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Wednesday, 14 April 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After a series of months where the dry bulk sector was attracting most of the buying interest, tankers SnP activity spiked in the previous weeks. Over the last week, prevailing buying interest in the wet sector continued to grow with the spotlight being on modern MRs and vintage VLCCs. A total of 8 deals were reported in the MR segment, the vast majority of which were built in South Korea and were less than 5 years old up to Resales, while a couple of them were built in Japanese yards aging around 10 and 20 years, respectively. In the VLCC segment more than a handful of S&P transactions were recorded with most of them being built in South Korean yards and more than half fitted with scrubbers while the whole S&P realm consisted of vessels aged above15 years.
In the NB market, with regards to the VLCC segment, during Q12021, around 25 orders were placed whilst all of them were in Korean shipyards, the highest figure since Q2-2015 when circa 30 vessels were ordered, but VLCC earnings were hovering above $40k/day vs the current negative BDTI TCE for VLCCs. The closest Q1 contracting levels were seen during the first quarters of 2014, 2015 & 2019 when around 15-20 orders were placed. Compared to Q12020, the figure is around 4 times higher while it represents around 60.0% of the total annual placed orders during 2020. For reference the VLCC current orderbook accounts of approx. 96 vessels.
VLCC orders placed during 2021 up to date, were contracted for account of Greek, Korean, Malaysian and US based buyers, with Greeks holding a proportion slightly less than half of the total. Out of the 8 different parties that put these orders, 3 of them having recently sold their vintage tonnage are aiming for a fleet renewal while a couple of them are aiming at expanding their fleet. What is more, the rest 3 parties with an orderbook corresponding to around 9 vessels are newcomers into this segment. Although owners of such tonnage are struggling to confront the current low rates, their choice either in expanding/renewing their fleet or even entering this segment, is in fact a vote of confidence to the crude oil market and proves their high expectations.
As for the other crude oil segments, new contracts have been relatively subdued compared to VLCCs and have come below the past 5 year average during Q1s. Regarding the MR segment, around 18 units were contracted, being the highest Q1 contracting figure since Q12014, when approx. the same number of orders was placed.
Overall, as owners maintain a positive sentiment regarding the wet market and combined with an aging fleet, this tendency has led to an increased number of n/b orders by historical standards vs where the actual market stands, especially in the VLCC segment. However, tankers supply dynamics still look favorable over the next two years, as total orderbook as a % of the fleet continues to start at multiyear lows, with VLCCs orders below 10% of the fleet in dwt terms and below 9.0% for the rest of the crude segments.
By Mohamed Rabie,
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 08 May 21
LNG-TO-POWER INVESTORS IN THE PHILIPPINES RISK EXPOSURE TO $14 BILLION IN STRANDED ASSETS - IEEFA
High regulatory and financial uncertainty in the Philippines market
The race to develop liquified natural gas (LNG) facilities in th ...
Saturday, 08 May 21
THE COAL-TO-RENEWABLES TRANSITION TAKES OFF - IEEFA
Pre-Biden changes underscore coming 10-year wave of coal plant retirements
The traditional S-curve growth exhibited by disruptive te ...
Friday, 07 May 21
CHINA'S TOTAL COAL IMPORTS FOR 2020 REACHED A VOLUME OF 304 MILLION TONS - ASSOCARBONI
Our benchmarks, manufacturing Countries like China, Germany, Japan, India, South Korea and Taiwan will continue to use a mix of coal and nuclear to ...
Friday, 07 May 21
SEABORNE WORLD COAL TRADE CLOSED 2020 IN NEGATIVE - ASSOCARBONI
Coal confirmed its leadership as leading fuel for electricity generation also in 2020, accounting for 38% of overall production. For the first time ...
Friday, 07 May 21
INDONESIA'S THERMAL COAL EXPORTS IN 2020 DECREASED BY 13%; INDIA REMAINED THE TOP DESTINATION FOR INDONESIAN COAL - ASSOCARBONI
An increase in seaborne trade is forecast for 2022, driven by markets in Southeast Asia, where growing demand for coal from Bangladesh, the Philipp ...
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- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PTC India Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
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