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Wednesday, 20 January 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 While 2020 is finally behind us, its negative impacts are still hovering over the shipping market. That being said, it is still too early to even speculate that 2021 will be a better year, even if the bar is set too low given to “what went down” last year.
The reality is that positive signs especially for the dry bulk market were seen as early as last summer when the market was slowly showing signs of better days to come. It took some time for shipowners to assimilate the possibility that we are heading towards better days - and nobody can blame them for being sceptical - but the increase on second hand transactions is the most obvious vote of confidence.
If we make a comparison between the number of transactions that materialized during the second half of 2019 and 2020, it is clear that despite the market challenges and uncertainty, investors' confidence remained strong during 2H2020 with second hand deals being up by 18% compared to last year transactions with the most notable acceleration taking place during December.
Of course, this is not the first time that the dry bulk transactions have experienced increased activity. What makes this period different compared to the previous time in my opinion is that it's not only sentiment driven.
Dry Bulk commodity prices have recently experienced an inflection to multi-year highs, amid increased demand after the market got used to a COVID-19 reality. The weather played its part with record low temperatures which favoured coal demand but also created congestion at discharging ports, on top of China’s coal import restrictions from Australia.
Adding to this mix the fact that we expect fleet growth to remain subdued in the next 2 years, it does not take much for the demand - supply balance to improve.
So now we have a perfect storm and this time the storm is working for the market’s favor. It has been a while since the last time this has happened.
It's normal to expect that eventually new building contracting activity will increase but this will only start taking place once second hand values reach levels that are not sustainable. For now, second hand vessels make sense, and let's hope that owners will not rush to NBs as they have done in the past.
Not leaving sentiment out of the equation, we could also speculate that the positive effect expected by the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership which is expected to largely influence the container market will rub off to the dry market as well.
Overall, things are looking up and if the order book stays in check the market will do more than just ok in the years to come.
By Timos Papadimitriou,
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Thursday, 17 February 22
MAJOR INSTITUTIONS PROVIDED OVER $1.5 TRLN TO COAL SECTOR IN 2019-2021, SAYS NGO GROUP - REUTERS
Financial institutions channelled more than $1.5 trillion into the coal industry in loans and underwriting from January 2019 to November 2021, even ...
Thursday, 17 February 22
APAC THERMAL COAL PRICES TO EASE ON END OF INDONESIA EXPORT BAN - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings-Shanghai/Singapore-14 February 2022: APAC thermal coal prices are likely to come under pressure in the near term due to seasonally we ...
Tuesday, 15 February 22
IS ANOTHER COAL SHORTAGE CRISIS LOOMING OVER INDIA? - BUSINESS STANDARD
In December last year, the Federation of Indian Mineral Industries (FIMI) shot off a letter to the Prime Minister claiming that the coal crisis was ...
Tuesday, 15 February 22
THERMAL COAL'S RECORD PRICE RUN MAY END UP ITS OWN WORST ENEMY - REUTERS
The price of benchmark Australian thermal coal rose last week to trade near record highs, providing a short-term boost to producers but increasing ...
Thursday, 10 February 22
INDONESIA: COAL EXPORT BAN - SKULD
Indonesia's coal export ban in the light of force majeure and off-hire clauses
In January 2022, Indonesia, the world's biggest exporte ...
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- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Australian Coal Association
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- The University of Queensland
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Planning Commission, India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
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