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Monday, 21 December 20
A REBOUND IN GLOBAL COAL DEMAND IN 2021 IS SET TO BE SHORT-LIVED, BUT NO IMMEDIATE DECLINE IN SIGHT - IEA
After a major drop in recent years, global coal demand is forecast to rise by 2.6% in 2021 before flattening out to 2025
A global economic recovery in 2021 is expected to drive a short-lived rebound in coal demand following the major drop this year triggered by the Covid-19 crisis, according to a new report from the International Energy Agency.
However, there is little sign that the world’s coal consumption is set to decline substantially in the coming years, with rising demand in some Asian economies offsetting declines elsewhere. As coal is by far the single largest source of global energy-related carbon emissions, the trends outlined in the report pose a major challenge to efforts to put those emissions on a path compatible with reaching climate and sustainable energy goals.
The past two years have seen historic falls in global coal demand, led by unprecedented drops in the United States and Europe, says Coal 2020, the latest edition of the IEA’s annual market report on the sector. A 1.8% decline in coal demand in 2019 resulted mainly from weak growth in electricity demand and low natural gas prices. Latest estimates from the IEA suggest coal demand will have plunged by a further 5% in 2020 on the economic fallout from Covid-19.
“The Covid-19 crisis has completely reshaped global coal markets. Before the pandemic, we expected a small rebound in coal demand in 2020, but we have since witnessed the largest drop in coal consumption since the Second World War,” said Keisuke Sadamori, the IEA’s Director of Energy Markets and Security. “The decline would have been even steeper without the strong economic rebound in China – the world’s largest coal consumer – in the second half of the year.”
Based on the assumption of a recovery in the world economy, the IEA report forecasts a 2.6% rise in global coal demand in 2021, driven by higher electricity demand and industrial output. China, India and Southeast Asian economies account for most of the growth, although the United States and Europe may also both see their first increases in coal consumption in nearly a decade. However, global coal demand in 2021 is still forecast to remain below 2019 levels and could be even lower if the report’s assumptions for the economic recovery, electricity demand or natural gas prices are not met.
The rebound in coal demand in 2021 is set to be short-lived, with coal use forecast to flatten out by 2025 at around 7.4 billion tonnes. This would make 2013, when global coal demand reached 8 billion tonnes, coal’s all-time peak. But while coal’s share in both the electricity mix and the overall energy mix are in steady decline, coal use in absolute terms is not set for a rapid decline in the immediate future.
“Renewables are on track to surpass coal as the largest source of electricity in the world by 2025. And by that time, natural gas will likely have taken over coal as the second largest source of primary energy after oil,” said Mr Sadamori. “But with coal demand still expected to remain steady or to grow in key Asian economies, there is no sign that coal is going to fade away quickly.”
The future of coal will largely be decided in Asia. Today, China and India account for 65% of global coal demand. With Japan, Korea, Taiwan and Southeast Asia included, that share rises to 75%. China, which currently accounts for half of the world’s coal consumption, will be especially influential. By 2025, the European Union and United States will account for less than 10% of global coal demand, down from 37% in 2000. This will make the impacts of any further changes in demand in these markets very limited.
Source: IEA - Press Release
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Thursday, 24 September 20
SUPRAMAX: INDO TO INDIA FIXING AROUND US$13,000 - FEARNLEYS
Cape
Over the last week the iron ore segment from Brazil to China has picked up, and we see freight rates up USD 2 (12%) week on week Fearnleys ...
Thursday, 24 September 20
KOREA MIDLAND POWER TO BUY 1.92 MILLION TONS OF 4,300-4,700 NCV COAL FOR THREE YEARS
COALspot.com: Korea Midland Power Co. Ltd, has issued an International tender for 640,000 MT 4,300-4,700 kcal/kg NCV coal per year.
  ...
Wednesday, 23 September 20
VIETNAM'S NEW POWER DEVELOPMENT PLAN MUST OPTIMIZE RENEWABLES AND AVOID FOSSIL FUEL LOCK-IN: IEEFA
EVN’s financial constraints leaves the utility with little room for error
Implementing Vietnam’s soon-to-be-launched next Power De ...
Wednesday, 23 September 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Undoubtedly, this year (ongoing) will never be forgotten because in a matter of months it has managed to severely affect and shape our day to day p ...
Friday, 18 September 20
INDIA'S COAL-FIRED POWER OUTPUT PICKS UP AS INDUSTRIAL USE RISES - REUTERS
India’s coal-fired electricity generation rose 9.4% in the first half of September, provisional government data showed, as demand from indust ...
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- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- White Energy Company Limited
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Australian Coal Association
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
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