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Wednesday, 27 January 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 As we have entered the era off renewable energies, all industries globally give max effort to minimize their carbon footprint and consequently their emissions, so as the shipping industry. The IMO has set some goals regarding the decarbonization of the industry; the most challenging is to start replacing current marine fuels with greener, more efficient and eventually by 2050 eliminate the Sox and NOx along with GHG emissions.
The first stage of the plan was to cut down the Sulphur content of fuel oil to below 0.5%. Owners had the option to install scrubbers or from 1.1.2020 they had to comply and use only VLSFO. A year later it appears that Owners/Physical suppliers and Refineries were perfectly aligned to provide required quantities of VLSFO available almost everywhere in the world without disrupting the chain of global trade, thus proved from the fact that the spread between LSMGO and VLSFO was considerably small from the first few months.
Moving forward to cleaner, greener and more efficient marine fuels we identify three different pathways, 1) light gas, 2)Heavy gas and alcohol & 3) Biofuel. Due to current limitations on technology, ship designs and lack of expertise, it is anticipated to have petroleum-based fuels till 2050 at a market share of almost 40%.
Light Gas – LNG is cryogenic liquid that needs to be cooled and can be stored under ambient pressure, it is slowly but steadily increasing and is projected to have tripled to about 3000 units by 2030. Issues the industry needs to cope with are that not all ports have established local regulations and all necessary equipment/expertise to handle LNG, which actually limits the availability of the fuel.
Heavy gas and alcohol – LPG, is mainly consisted by propane and butane with small fractions of propylene Its available in large and scale and its economically attractive, worth to mention that it’s a liquid with very low handling requirements. In case of any leakage, it’s not harmful to soil and water. Alcohol, Methanol is attractive as marine fuel as its liquid in ambient conditions and simplifies the storage on board – it doesn’t not contain sulfur and little modification is required to engine and fuel supply system compared to LNG. Main issue that arises is the low energy density that keeps it less attractive for deep sea vessel, as it required 2-3 times higher frequency off bunkering than fossil fuels.
Biofuels – are produced by biomass, plants, waste oils and agricultural waste. Yield from the catalytic process of biomass has properties comparable to diesel oil and require minimum to no change to marine engines or their fuel delivery systems. The most usual component of biodiesel is fame (fatty acid methyl ester), widely provided blend of biodiesel consists of 7% of fame, but Owners / Engine manufacturers are currently experimenting with richer blends that vary from 20% up to even 100% of fame.
Looking further ahead Ammonia is an option as a zero-carbon and sulfur marine fuel if produced renewably and can contribute to reduction of GHG emissions. Its physical and chemical characteristics make it a suitable marine fuel as it’s a component used in industrial and agricultural makes it affordable and logistically attractive. It needs to be kept under pressure, but it can stay liquid in ambient temperatures. Specific modifications are required for ships that will use ammonia for propulsion as its lower energy density requires more quantity of fuel.
Recently Furetank Rederi had delivered the 7th ship out of a series of 8 that will be dual fuelled; vessel will run on LBG (Liquefied biogas) and LNG. The specific unit is the first one to perform discharge operation by using only electricity from shore. In addition, it is estimated that the ship will have 55% lower emissions of CO2, 86% of Nitrogen oxide, 99% of Sulphur oxide, and 99% of particles. Avin International has placed their first Suezmax order that will be ammonia ready.
It is becoming more and more apparent that owners have showed their intentions to minimize their emissions by experimenting with biodiesel mixtures, placing LNG/Ammonia ready new buildings.
By Dimitris Kourtesis
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 30 April 21
HIGH-SULPHUR FUEL OIL SALES REBOUND AFTER PRE-IMO 2020 - BIMCO
HSFO sales are up 47.2% from Q1 2020, reaching 3.1m tonnes. This is however still less than a third of high-sulphur fuel sales in Q1 2019, before t ...
Wednesday, 28 April 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Despite the current challenges as a result of the global pandemic, 2021 is turning out to be a landmark year for the iron ore market with spot pric ...
Monday, 26 April 21
CHINA TO FURTHER CUT COAL USE IN 2021 - XINHUA
China aims to reduce the share of coal in its energy mix to less than 56% this year, according to a guideline released by the National Energy Admin ...
Wednesday, 21 April 21
COAL FINANCING COSTS HAVE SURGED IN PAST 10 YEARS - UNIVERSITY OF OXFORD - THE GUARDIAN
Coal financing costs have surged over the last decade as investors demand returns four times as high as the payoff required from renewable energy p ...
Tuesday, 20 April 21
US DOLLAR LIBOR TRANSITION IN ASSET FINANCE - WHERE ARE WE NOW? - WATSON FARLEY & WILLIAMS
Since our last article, there has been a raft of regulatory and market body announcements relating to the transition away from LIBOR and the follow ...
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