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Monday, 21 December 20
A REBOUND IN GLOBAL COAL DEMAND IN 2021 IS SET TO BE SHORT-LIVED, BUT NO IMMEDIATE DECLINE IN SIGHT - IEA
After a major drop in recent years, global coal demand is forecast to rise by 2.6% in 2021 before flattening out to 2025
A global economic recovery in 2021 is expected to drive a short-lived rebound in coal demand following the major drop this year triggered by the Covid-19 crisis, according to a new report from the International Energy Agency.
However, there is little sign that the world’s coal consumption is set to decline substantially in the coming years, with rising demand in some Asian economies offsetting declines elsewhere. As coal is by far the single largest source of global energy-related carbon emissions, the trends outlined in the report pose a major challenge to efforts to put those emissions on a path compatible with reaching climate and sustainable energy goals.
The past two years have seen historic falls in global coal demand, led by unprecedented drops in the United States and Europe, says Coal 2020, the latest edition of the IEA’s annual market report on the sector. A 1.8% decline in coal demand in 2019 resulted mainly from weak growth in electricity demand and low natural gas prices. Latest estimates from the IEA suggest coal demand will have plunged by a further 5% in 2020 on the economic fallout from Covid-19.
“The Covid-19 crisis has completely reshaped global coal markets. Before the pandemic, we expected a small rebound in coal demand in 2020, but we have since witnessed the largest drop in coal consumption since the Second World War,” said Keisuke Sadamori, the IEA’s Director of Energy Markets and Security. “The decline would have been even steeper without the strong economic rebound in China – the world’s largest coal consumer – in the second half of the year.”
Based on the assumption of a recovery in the world economy, the IEA report forecasts a 2.6% rise in global coal demand in 2021, driven by higher electricity demand and industrial output. China, India and Southeast Asian economies account for most of the growth, although the United States and Europe may also both see their first increases in coal consumption in nearly a decade. However, global coal demand in 2021 is still forecast to remain below 2019 levels and could be even lower if the report’s assumptions for the economic recovery, electricity demand or natural gas prices are not met.
The rebound in coal demand in 2021 is set to be short-lived, with coal use forecast to flatten out by 2025 at around 7.4 billion tonnes. This would make 2013, when global coal demand reached 8 billion tonnes, coal’s all-time peak. But while coal’s share in both the electricity mix and the overall energy mix are in steady decline, coal use in absolute terms is not set for a rapid decline in the immediate future.
“Renewables are on track to surpass coal as the largest source of electricity in the world by 2025. And by that time, natural gas will likely have taken over coal as the second largest source of primary energy after oil,” said Mr Sadamori. “But with coal demand still expected to remain steady or to grow in key Asian economies, there is no sign that coal is going to fade away quickly.”
The future of coal will largely be decided in Asia. Today, China and India account for 65% of global coal demand. With Japan, Korea, Taiwan and Southeast Asia included, that share rises to 75%. China, which currently accounts for half of the world’s coal consumption, will be especially influential. By 2025, the European Union and United States will account for less than 10% of global coal demand, down from 37% in 2000. This will make the impacts of any further changes in demand in these markets very limited.
Source: IEA - Press Release
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Wednesday, 27 January 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As we have entered the era off renewable energies, all industries globally give max effort to minimize their carbon footprint and consequently thei ...
Monday, 25 January 21
ULTRAMAX YET ANOTHER POSITIVE WEEK FOR THE SECTOR, WHICH SAW INCREASED DEMAND ACROSS ALL BASINS - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Capesize market rocked and rolled these past few days. But by weeks end little had changed on the Capesize 5TC as it settled down ...
Monday, 25 January 21
NEW LAW IN CALIFORNIA, USA, AFFECTING SHIPOWNERS' LIABILITY FOR OIL POLLUTION - BIMCO
Members are advised that amendments to the so-called Lempert-Keene-Seastrand Oil Spill Prevention and Response Act of 1990 in the State of Californ ...
Monday, 25 January 21
COAL INDIA SAYS GEARED UP TO MEET SURGE IN FUEL DEMAND FROM POWER SECTOR - PTI
State-owned Coal India Ltd on Saturday said that it is well geared to meet any surge in demand for coal from the power sector.
The s ...
Sunday, 24 January 21
GOVT ASSURES COAL INDIA OF 'FULL SUPPORT', STRESSES ON LEARNING 'NEW THINGS' - PTI
Coal Minister Pralhad Joshi assured Coal India of full government support, even as he said the PSU needs to learn “new things” for impr ...
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- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PTC India Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
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- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
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- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
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- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- The University of Queensland
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
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