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Wednesday, 13 January 21
CHINA THERMAL GENCO PROFITS FACE PRESSURE AMID POWER SHORTAGES - FITHCH WIRE
 High coal and gas prices will put near-term pressure on margins for thermal power generators in China, says Fitch Ratings. However, the power shortfalls seen recently in parts of the country are unlikely to drive large-scale shifts in investment plans, as the problems reflect weak peak-load flexibility rather than structural power shortages.
Total power consumption rose 9.4% yoy in November 2020, according to the China Electricity Council, and peak loads have reached record levels for many regional grids. Demand for power has been supported by robust economic growth, but also by unusually cold conditions that have bolstered demand for heating.
A variety of supply factors have also contributed to the power shortages. In areas such as Hunan, renewables contributions, particularly from hydropower, have been weak as a result of weather conditions. Regulatory pressures to curb thermal power carbon dioxide emissions in order to meet targets under the 13th Five Year Plan (ending in 2020) have also played a role in regions like Zhejiang.
Coal market dynamics have aggravated the situation. The government’s supply-side reform agenda has sought to improve the underlying stability of domestic coal markets by trimming excess supply, but in the near term this has reduced capacity to meet spikes in demand. Supplies have been dented further by tougher mining permit reviews and safety checks in Inner Mongolia, an important production region, and the impact of cold weather on transport systems and production in northern China.
Restrictions on imports of thermal coal from Australia may also have played a role at the margin. Such imports are small relative to total demand, and China has increased coal imports from other producers like Indonesia, but the curbs may have increased the vulnerability of local coal prices to demand spikes.
Meanwhile, in some provinces gas-fired power plants have failed to play their usual role in smoothing peak-load adjustments, as gas supplies were prioritised for heating in northern China. Gas-fired power’s contribution to generation has risen in January as additional gas has been sourced for heating, easing supply constraints.
There is no fuel-cost pass-through for coal. High energy prices will thus dampen near-term profitability among generating companies (gencos) with greater reliance on coal. This could affect Fitch-rated companies such as China Huaneng Group (A/Stable), China Huadian Corporation (A/Stable), State Power Investment Corporation (A/Stable), Guangdong Energy Group (A/Stable) and Zhejiang Provincial Energy (A/Stable). However, strong demand should raise capacity utilisation and reduce the price discount on market-traded power, offsetting the impact slightly.
Upstream producers such as Yanzhou Coal (BB-/Rating Watch Positive) and the three national oil companies should benefit from these same dynamics. However, we still expect coal prices to trend lower in the longer term, as the government remains committed to reducing coal’s share in the national energy mix.
The State Council stated on 8 January that development of natural gas and coal storage facilities, and emergency back-up power systems, would be accelerated. We have already budgeted high levels of capex for most power gencos in the medium term, focused mostly on renewable energy, and do not expect to change our forecasts significantly owing to the recent disruption. In addition, we do not expect substantial additional investment in LNG storage, but believe the government will accelerate approvals for new gas storage facilities and slow the phase-out of coal-fired power plants.
The government may also encourage provinces with power shortages to make greater use of imports, which could benefit issuers from surplus regions like Gansu Province Electric Power Investment (BBB-/Stable). Inter-provincial ultra-high-voltage distribution lines are available, but have been underutilised during the current situation as the supporting coal-fired power has not been available.
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Thursday, 27 May 21
KOMIPO INVITED BIDS FOR 1.56 MILLION TONS OF BITUMINOUS COAL
COALspot.com: Korea Midland Power Co., Ltd (KOMIPO) has issued an international tender for total 1,560,000 MT of Bituminous Coal to be used a ...
Thursday, 27 May 21
CHINA POWER DEMAND EXCEEDS PRE-COVID-19 LEVELS; THERMAL OUTPUT STRONG - FITCH RATINGS
Rising Consumption: Total power consumption rose by 21.2% yoy to 1,921.9GWh in 1Q21 due to the fast recovery of China’s economy, after a drop ...
Thursday, 27 May 21
CHINA'S POWER DEMAND EXCEEDS PRE-PANDEMIC LEVELS; RENEWABLES TO DRIVE DEVELOPMENT - FITCH RATINGS
China's power consumption exceeded the pre-Covid-19 levels in 1Q21 due to the country's fast economic recovery, with strong output from the ...
Wednesday, 26 May 21
THE INDONESIA COAL PRICE REFERENCE FOR MAY 2021 SETTLES AT US$ 89.74 PER TON
COALspot.com: The Indonesia coal price reference for May 2021 settles at US$ 89.74 per ton FOB vessel.
The Indonesia coal pric ...
Wednesday, 26 May 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Last year crude tankers’ newbuilding contracting activity was devastated by the economic effects of the Covid-19 pandemic and the cloud of un ...
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- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Planning Commission, India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- White Energy Company Limited
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Australian Coal Association
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