large part of newbuilding value increases; nevertheless, with the cost for new investments burdening the owner’s capital, it is evident that the appetite for new vessels is strong.
According to our preliminary data, YTD crude carriers contracting activity in dwt terms is estimated at around 9.6 million which is about +47.7% when compared to the same period last year (6.5 million dwt). The majority of orders that have materialized so far this year referred to VLCC units which account for 71% of the total orders (27 of the total tanker contracting activity of 38 units). If buying interest for crude carrier tonnage continues at the same pace it would not be a surprise to see 2021 contracting activity doubling the previous year volumes (around 15.4 million in dwt terms during 2020). Solely for the purpose of comparison, 2019 total contracting activity is estimated at around 19.6 million dwt with January-May 2019 newbuilding volume at 7.45 million dwt, a time period where the Coronavirus pandemic would stand as a science fiction theory.
As far as the asset values are concerned, average prices for VLCC, Suezmax and Aframax units to be constructed at top tier yards are estimated at $95.0M, $63.M, and $50.5 million respectively. A picture is worth a thousand words and that can be evident if we take a closer look at page 6 Indicative Newbuilding Prices table where a comparison with average values of the past 3 years can easily be made. Average prices of all sectors are hovering well below today’s values. Again, for the sake of clarity, 2021 average VLCC, Suezmax and Aframax newbuilding prices stand at $90.0M, $59.5M, and $49.0 million. It remains to be seen, whether Chinese authorities will manage to curb iron ore prices and subsequently steel values. Such a depreciation on the respective commodities will be reflected on newbuilding values as well; however, if China’s exertion in containing steel prices remains unsuccessful newbuilding prices will appreciate further according to the underlying steel inflationary trend.
By Yiannis Parganas,
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 05 June 21
IT'S TIME FOR THE BIDEN ADMINISTRATION TO CHAMPION RENEWABLE ENERGY IN THE PHILIPPINES, NOT NUCLEAR OR FOSSIL GAS - IEEFA
Fossil gas and nuclear investments risk locking in costly, outdated infrastructure for the long-term
The United States has spent the ...
Friday, 04 June 21
NEW COAL-FIRED POWER PLANTS IN INDIA WILL BE ECONOMICALLY UNVIABLE - IEEFA
Coal capacity additions face major stranded asset risk
Much of India’s 33 gigawatts (GW) of coal-fired power capacity currently under co ...
Thursday, 03 June 21
JUNE HBA IS HITTING ABOVE $100 AND SETTLED AT ITS HIGHEST SINCE OCTOBER 2020
COALspot.com: The Indonesia coal price reference for June 2021 settles at US$ 100.33 per ton FOB vessel.
The Indonesia coal pr ...
Wednesday, 02 June 21
INDONESIA RV WAS DOWN TO LOW/MID $20,000S DAY FOR PANAMAX/KAMSARMAX WITH DELIVERY S CHINA - BANCHERO COSTA
Panamax
A softening week in the Pacific basin with rates under a downward pressure mainly caused by the oversupply of tonnage in the area, said ...
Wednesday, 02 June 21
EUROPEAN UNION'S IRON ORE IMPORTS - BANCHERO COSTA
The European Union (27) is currently the fourth largest importer of iron ore in the world, after China, Japan, and South Korea.
Euro ...
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- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
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