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Thursday, 26 November 20
DECLINE IN COAL EXPORTS ADDS TO NAVAJO-OWNED COMPANY'S PROBLEMS - IEEFA U.S.
Weak demand and low prices are likely creating steep losses for NTEC
U.S. coal exports to Asia—once heralded as the saving grace for struggling coal producers in the western United States—are facing new strains from low prices and weak demand in the wake of the global COVID-19 crisis.
In its third-quarter financial statement released earlier this month, Westshore Terminals in British Columbia, the primary terminal for U.S. thermal coal bound for the Pacific Rim of Asia, reported a 47% quarter-over-quarter drop in thermal coal exports. Quarterly thermal coal shipments from the terminal fell to their lowest level since 2016, when global coal markets were overwhelmed by a massive supply glut that sent seaborne coal prices crashing.
Even though the Westshore terminal is in Canada, virtually all of its shipments of thermal coal—the type burned in power plants—come from U.S. mines, mostly located in Montana. Data from the U.S. Mine Safety and Health Administration suggest that Montana’s Spring Creek mine, owned by the Navajo Transitional Energy Company (NTEC), bore the brunt of the decline. Coal production at Spring Creek totaled 2.2 million tons during the third quarter of 2020, down from about 3.9 million tons during the year-ago quarter. On an annualized basis, Spring Creek production has now fallen to its lowest level since 2003 (See Figure 1).
Meanwhile, production at the Signal Peak mine, the other major U.S. thermal coal exporter that ships through Westshore, held roughly steady compared to the year-ago quarter. (Signal Peak has been in the news for other reasons, having to do with a fraud and embezzlement scheme perpetrated by former executives. Signal Peak is partially owned by FirstEnergy, also in the news for fraud allegations.) Westshore doesn’t disclose its customer volumes, but Signal Peak’s relatively stable production during the quarter suggests that NTEC’s Spring Creek mine accounted for the bulk of the decline in thermal coal exports through Westshore.
In a related wrinkle, Westshore reported that it took in “$2.6 million [Canadian] of customer shortfall payments” from July through September. This means that at least one of the terminal’s shippers is paying penalties for shipping less coal than promised.
If last quarter’s shortfall payments are indeed coming from NTEC, the company is probably paying even more in penalties to BNSF, the rail company that moves Spring Creek coal to Westshore. (Documents from the 2019 bankruptcy filing of Cloud Peak Energy, the previous owner of the mine, suggest the company paid a little over $25 per ton in rail fees, more than twice as much as Westshore charges to ship a ton of coal.)
Cloud Peak shelled out millions of dollars in such payments to both BNSF and Westshore during times of low international prices, and—ironically enough—frequently shipped coal at a loss to avoid even steeper losses from contractual penalties.
NTEC touted its purchase in 2019 of Powder River Basin mines as a “prudent investment,” pointing to a study (commissioned by the company itself) arguing that Spring Creek exports held the “potential for high profitability.” Yet Cloud Peak had also had made big bets on Spring Creek exports—and those bets helped cement the company’s financial collapse.
Now, NTEC’s gamble on coal exports is backfiring—just as it backfired on Cloud Peak.
This will only worsen difficulties for NTEC, which has recently agreed to an ill-advised expansion of its stake in the aging coal-fired Four Corners power plant in New Mexico and whose core business—coal production for the domestic electricity industry—is in severe decline, and not just because of COVID but because utility companies continue to aggressively abandon coal for cheaper and more modern forms of generation.
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Saturday, 08 May 21
LNG-TO-POWER INVESTORS IN THE PHILIPPINES RISK EXPOSURE TO $14 BILLION IN STRANDED ASSETS - IEEFA
High regulatory and financial uncertainty in the Philippines market
The race to develop liquified natural gas (LNG) facilities in th ...
Saturday, 08 May 21
THE COAL-TO-RENEWABLES TRANSITION TAKES OFF - IEEFA
Pre-Biden changes underscore coming 10-year wave of coal plant retirements
The traditional S-curve growth exhibited by disruptive te ...
Friday, 07 May 21
CHINA'S TOTAL COAL IMPORTS FOR 2020 REACHED A VOLUME OF 304 MILLION TONS - ASSOCARBONI
Our benchmarks, manufacturing Countries like China, Germany, Japan, India, South Korea and Taiwan will continue to use a mix of coal and nuclear to ...
Friday, 07 May 21
SEABORNE WORLD COAL TRADE CLOSED 2020 IN NEGATIVE - ASSOCARBONI
Coal confirmed its leadership as leading fuel for electricity generation also in 2020, accounting for 38% of overall production. For the first time ...
Friday, 07 May 21
INDONESIA'S THERMAL COAL EXPORTS IN 2020 DECREASED BY 13%; INDIA REMAINED THE TOP DESTINATION FOR INDONESIAN COAL - ASSOCARBONI
An increase in seaborne trade is forecast for 2022, driven by markets in Southeast Asia, where growing demand for coal from Bangladesh, the Philipp ...
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- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Australian Coal Association
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
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