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Wednesday, 20 January 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 While 2020 is finally behind us, its negative impacts are still hovering over the shipping market. That being said, it is still too early to even speculate that 2021 will be a better year, even if the bar is set too low given to “what went down” last year.
The reality is that positive signs especially for the dry bulk market were seen as early as last summer when the market was slowly showing signs of better days to come. It took some time for shipowners to assimilate the possibility that we are heading towards better days - and nobody can blame them for being sceptical - but the increase on second hand transactions is the most obvious vote of confidence.
If we make a comparison between the number of transactions that materialized during the second half of 2019 and 2020, it is clear that despite the market challenges and uncertainty, investors' confidence remained strong during 2H2020 with second hand deals being up by 18% compared to last year transactions with the most notable acceleration taking place during December.
Of course, this is not the first time that the dry bulk transactions have experienced increased activity. What makes this period different compared to the previous time in my opinion is that it's not only sentiment driven.
Dry Bulk commodity prices have recently experienced an inflection to multi-year highs, amid increased demand after the market got used to a COVID-19 reality. The weather played its part with record low temperatures which favoured coal demand but also created congestion at discharging ports, on top of China’s coal import restrictions from Australia.
Adding to this mix the fact that we expect fleet growth to remain subdued in the next 2 years, it does not take much for the demand - supply balance to improve.
So now we have a perfect storm and this time the storm is working for the market’s favor. It has been a while since the last time this has happened.
It's normal to expect that eventually new building contracting activity will increase but this will only start taking place once second hand values reach levels that are not sustainable. For now, second hand vessels make sense, and let's hope that owners will not rush to NBs as they have done in the past.
Not leaving sentiment out of the equation, we could also speculate that the positive effect expected by the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership which is expected to largely influence the container market will rub off to the dry market as well.
Overall, things are looking up and if the order book stays in check the market will do more than just ok in the years to come.
By Timos Papadimitriou,
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Thursday, 11 November 21
ASIA COAL POWER PIPELINE TO SHRINK BY TWO THIRDS AFTER CHINA FINANCE CUT - REUTERS
Asia’s pipeline of proposed coal-fired power plants is expected to shrink from 65 gigawatts to 22 gigawatts following China’s pledge to ...
Tuesday, 09 November 21
ASIA-PACIFIC IS HOME TO SOME OF THE WORLD'S LARGEST CARBON-EMITTERS - 2 CHARTS SHOW ITS RELIANCE ON COAL - CNBC
Asia-Pacific is home to some of the world’s largest carbon emitters — and experts say much of global efforts to fight climate change de ...
Tuesday, 09 November 21
CHINA DAILY COAL OUTPUT HITS MULTI-YEAR PEAK, PRICES EXPECTED TO FALL - REUTERS
China’s daily coal output hit 11.93 million tonnes last week, a multi-year high as more capacity returned to operation, the state planner sai ...
Thursday, 04 November 21
CHINA'S COAL MARKET SEES SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENTS: NDRC - GLOBAL TIMES
China’s top economic planner has declared initial success in its efforts to ensure coal supply and stabilize prices, saying that daily coal o ...
Thursday, 04 November 21
CHINA THERMAL COAL PRICES RISE AFTER FALLING FOR 10 DAYS - REUTERS
China thermal coal futures rebounded on Wednesday after falling for 10 days on an expected jump in fuel demand to meet heating needs amid forecasts ...
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- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PTC India Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- The University of Queensland
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
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